Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)Stock Analysis
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Rank #762 of 2,961 stocksTOP 50%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Nov 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
UPST Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
Data updated 2026-09-11AI stock analysis and institutional research for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores UPST at 61.7/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #762 of 2,961 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. UPST scores in the top quartile across revenue growth (94.3). Areas of concern include earnings quality (1.8) and free cash flow (12.1), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 13.7/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q2 2026), Upstart Holdings, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $364.7M, net income of $16.5M, an operating margin of 4.0%. Top institutional holders of UPST by reported 13-F value include BlackRock, LINDEN ADVISORS, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. UPST trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1647639. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate UPST daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Upstart Holdings, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 22 and 67 since 2022, currently 61.7 — a declining long-term trajectory across 64 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q2 2026
$364.7M
Net Income
Q2 2026
$16.5M
Free Cash Flow
Q2 2026
$-138.7M
Operating Margin
Q2 2026
4.0%
ROIC
Q2 2026
2.1%
D/E Ratio
Q2 2026
2.51
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · ProRevenue
+64.0% YoYNet Income
+141.7% YoYOperating Income
+124.7% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+131.3% YoYTotal Assets
+25.7% YoYTotal Debt
+30.5% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-179.3% YoYFree Cash Flow
-179.8% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.04B +64.0% | $636.5M +23.9% | $513.6M -39.0% | $842.4M -0.7% | $848.6M +263.6% | $233.4M |
| Net Income | $53.6M +141.7% | $-128.6M +46.5% | $-240.1M -121.0% | $-108.7M -180.2% | $135.4M +2163.8% | $6.0M |
| Operating Income | $42.6M +124.7% | $-172.9M +32.6% | $-256.5M -125.3% | $-113.9M -180.8% | $140.9M +1097.5% | $11.8M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.45 +131.3% | $-1.44 +49.8% | $-2.87 -119.1% | $-1.31 -191.6% | $1.43 | $0.00 |
| Total Assets | $2.97B +25.7% | $2.37B +17.3% | $2.02B +4.2% | $1.94B +6.4% | $1.82B +281.4% | $477.3M |
| Total Debt | $1.83B +30.5% | $1.40B +34.8% | $1.04B +5.5% | $986.4M +41.8% | $695.4M +1010.5% | $62.6M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $-147.7M -179.3% | $186.3M +266.8% | $-111.7M +83.0% | $-657.9M -490.8% | $168.4M +972.5% | $15.7M |
| Free Cash Flow | $-148.1M -179.8% | $185.5M +263.8% | $-113.2M +83.0% | $-666.7M -516.9% | $159.9M +1015.1% | $14.3M |
AI Insight: UPST Financial Trends
Revenue accelerating sharply (+18% YoY in Q2 2026) but debt ballooned 43% while operating cash flow remains persistently negative.
• Revenue grew from $277M (Q3 2025) to $365M (Q2 2026), +32% over 9 months, with Q2 2026 at $365M marking the highest level.
• Net income returned to profitability: $32M in Q3 2025, then $19M (Q4 2025), $-7M (Q1 2026), rebounded to $17M (Q2 2026).
• Total debt surged from $887M (Q3 2024) to $2,003M (Q2 2026), a 126% increase over 21 months.
⚠ Operating cash flow negative for 6 of 8 quarters; latest -$137M (Q2 2026) despite $365M revenue and $17M net income.
⚠ Leverage deteriorated: debt-to-equity ratio 2.52x (Q2 2026) vs. 1.49x (Q3 2024); sustainability of debt servicing unclear.
AI Insight: UPST Ratio Trends
Upstart swung from deep losses in late 2024 to modest profitability by mid-2026, but margins remain volatile and well below Q3 2025's 8.5% peak.
• Operating margin recovered from -27.9% in Q3 2024 to 4.0% in TTM, driven by Q3 2025 spike to 8.5% before softening to 4.0% in Q2 2026.
• ROE and ROIC turned positive in Q2 2025 (3.1% and 0.8% respectively) and peaked in Q3 2025 (17.1% and 3.6%), indicating operational turnaround.
• Debt-to-equity climbed from 1.49 in Q3 2024 to 2.62 in Q1 2026 before settling at 2.51 in TTM, signaling rising leverage despite profitability recovery.
⚠ Q1 2026 showed sharp margin contraction to -2.4% operating margin and negative ROIC (-1.1%), breaking the profitability trend established through Q4 2025.
⚠ Quarterly volatility persists: Q2 2026 rebounded to 4.0% operating margin, but lack of consistency raises visibility concerns.
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Top Institutional Holders of UPST
BlackRock, Inc.
$279.1M7,878,717 shLINDEN ADVISORS LP
$203.8M178,145,000 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$132.5M3,739,758 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$131.0M3,698,553 shSUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP
$108.4M3,059,600 shLINDEN ADVISORS LP
$103.8M126,302,000 shSUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP
$91.7M2,589,500 shMORGAN STANLEY
$85.6M2,414,712 shGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
$84.9M2,395,222 shMARSHALL WACE, LLP
$84.0M2,370,690 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $279.1M | 7,878,717 |
| LINDEN ADVISORS LP | $203.8M | 178,145,000 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $132.5M | 3,739,758 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $131.0M | 3,698,553 |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | $108.4M | 3,059,600 |
| LINDEN ADVISORS LP | $103.8M | 126,302,000 |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | $91.7M | 2,589,500 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $85.6M | 2,414,712 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | $84.9M | 2,395,222 |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | $84.0M | 2,370,690 |
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Popular Research
Is UPST a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for UPST are available on the UPST stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing. UPST is classified as a mid company.
Which hedge funds own UPST?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling UPST. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s investment landscape.