Alcoa Corp(AA)Stock Analysis
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Rank #533 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
AA Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Alcoa Corp (AA), a Materials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores AA at 66.2/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #533 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. AA scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (88.6), balance sheet strength (83.0), profitability (78.3). Areas of concern include earnings quality (30.0) and institutional flow (31.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Alcoa Corp reports quarterly revenue of $3.2B, net income of $425.0M, free cash flow of $-298.0M. Top institutional holders of AA by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, FMR, based on the most recent SEC filings. AA trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1675149. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AA daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Alcoa Corp directly from SEC EDGAR. Alcoa Corp's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 67 since 2021, currently 66.2 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$3.2B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$425.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-298.0M
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.37
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+7.9% YoYNet Income
+1828.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+1580.8% YoYTotal Assets
+14.7% YoYTotal Debt
-10.7% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+90.5% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.83B +7.9% | $11.89B -4.5% | $12.45B +2.5% | $12.15B +30.9% | $9.29B -11.0% | $10.43B |
| Net Income | $1.16B +1828.3% | $60.0M +148.8% | $-123.0M -128.7% | $429.0M +352.4% | $-170.0M +84.9% | $-1.13B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.37 +1580.8% | $0.26 +138.2% | $-0.68 -130.1% | $2.26 +348.4% | $-0.91 +85.0% | $-6.07 |
| Total Assets | $16.13B +14.7% | $14.06B -4.7% | $14.76B -1.8% | $15.03B +1.1% | $14.86B +1.6% | $14.63B |
| Total Debt | $2.45B -10.7% | $2.75B +51.7% | $1.81B +0.3% | $1.80B -29.1% | $2.55B +41.3% | $1.80B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.19B +90.5% | $622.0M -24.3% | $822.0M -10.7% | $920.0M +133.5% | $394.0M -42.6% | $686.0M |
AI Insight: AA Financial Trends
Alcoa swung to negative operating cash flow in Q1 2026 despite stable debt reduction, signaling working capital pressure amid volatile earnings.
• Total debt declined steadily from $2,945M in Q3 2024 to $2,450M in Q4 2025, improving leverage profile by ~17%.
• Net income surged to $548M in Q1 2025 but has since moderated to $425M in Q1 2026, showing inconsistent profitability.
• Operating cash flow turned negative at -$179M in Q1 2026, a stark reversal from +$537M in prior quarter.
⚠ Operating cash flow deteriorated sharply in Q1 2026 — first negative reading in dataset; monitor working capital normalization.
⚠ Revenue volatility persists (range $2,904M–$3,486M); Q1 2026 at $3,193M sits mid-range, offering no clear momentum signal.
AI Insight: AA Ratio Trends
Alcoa swung from Q4 2025 collapse (OpMargin 2.0%) to Q1 2026 recovery (15.6%), but volatility masks structural weakness below pre-2025 peaks.
• Operating margin rebounded to 15.6% in Q1 2026 from 2.0% in Q4 2025, driven by 13.3% net profit margin recovery.
• ROIC surged to 78.2% in Q1 2026 from 11.1% in Q4 2025, but remains well below Q1 2025's anomalous 99.2%.
• TTM operating margin of 7.1% and ROIC of 35.1% sit far below Q1 2025 quarterly levels, signaling mean reversion.
⚠ Extreme quarter-to-quarter volatility (OpMargin: 2.0% to 15.6% to 7.1% TTM) suggests cyclical or one-time events, not sustainable earnings power.
⚠ Q1 2026 metrics may not persist; prior quarters show rapid deterioration after spikes (Q1 2025 ROIC 99.2% → Q2 2025 24.2%).
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Alcoa Corp including:
Top Institutional Holders of AA
BlackRock, Inc.
$1.9B28,392,633 shEAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$935.1M14,097,362 shFMR LLC
$852.5M12,852,778 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$838.7M12,644,935 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$781.1M11,776,650 shSTATE STREET CORP
$721.8M10,881,537 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$572.1M8,625,297 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$394.3M5,942,801 shAQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$343.0M5,171,649 shMORGAN STANLEY
$271.7M4,095,810 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $1.9B | 28,392,633 |
| EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $935.1M | 14,097,362 |
| FMR LLC | $852.5M | 12,852,778 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $838.7M | 12,644,935 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $781.1M | 11,776,650 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $721.8M | 10,881,537 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $572.1M | 8,625,297 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $394.3M | 5,942,801 |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $343.0M | 5,171,649 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $271.7M | 4,095,810 |
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Popular Research
Is AA a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Alcoa Corp (AA) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Materials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AA are available on the AA stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AA?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AA. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Alcoa Corp's investment landscape.