Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,379 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
UPST Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores UPST at 51.7/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,379 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. UPST scores in the top quartile across revenue growth (90.6). Areas of concern include free cash flow (10.8) and earnings quality (30.0), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 14.2/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Upstart Holdings, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $308.2M, net income of $-6.6M, free cash flow of $-136.0M. Top institutional holders of UPST by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, LINDEN ADVISORS, MORGAN STANLEY, based on the most recent SEC filings. UPST trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1647639. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate UPST daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Upstart Holdings, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 22 and 67 since 2022, currently 51.7 — a declining long-term trajectory across 26 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$308.2M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-6.6M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-136.0M
ROIC
Q1 2026
-0.3%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
2.62
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+64.0% YoYNet Income
+141.7% YoYOperating Income
+124.7% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+131.3% YoYTotal Assets
+25.7% YoYTotal Debt
+30.5% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-179.3% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.04B +64.0% | $636.5M -24.4% | $842.4M -0.7% | $848.6M +263.6% | $233.4M +42.2% | $164.2M |
| Net Income | $53.6M +141.7% | $-128.6M -18.3% | $-108.7M -180.2% | $135.4M +2163.8% | $6.0M +1383.9% | $-466.0K |
| Operating Income | $42.6M +124.7% | $-172.9M -51.8% | $-113.9M -180.8% | $140.9M +1097.5% | $11.8M +357.2% | $-4.6M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.45 +131.3% | $-1.44 -9.9% | $-1.31 -191.6% | $1.43 | $0.00 +100.0% | $-0.03 |
| Total Assets | $2.97B +25.7% | $2.37B +22.3% | $1.94B +6.4% | $1.82B +281.4% | $477.3M | — |
| Total Debt | $1.83B +30.5% | $1.40B +42.2% | $986.4M +41.8% | $695.4M +1010.5% | $62.6M | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $-147.7M -179.3% | $186.3M +128.3% | $-657.9M -490.8% | $168.4M +972.5% | $15.7M -50.3% | $31.6M |
AI Insight: UPST Financial Trends
Revenue growth sustained above 8% YoY, but profitability stumbled in Q1 2026 amid rising debt and negative cash flow.
• Revenue grew 13.6% from Q1 2025 ($213M) to Q1 2026 ($308M), demonstrating consistent topline expansion.
• Net income swung to loss of $7M in Q1 2026 after Q4 2025 profit of $19M, reversing profitability momentum.
• Total debt surged to $1,922M in Q1 2026 from $1,335M in Q1 2025, a 44% increase YoY.
⚠ Operating cash flow negative $133M in Q1 2026; first negative quarter in eight-quarter stretch raises sustainability concerns.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio deteriorated to 2.62x in Q1 2026 from 1.97x in Q1 2025, signaling rising leverage.
AI Insight: UPST Ratio Trends
Upstart's profitability momentum reversed sharply in Q1 2026, swinging to losses across all return metrics after three consecutive profitable quarters.
• Operating margin collapsed from 6.4% in Q4 2025 to -2.4% in Q1 2026; ROE fell from 9.3% to -3.6%.
• TTM metrics remain modestly positive (OpMargin 3.5%, NPM 4.3%, ROE 6.7%), but latest quarter erased Q4 2025 gains entirely.
• Leverage rose to 2.62 D/E in Q1 2026, highest level since TTM period began, amid profitability deterioration.
⚠ Q1 2026 profitability collapse signals potential seasonality or structural headwind; trend sustainability critical over next 2 quarters.
⚠ ROIC turned negative at -1.1% vs. 2.9% in Q4 2025—first quarterly loss since Q1 2025 as recovery derailed.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of UPST
BlackRock, Inc.
$189.9M7,403,079 shLINDEN ADVISORS LP
$173.2M176,645,000 shMORGAN STANLEY
$102.0M3,975,059 shSUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP
$97.7M3,809,800 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$96.2M3,752,050 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$96.0M3,743,541 shLINDEN ADVISORS LP
$90.9M126,302,000 shMARSHALL WACE, LLP
$84.1M3,280,110 shSUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP
$68.3M2,664,700 shWHITEBOX ADVISORS LLC
$63.3M64,900,000 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $189.9M | 7,403,079 |
| LINDEN ADVISORS LP | $173.2M | 176,645,000 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $102.0M | 3,975,059 |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | $97.7M | 3,809,800 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $96.2M | 3,752,050 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $96.0M | 3,743,541 |
| LINDEN ADVISORS LP | $90.9M | 126,302,000 |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | $84.1M | 3,280,110 |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | $68.3M | 2,664,700 |
| WHITEBOX ADVISORS LLC | $63.3M | 64,900,000 |
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Popular Research
Is UPST a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for UPST are available on the UPST stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own UPST?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling UPST. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s investment landscape.