TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/(TSCO)Stock Analysis
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Rank #837 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
TSCO Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ (TSCO), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores TSCO at 60.7/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #837 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. TSCO scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (90.7), balance sheet strength (85.5). Areas of concern include institutional flow (23.0) and earnings quality (36.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ reports quarterly revenue of $3.6B, net income of $164.5M, an operating margin of 6.5%. Top institutional holders of TSCO by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. TSCO trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 916365. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate TSCO daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ directly from SEC EDGAR. TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 77 since 2021, currently 60.7 — a declining long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$3.6B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$164.5M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-111.5M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
6.5%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.85
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+6.7% YoYNet Income
-1.0% YoYOperating Income
-0.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+409.9% YoYTotal Assets
+19.0% YoYTotal Debt
+2.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+22.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.52B +6.7% | $14.56B +2.5% | $14.20B +11.6% | $12.73B +19.9% | $10.62B +34.2% | $7.91B |
| Net Income | $1.10B -1.0% | $1.11B +1.7% | $1.09B +9.2% | $997.1M +33.1% | $749.0M +40.7% | $532.4M |
| Operating Income | $1.47B -0.8% | $1.48B +3.1% | $1.43B +9.8% | $1.31B +31.1% | $996.9M +42.1% | $701.7M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.06 +409.9% | $0.40 +4.1% | $0.39 -77.5% | $1.72 +35.0% | $1.28 +48.0% | $0.86 |
| Total Assets | $10.93B +19.0% | $9.19B +8.2% | $8.49B +9.3% | $7.77B +10.2% | $7.05B +128.5% | $3.09B |
| Total Debt | $1.76B +2.1% | $1.73B +48.5% | $1.16B +18.0% | $986.4M +0.2% | $984.3M +158.3% | $381.1M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.64B +22.6% | $1.33B -1.7% | $1.36B +19.2% | $1.14B -18.3% | $1.39B +100.8% | $694.4M |
AI Insight: TSCO Financial Trends
TSCO's profitability and cash generation have deteriorated through early 2026, with Q1 2026 net income down 8% YoY and operating cash flow collapsing 58% despite flat revenue.
• Net income fell from $179M in Q1 2025 to $165M in Q1 2026 (−8%), while operating income declined from $249M to $233M (−6%).
• Operating cash flow tumbled to $91M in Q1 2026 from $217M in Q1 2025 (−58%), signaling weakened working capital or earnings quality.
• Total debt spiked to $2,126M in Q1 2026 from $1,673M in Q2 2025, reducing financial flexibility and raising leverage at an inopportune time.
⚠ Q1 2026 represents the weakest quarter in the dataset for both net income and operating cash flow; monitor whether seasonal weakness or structural demand erosion is driving deterioration.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio rose to 0.85x in Q1 2026 from 0.67x in Q2 2025, signaling aggressive capital deployment or earnings headwinds requiring close tracking.
AI Insight: TSCO Ratio Trends
TSCO's profitability and returns have deteriorated sharply into Q1 2026, with operating margin falling to 6.5% and ROIC collapsing to 20.1%—the lowest in the dataset.
• Operating margin compressed 260 bps from Q2 2025 (13.0%) to Q1 2026 (6.5%), lowest quarterly reading across full period.
• ROIC declined 35.4 pp from Q2 2025 (55.5%) to Q1 2026 (20.1%), breaking below historical seasonal lows.
• Net profit margin fell to 4.6% in Q1 2026 from 9.7% in Q2 2025; TTM NPM of 6.9% reflects cumulative margin erosion.
• D/E ratio rose to 0.85 in Q1 2026 from 0.68 in Q4 2025, returning to mid-cycle leverage levels.
⚠ ROE collapsed to 26.2% in Q1 2026 vs. 69.1% in Q2 2025; persistently depressed equity returns suggest structural pressure.
⚠ Q1 weakness appears structural, not purely seasonal: Q1 2025 also showed depressed margins (7.2%) and ROIC (23.1%).
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ including:
Top Institutional Holders of TSCO
BlackRock, Inc.
$2.1B45,340,524 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.6B34,286,407 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.3B27,886,276 shSTATE STREET CORP
$1.0B22,835,068 shInvesco Ltd.
$917.5M20,254,776 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$739.6M16,363,197 shCapital World Investors
$705.1M15,565,779 shSelect Equity Group, L.P.
$602.3M13,296,464 shCapital International Investors
$555.2M12,254,237 shCapital Research Global Investors
$481.8M10,634,640 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $2.1B | 45,340,524 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.6B | 34,286,407 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.3B | 27,886,276 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $1.0B | 22,835,068 |
| Invesco Ltd. | $917.5M | 20,254,776 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $739.6M | 16,363,197 |
| Capital World Investors | $705.1M | 15,565,779 |
| Select Equity Group, L.P. | $602.3M | 13,296,464 |
| Capital International Investors | $555.2M | 12,254,237 |
| Capital Research Global Investors | $481.8M | 10,634,640 |
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Popular Research
Is TSCO a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ (TSCO) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for TSCO are available on the TSCO stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own TSCO?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling TSCO. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/'s investment landscape.