AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC(AFG)Stock Analysis
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Rank #887 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
AFG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores AFG at 59.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #887 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. AFG scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (84.2). Areas of concern include earnings quality (30.4) and institutional flow (32.3), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC reports quarterly revenue of $1.9B, net income of $191.0M, an operating margin of 12.9%. Top institutional holders of AFG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, FMR, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. AFG trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1042046. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AFG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC directly from SEC EDGAR. AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 49 and 70 since 2021, currently 59.9 — a stable long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$1.9B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$191.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$474.0M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
12.9%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.39
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+6.3% YoYNet Income
+4.1% YoYOperating Income
+4.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+5.2% YoYTotal Assets
+3.5% YoYTotal Debt
+0.0% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-41.5% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.32B +6.3% | $7.83B +11.2% | $7.04B +7.4% | $6.55B +13.6% | $5.77B -7.1% | $6.21B |
| Net Income | $887.0M +4.1% | $852.0M -5.1% | $898.0M -55.0% | $2.00B +172.5% | $732.0M -18.4% | $897.0M |
| Operating Income | $1.12B +4.8% | $1.07B -4.5% | $1.12B -15.9% | $1.33B +293.8% | $339.0M -46.5% | $634.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $10.57 +5.2% | $10.05 -4.6% | $10.53 -54.8% | $23.30 +184.1% | $8.20 -16.8% | $9.85 |
| Total Assets | $30.84B +3.5% | $29.79B +3.3% | $28.83B -0.3% | $28.93B -60.8% | $73.71B +5.1% | $70.13B |
| Total Debt | $1.48B +0.0% | $1.48B -1.4% | $1.50B -23.8% | $1.96B +0.1% | $1.96B +33.3% | $1.47B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.15B -41.5% | $1.97B +70.9% | $1.15B -32.7% | $1.71B -21.5% | $2.18B -11.1% | $2.46B |
AI Insight: AFG Financial Trends
AFG's Q4 2025 operating income hit $379M — a multi-quarter high — but debt jumped $345M in Q3 2025, the first leverage increase in over a year.
• Operating income rebounded sharply to $379M in Q4 2025 from $197M in Q1 2025, the strongest quarter in the observed period.
• Net income in Q4 2025 reached $299M, up from $154M in Q1 2025, reflecting meaningful year-over-year improvement versus Q4 2024's $255M.
• Equity grew steadily from $4,384M in Q2 2024 to $4,820M in Q4 2025, though Q1 2026 dipped to $4,678M.
• Operating cash flow improved to $784M in Q4 2025, recovering strongly after the negative $88M in Q2 2024.
⚠ Total debt jumped from $1,475M to $1,820M in Q3 2025 — a $345M increase — marking the first leverage rise in the entire observed period.
⚠ Q1 2026 operating cash flow of $474M is solid but operating income of $239M is near the lowest in recent quarters; seasonal softness warrants monitoring.
AI Insight: AFG Ratio Trends
AFG's profitability shows strong Q4 seasonality but Q1 2026 marks a step down in ROIC to 14.7% — the weakest first-quarter reading in the dataset.
• Q4 consistently outperforms: OpMargin surged to 18.4% in Q4 2025 vs. 14.9% in Q4 2024, suggesting durable seasonal tailwinds.
• ROE in Q1 2026 fell to 16.3% from 24.8% in Q4 2025, continuing a recurring first-quarter pattern of sharp sequential deceleration.
• D/E has crept from 0.31 in Q3 2024 to 0.39 in Q1 2026 — a modest but consistent rise in leverage over five quarters.
• TTM OpMargin of 13.6% and ROIC of 17.2% remain broadly stable, suggesting no structural deterioration on a full-year basis.
⚠ ROIC at 14.7% in Q1 2026 is the lowest Q1 reading shown; confirm whether underwriting losses or CAT events are driving the weakness.
⚠ D/E at 0.39 in Q1 2026 is the highest in the dataset — monitor whether leverage continues rising through Q2 2026.
⚠ Q4 2025 ROE of 24.8% is the dataset peak; watch whether Q4 2026 sustains this or reflects a one-off item inflating the quarter.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC including:
Top Institutional Holders of AFG
BlackRock, Inc.
$872.9M6,835,077 shFMR LLC
$814.0M6,373,439 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$499.6M3,912,066 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$419.5M3,284,836 shSTATE STREET CORP
$384.5M3,011,117 shAMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC 401(K) RETIREMENT & SAVINGS PLAN
$302.3M2,366,711 shCHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
$268.2M2,100,409 shVICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
$260.3M2,037,965 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$213.7M1,672,720 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$192.4M1,506,510 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $872.9M | 6,835,077 |
| FMR LLC | $814.0M | 6,373,439 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $499.6M | 3,912,066 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $419.5M | 3,284,836 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $384.5M | 3,011,117 |
| AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC 401(K) RETIREMENT & SAVINGS PLAN | $302.3M | 2,366,711 |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | $268.2M | 2,100,409 |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | $260.3M | 2,037,965 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $213.7M | 1,672,720 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $192.4M | 1,506,510 |
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Popular Research
Is AFG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AFG are available on the AFG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AFG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AFG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC's investment landscape.