SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC(SIGA)Stock Analysis
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Rank #190 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
SIGA Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC (SIGA), a Healthcare sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores SIGA at 73.6/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #190 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. SIGA scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (93.2), earnings quality (92.7), revenue growth (90.7). Areas of concern include revenue scale (17.3) and institutional flow (26.3), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 29.4/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC reports quarterly revenue of $6.2M, net income of $-3.5M, free cash flow of $-8.7M. Top institutional holders of SIGA by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS, AltraVue Capital,, based on the most recent SEC filings. SIGA trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1010086. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate SIGA daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC directly from SEC EDGAR. SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 36 and 76 since 2021, currently 73.6 — an improving long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving SIGA's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 (three months ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Largest Expense Items
Decrease reflects lower professional service fees and lower international business development expenses, partially offset by higher compensation costs.
Increase primarily attributable to costs incurred in connection with the EMA referral procedure focused on mpox.
Watch Items from the Filing
- EMA referral procedure initiated July 2024 concluded March 2026 with recommendation to remove mpox indication from Tecovirimat-SIGA; label now covers smallpox, cowpox, and vaccinia only, eliminating a key regulatory approval.
- 19C BARDA Contract represents $630M total contemplated payments (as of March 31, 2026), of which $545.2M relates to exercised options and $5.6M to unexercised options at BARDA's sole discretion; $450.2M of oral TPOXX cumulative deliveries completed.
- No international sales in Q1 2026 versus $5.8M in Q1 2025; Meridian International Promotion Agreement expires May 31, 2026 with no automatic renewal; new MENA license agreement with Hikma entered March 2026.
- Cash declined $9.4M in Q1 2026 from operating activities; company paid special dividend of $0.60 per share ($43.9M total) in April 2026, reducing liquidity to $145.6M as of quarter-end.
- Three mpox clinical trials (PALM 007, STOMP, UNITY) failed primary endpoints; TPOXX showed no statistically significant improvement in time to lesion resolution versus placebo, though safety profile remained comparable.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$6.2M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-3.5M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-8.7M
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-0.9% YoYNet Income
-13.0% YoYOperating Income
-16.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-13.7% YoYTotal Assets
-3.9% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
-48.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $138.7M -0.9% | $139.9M +26.3% | $110.8M -17.1% | $133.7M +7.0% | $125.0M +367.3% | $26.7M |
| Net Income | $59.2M -13.0% | $68.1M +100.8% | $33.9M -51.2% | $69.5M +23.3% | $56.3M +878.1% | $-7.2M |
| Operating Income | $70.0M -16.3% | $83.6M +95.8% | $42.7M -52.1% | $89.1M +5.4% | $84.5M +3738.9% | $-2.3M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.82 -13.7% | $0.95 +106.5% | $0.46 -49.5% | $0.91 +28.2% | $0.71 +573.3% | $-0.15 |
| Total Assets | $244.3M -3.9% | $254.4M +30.4% | $195.0M -9.2% | $214.7M +43.3% | $149.8M -24.5% | $198.6M |
| Total Debt | — | — | — | — | $0.00 -100.0% | $80.0M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $48.8M -48.6% | $94.8M +127.8% | $41.6M +262.0% | $11.5M -83.9% | $71.5M +492.9% | $-18.2M |
AI Insight: SIGA Financial Trends
SIGA's revenue shows extreme quarterly volatility with $81M spikes in Q4 2024 and Q2 2025, but underlying trend deteriorated with four consecutive quarters of operating losses.
• Revenue swung from $81M in Q2 2025 to just $3M in Q3 2025, highlighting extreme quarterly volatility.
• Operating income turned negative for four straight quarters from Q3 2025 through Q1 2026 after positive results in Q4 2024 and Q2 2025.
• Equity declined from $216M in Q1 2025 to $152M in Q1 2026, a $64M decrease over five quarters.
⚠ Operating cash flow turned deeply negative at -$17M in Q4 2025 and -$9M in Q1 2026 after strong positive flows.
⚠ Revenue pattern suggests lumpy contract-based business model with uncertain timing of future large quarters.
AI Insight: SIGA Ratio Trends
SIGA's profitability collapsed from 56.3% operating margin in Q2 2025 to -85.2% in Q1 2026, reflecting extreme quarterly volatility typical of biotech revenue cycles.
• Operating margin swung wildly from 70.1% in Q4 2024 to -32.0% in Q1 2025, then back to 56.3% in Q2 2025 before plunging to -85.2% in Q1 2026.
• Net profit margin turned deeply negative at -143.1% in Q4 2025 and -55.3% in Q1 2026 after reaching 43.7% in Q2 2025.
• ROE deteriorated from 67.8% in Q2 2025 to negative territory for three consecutive quarters through Q1 2026.
• ROIC plummeted from 87.3% in Q2 2025 to -14.0% in Q1 2026, marking four straight quarters of negative returns.
⚠ Extreme quarterly volatility suggests lumpy revenue recognition pattern that could continue creating unpredictable earnings swings.
⚠ TTM metrics show 22.0% operating margin despite recent losses, indicating potential for recovery if revenue normalizes.
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Top Institutional Holders of SIGA
BlackRock, Inc.
$18.7M3,494,193 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$14.5M2,702,724 shAltraVue Capital, LLC
$13.0M2,432,024 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$9.2M1,714,380 shARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
$8.2M1,525,960 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$7.1M1,317,784 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$7.0M1,315,545 shAQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$6.5M1,219,677 shSTATE STREET CORP
$5.4M1,011,938 shFIRST WILSHIRE SECURITIES MANAGEMENT INC
$4.8M890,498 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $18.7M | 3,494,193 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $14.5M | 2,702,724 |
| AltraVue Capital, LLC | $13.0M | 2,432,024 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $9.2M | 1,714,380 |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | $8.2M | 1,525,960 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $7.1M | 1,317,784 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $7.0M | 1,315,545 |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $6.5M | 1,219,677 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $5.4M | 1,011,938 |
| FIRST WILSHIRE SECURITIES MANAGEMENT INC | $4.8M | 890,498 |
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Is SIGA a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC (SIGA) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Healthcare sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for SIGA are available on the SIGA stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own SIGA?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling SIGA. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of SIGA TECHNOLOGIES INC's investment landscape.