NOVAVAX INC(NVAX)Stock Analysis
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Rank #572 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
NVAX Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for NOVAVAX INC (NVAX), a Healthcare sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores NVAX at 65.5/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #572 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. NVAX scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (99.1), profitability (93.7), revenue growth (80.1). Areas of concern include free cash flow (13.6) and earnings quality (30.0), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 32.3/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), NOVAVAX INC reports quarterly revenue of $139.5M, net income of $-9.5M, free cash flow of $-32.4M. Top institutional holders of NVAX by reported 13-F value include SHAH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, BlackRock,, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. NVAX trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1000694. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate NVAX daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for NOVAVAX INC directly from SEC EDGAR. NOVAVAX INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 67 since 2021, currently 65.5 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$139.5M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-9.5M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-32.4M
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+14.2% YoYNet Income
+180.8% YoYOperating Income
+179.9% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+147.7% YoYTotal Assets
-34.5% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
+65.7% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.12B +14.2% | $983.7M -50.4% | $1.98B +72.9% | $1.15B +141.0% | $475.6M +2448.5% | $18.7M |
| Net Income | $440.3M +180.8% | $-545.1M +17.2% | $-657.9M +62.3% | $-1.74B -316.9% | $-418.3M -215.2% | $-132.7M |
| Operating Income | $452.8M +179.9% | $-566.5M +12.1% | $-644.7M +61.8% | $-1.69B -304.7% | $-416.7M -245.6% | $-120.6M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.58 +147.7% | $-5.41 +35.7% | $-8.42 +64.1% | $-23.44 -222.4% | $-7.27 -31.9% | $-5.51 |
| Total Assets | $1.18B -34.5% | $1.80B -20.4% | $2.26B -12.3% | $2.58B +62.8% | $1.58B +815.0% | $173.0M |
| Total Debt | $244.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $-244.6M +65.7% | $-714.0M -71.7% | $-415.9M -228.8% | $322.9M +859.1% | $-42.5M +68.9% | $-136.6M |
AI Insight: NVAX Financial Trends
Novavax shows extreme revenue volatility with Q1 2025 spike to $667M followed by decline to $140M in Q1 2026.
• Revenue peaked at $667M in Q1 2025 but fell 79% to $140M by Q1 2026.
• Operating income swung from $516M profit in Q1 2025 to $15M loss in Q1 2026.
• Equity improved from negative $624M in Q4 2024 to positive $38M in Q2 2025.
⚠ Operating cash flow remains negative in latest quarter at negative $32M despite revenue recovery.
⚠ New debt of $291M appeared in Q1 2026 for the first time in the dataset.
AI Insight: NVAX Ratio Trends
Novavax profitability collapsed from 77.3% operating margin in Q1 2025 to -11.1% in Q1 2026, reflecting severe operational deterioration.
• Operating margin plunged from 77.3% in Q1 2025 to -11.1% in Q1 2026, marking sharp reversal.
• Net profit margin declined from 77.8% in Q1 2025 to -6.8% in Q1 2026.
• ROA turned negative at -3.6% in Q1 2026 after reaching 31.9% in Q2 2025.
• ROIC remained deeply negative at -42.2% in Q1 2026 versus -53.4% TTM.
⚠ Extreme margin volatility spanning from 77% positive to -159% negative across recent quarters.
⚠ Consistently negative ROIC indicates persistent capital destruction despite periodic profitability spikes.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for NOVAVAX INC including:
Top Institutional Holders of NVAX
SHAH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
$120.8M14,845,097 shBlackRock, Inc.
$104.6M12,844,319 shSTATE STREET CORP
$73.0M8,970,518 shD. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.
$62.8M7,709,858 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$58.2M7,151,625 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$58.0M7,130,147 shSanofi
$56.0M6,880,481 shBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/
$54.0M6,637,213 shUBS Group AG
$36.4M4,477,701 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$31.7M3,898,413 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SHAH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT | $120.8M | 14,845,097 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $104.6M | 12,844,319 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $73.0M | 8,970,518 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | $62.8M | 7,709,858 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $58.2M | 7,151,625 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $58.0M | 7,130,147 |
| Sanofi | $56.0M | 6,880,481 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | $54.0M | 6,637,213 |
| UBS Group AG | $36.4M | 4,477,701 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $31.7M | 3,898,413 |
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Popular Research
Is NVAX a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of NOVAVAX INC (NVAX) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Healthcare sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for NVAX are available on the NVAX stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own NVAX?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling NVAX. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of NOVAVAX INC's investment landscape.