Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.(ARI)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,277 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
ARI Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI), a Real Estate sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores ARI at 53.5/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,277 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. ARI scores in the top quartile across profitability (95.1), free cash flow (94.0), institutional flow (91.1). Areas of concern include revenue growth (10.0) and revenue scale (27.4), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 25.7/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $58.6M, net income of $26.2M, free cash flow of $12.6M. Top institutional holders of ARI by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. ARI trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1467760. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate ARI daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 34 and 62 since 2022, currently 53.5 — an improving long-term trajectory across 24 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$58.6M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$26.2M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$12.6M
ROIC
Q1 2026
1.5%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-10.6% YoYNet Income
+205.9% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+183.5% YoYTotal Assets
+17.7% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-28.8% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $271.6M -10.6% | $303.7M +0.0% | $303.6M +6.7% | $284.5M +2.1% | $278.7M -16.7% | $334.5M |
| Net Income | $126.7M +205.9% | $-119.6M -145.1% | $265.2M +18.7% | $223.5M +1116.3% | $18.4M -92.0% | $230.2M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.81 +183.5% | $-0.97 -157.7% | $1.68 +15.1% | $1.46 +14500.0% | $0.01 -99.3% | $1.40 |
| Total Assets | $9.90B +17.7% | $8.41B -12.1% | $9.57B +13.7% | $8.42B +21.3% | $6.94B +0.7% | $6.89B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $142.5M -28.8% | $200.3M -25.2% | $267.7M +34.3% | $199.4M +21.5% | $164.1M -40.0% | $273.4M |
AI Insight: ARI Financial Trends
Operating cash flow deteriorated sharply from $63M in Q2 2025 to just $13M in Q1 2026, while revenue declined 20% year-over-year.
• Revenue fell from $66M in Q1 2025 to $59M in Q1 2026, marking a 11% year-over-year decline.
• Operating cash flow plummeted from $50M in Q2 2024 to $13M in Q1 2026.
• Equity gradually declined from $1,997M in Q2 2024 to $1,812M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Operating cash flow volatility with dramatic swings from $63M to $8M to $13M across recent quarters.
⚠ Net income remains positive but highly erratic, ranging from $-92M loss to $51M profit.
AI Insight: ARI Ratio Trends
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shows extreme volatility with operating margins swinging from -127.8% in Q3 2024 to 82.8% in Q3 2025, indicating highly erratic earnings performance.
• Operating margin recovered to 45.1% in Q1 2026 after hitting -127.8% in Q3 2024, showing extreme quarterly volatility.
• ROE declined from 10.9% in Q3 2025 to 5.8% in Q1 2026, erasing previous quarter's strong performance.
• ROIC dropped from 11.0% in Q3 2025 to 5.8% in Q1 2026, continuing downward trend from peak.
⚠ Persistent earnings volatility with negative margins in Q3 2024 suggests potential credit issues or asset impairments.
⚠ ROA declining from 2.1% in Q3 2025 to 1.0% in Q1 2026 indicates weakening asset productivity.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of ARI
BlackRock, Inc.
$223.7M21,183,896 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$83.8M7,936,417 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$67.6M6,404,943 shSTATE STREET CORP
$56.9M5,266,219 shNo Street GP LP
$35.4M3,350,000 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$35.1M3,324,652 shMIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.
$29.0M2,744,906 shInvesco Ltd.
$22.9M2,170,664 shCHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
$22.8M2,157,978 shMORGAN STANLEY
$18.8M1,780,963 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $223.7M | 21,183,896 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $83.8M | 7,936,417 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $67.6M | 6,404,943 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $56.9M | 5,266,219 |
| No Street GP LP | $35.4M | 3,350,000 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $35.1M | 3,324,652 |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. | $29.0M | 2,744,906 |
| Invesco Ltd. | $22.9M | 2,170,664 |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | $22.8M | 2,157,978 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $18.8M | 1,780,963 |
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Popular Research
Is ARI a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Real Estate sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for ARI are available on the ARI stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own ARI?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling ARI. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s investment landscape.