ST JOE Co(JOE)Stock Analysis
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Rank #265 of 2,961 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Nov 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
JOE Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
Data updated 2026-09-11AI stock analysis and institutional research for ST JOE Co (JOE), a Real Estate sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores JOE at 69.5/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #265 of 2,961 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. JOE scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (90.3), profitability (83.5), balance sheet strength (77.3). Areas of concern include revenue scale (38.4), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q2 2026), ST JOE Co reports quarterly revenue of $158.8M, net income of $40.5M, an operating margin of 34.5%. Top institutional holders of JOE by reported 13-F value include FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, BlackRock, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. JOE trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 745308. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate JOE daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for ST JOE Co directly from SEC EDGAR. ST JOE Co's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 57 and 73 since 2021, currently 69.5 — an improving long-term trajectory across 68 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving JOE's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from ST JOE Co's 10-Q filed 2026-07-29 — Q2 FY2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
St. Joe posted its highest Q2 net income in 30 years ($40.5M, +37.3% YoY) as total revenue rose 23.0% to $158.8M, led by a 38.7% surge in residential real estate sales.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Increase driven by membership dues, ancillary spend, and higher hotel ADR, occupancy and guest incidental spend
Driven by mix and number of homesites sold and higher estimated homesite residuals ($10.8M vs $1.2M)
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q2 2026
$158.8M
Net Income
Q2 2026
$40.5M
Free Cash Flow
Q2 2026
$43.0M
Operating Margin
Q2 2026
34.5%
ROIC
Q2 2026
19.3%
D/E Ratio
Q2 2026
0.48
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · ProRevenue
+27.4% YoYNet Income
+55.9% YoYOperating Income
+53.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+56.7% YoYTotal Assets
-1.3% YoYTotal Debt
-10.6% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+76.6% YoYFree Cash Flow
+86.2% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $513.2M +27.4% | $402.7M +3.5% | $389.3M +54.3% | $252.3M -5.5% | $267.0M +66.3% | $160.6M |
| Net Income | $115.6M +55.9% | $74.2M -4.5% | $77.7M +9.6% | $70.9M -4.9% | $74.6M +64.9% | $45.2M |
| Operating Income | $146.2M +53.0% | $95.6M +5.3% | $90.7M +47.6% | $61.5M -34.9% | $94.5M +100.6% | $47.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.99 +56.7% | $1.27 -4.5% | $1.33 +9.9% | $1.21 -4.7% | $1.27 +64.9% | $0.77 |
| Total Assets | $1.52B -1.3% | $1.54B +1.0% | $1.52B +6.5% | $1.43B +18.4% | $1.21B +16.5% | $1.04B |
| Total Debt | $391.2M -10.6% | $437.8M -3.5% | $453.6M +17.6% | $385.9M +73.0% | $223.0M +40.3% | $158.9M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $190.7M +76.6% | $108.0M +4.0% | $103.8M +115.4% | $48.2M -56.9% | $111.8M +199.5% | $37.3M |
| Free Cash Flow | $186.6M +86.2% | $100.2M +2.6% | $97.7M +139.0% | $40.9M -62.0% | $107.5M +239.7% | $31.6M |
AI Insight: JOE Financial Trends
ST Joe achieved sustained debt reduction and strong operating cash flow while revenue remains volatile and profitability inconsistent.
• Total debt declined 16.5% from $443M (Q3 2024) to $370M (Q2 2026), paired with rising equity to $764M.
• Operating cash flow averaged $43M over last four quarters, with peak of $86M in Q3 2025.
• Revenue highly volatile, ranging $16M–$159M across periods; net income swung from $14M to $40M in recent quarters.
⚠ Operating income declined 30% from $55M (Q2 2026) to $18M (Q1 2026), indicating quarter-to-quarter instability.
⚠ Net income fell 65% from $40M (Q2 2026) to $14M (Q1 2026)—largest single-quarter drop in dataset.
AI Insight: JOE Ratio Trends
Q2 2026 shows strong sequential recovery with ROE jumping to 21.2% and ROIC hitting 19.3%, while leverage continues declining to 0.48 D/E.
• ROIC surged to 19.3% in Q2 2026 from 6.3% in Q1 2026, reversing weakness and matching Q3 2025 highs.
• Operating margin rebounded to 34.5% in Q2 2026 vs. 18.4% in Q1 2026, indicating seasonal strength.
• Debt-to-equity ratio declined consistently from 0.62 in Q3 2024 to 0.48 in Q2 2026, strengthening balance sheet.
⚠ Q1 2026 showed material deterioration across ROE, ROA, and ROIC—monitor whether Q2 recovery sustains or reflects seasonal volatility.
⚠ Significant quarterly earnings volatility: NPM ranged 14.1%–178.8% across recent quarters; earnings predictability unclear.
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Top Institutional Holders of JOE
FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.1B18,182,367 shBlackRock, Inc.
$385.1M6,148,018 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$245.7M3,922,394 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$112.7M1,800,077 shSTATE STREET CORP
$97.3M1,554,006 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$84.8M1,353,659 shSelect Equity Group, L.P.
$84.0M1,341,063 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$75.1M1,198,445 shPraetorian PR LLC
$42.3M675,000 shFMR LLC
$40.8M651,353 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.1B | 18,182,367 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $385.1M | 6,148,018 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $245.7M | 3,922,394 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $112.7M | 1,800,077 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $97.3M | 1,554,006 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $84.8M | 1,353,659 |
| Select Equity Group, L.P. | $84.0M | 1,341,063 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $75.1M | 1,198,445 |
| Praetorian PR LLC | $42.3M | 675,000 |
| FMR LLC | $40.8M | 651,353 |
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Similarity is computed from the 8 composite sub-scores and latest-quarter 13F conviction holdings (index-style filers excluded). Refreshed monthly.
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Popular Research
Is JOE a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of ST JOE Co (JOE) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Real Estate sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for JOE are available on the JOE stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing. JOE is classified as a mid company.
Which hedge funds own JOE?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling JOE. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of ST JOE Co's investment landscape.