Green Plains Inc.(GPRE)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,763 of 2,961 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Nov 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
Unusual Activity in GPRE
Events flagged as statistical outliers against GPRE's own multi-year baseline — not fixed dollar thresholds.
- Score shock2026-08-07
GPRE quality score jumped 32 points (32→64) on a new filing
View source filing →
GPRE Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
Data updated 2026-09-11AI stock analysis and institutional research for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE), a Materials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores GPRE at 47.8/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,763 of 2,961 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. GPRE scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (79.5). Areas of concern include revenue growth (3.3) and institutional flow (25.6), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q2 2026), Green Plains Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $446.2M, net income of $67.1M, free cash flow of $75.6M. Top institutional holders of GPRE by reported 13-F value include BlackRock, Graham Capital Management, L.P., LINDEN ADVISORS, based on the most recent SEC filings. GPRE trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1309402. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate GPRE daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Green Plains Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Green Plains Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 13 and 65 since 2021, currently 47.8 — an improving long-term trajectory across 68 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving GPRE's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from Green Plains Inc.'s 10-Q filed 2026-08-06 — Q2 FY2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Revenue fell 19.3% YoY to $446.2M on the Obion plant disposition, but net income swung to $67.2M from a $72.2M loss, driven largely by $58.7M of Section 45Z production tax credits.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Decline driven by the Obion, TN plant disposition, lower freight/timing of ethanol revenue recognition from a third-party marketing transition, and a prior-year one-time RIN sale of $22.6M
Increase primarily due to increased ethanol trading revenues
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q2 2026
$446.2M
Net Income
Q2 2026
$67.1M
Free Cash Flow
Q2 2026
$75.6M
ROIC
Q2 2026
20.1%
D/E Ratio
Q2 2026
0.56
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · ProRevenue
-14.9% YoYNet Income
-47.0% YoYOperating Income
-41.7% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-39.5% YoYTotal Assets
-11.1% YoYTotal Debt
-29.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+470.0% YoYFree Cash Flow
+158.9% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.09B -14.9% | $2.46B -25.4% | $3.30B -10.0% | $3.66B +29.6% | $2.83B +47.0% | $1.92B |
| Net Income | $-121.3M -47.0% | $-82.5M +11.7% | $-93.4M +26.6% | $-127.2M -92.8% | $-66.0M +39.3% | $-108.8M |
| Operating Income | $-67.2M -41.7% | $-47.5M +22.9% | $-61.6M +37.8% | $-98.9M -487.9% | $25.5M +120.8% | $-122.7M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.80 -39.5% | $-1.29 +18.9% | $-1.59 +30.6% | $-2.29 -62.4% | $-1.41 +55.1% | $-3.14 |
| Total Assets | $1.58B -11.1% | $1.78B -8.1% | $1.94B -8.7% | $2.12B -1.7% | $2.16B +36.8% | $1.58B |
| Total Debt | $412.0M -29.1% | $580.7M -4.3% | $606.6M -5.7% | $643.2M -16.2% | $767.5M +14.6% | $669.8M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $110.9M +470.0% | $-30.0M -153.2% | $56.3M -19.2% | $69.7M +1541.8% | $4.2M -95.7% | $98.9M |
| Free Cash Flow | $73.7M +158.9% | $-125.0M -141.7% | $-51.7M +63.7% | $-142.7M +22.0% | $-182.9M -1465.8% | $-11.7M |
AI Insight: GPRE Financial Trends
Profitability restored in Q2 2026 with net income of $67M and operating margin of 15.2%, but revenue remains volatile and well below Q4 2024 peak.
• Net income swung from -$73M loss in Q1 2025 to $67M profit in Q2 2026, signaling operational stabilization.
• Operating margin improved to 15.2% in Q2 2026 from -10.3% in Q4 2025, indicating cost control traction.
• Total debt fell 23% from $556M in Q3 2024 to $484M in Q2 2026, strengthening the balance sheet.
• Revenue volatility persists: $446M in Q2 2026 vs. $584M in Q4 2024, down 24% from the peak.
⚠ Operating cash flow turned negative (-$40M) in Q1 2026 despite positive earnings, signaling working capital stress.
⚠ Revenue remains depressed at $446M in Q2 2026; sustained recovery above $500M needed to confirm demand stabilization.
AI Insight: GPRE Ratio Trends
Green Plains swung from severe losses in mid-2025 to strong profitability in Q2 2026, with operating margin at 15.2% and ROIC at 20.1%.
• Operating margin rebounded from -42.9% in Q2 2025 to 15.2% in Q2 2026, signaling operational recovery.
• ROIC surged to 20.1% in Q2 2026 from -9.1% in Q2 2025, showing improved capital efficiency.
• Debt-to-equity ratio compressed to 0.56 in Q2 2026 from 0.72 peak in Q1 2025, reducing leverage risk.
⚠ TTM metrics lag Q2 2026 quarter results significantly, suggesting Q3/Q4 2025 remained weak—monitor ongoing consistency.
⚠ Quarterly earnings volatility remains elevated; Q4 2025 showed ROIC turning negative again despite positive NPM.
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Top Institutional Holders of GPRE
BlackRock, Inc.
$156.7M10,188,770 shGraham Capital Management, L.P.
$78.0M57,430,000 shLINDEN ADVISORS LP
$67.3M49,508,000 shGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
$61.9M4,023,439 shGrantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC
$60.0M3,898,967 shSTATE STREET CORP
$57.6M3,748,374 shContext Capital Management, LLC
$46.5M34,052,000 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$45.9M2,986,521 shAncora Advisors, LLC
$41.9M2,727,491 shTWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP
$39.3M2,554,127 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $156.7M | 10,188,770 |
| Graham Capital Management, L.P. | $78.0M | 57,430,000 |
| LINDEN ADVISORS LP | $67.3M | 49,508,000 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | $61.9M | 4,023,439 |
| Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co. LLC | $60.0M | 3,898,967 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $57.6M | 3,748,374 |
| Context Capital Management, LLC | $46.5M | 34,052,000 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $45.9M | 2,986,521 |
| Ancora Advisors, LLC | $41.9M | 2,727,491 |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | $39.3M | 2,554,127 |
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Popular Research
Is GPRE a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Materials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for GPRE are available on the GPRE stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing. GPRE is classified as a small company.
Which hedge funds own GPRE?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling GPRE. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Green Plains Inc.'s investment landscape.