Natera, Inc.(NTRA)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,659 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
NTRA Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Natera, Inc. (NTRA), a Healthcare sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores NTRA at 46.4/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,659 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. NTRA scores in the top quartile across revenue growth (91.0). Areas of concern include balance sheet strength (14.3) and profitability (20.7), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 12.2/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Natera, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $696.6M, net income of $-85.1M, an operating margin of -13.4%. Top institutional holders of NTRA by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. NTRA trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1604821. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate NTRA daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Natera, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Natera, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 82 since 2021, currently 46.4 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$696.6M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-85.1M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$18.0M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
-13.4%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.05
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+56.7% YoYNet Income
+56.2% YoYOperating Income
+50.2% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+59.5% YoYTotal Assets
+15.2% YoYTotal Debt
-77.9% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+154.9% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.70B +56.7% | $1.08B +32.0% | $820.2M +31.1% | $625.5M +60.0% | $391.0M +29.3% | $302.3M |
| Net Income | $-190.4M +56.2% | $-434.8M +20.6% | $-547.8M -16.1% | $-471.7M -105.3% | $-229.7M -84.0% | $-124.8M |
| Operating Income | $-222.3M +50.2% | $-446.2M +17.5% | $-541.0M -15.6% | $-468.2M -116.5% | $-216.3M -86.0% | $-116.3M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.53 +59.5% | $-3.78 +32.1% | $-5.57 -6.9% | $-5.21 -83.5% | $-2.84 -58.7% | $-1.79 |
| Total Assets | $1.66B +15.2% | $1.44B +3.4% | $1.39B +12.8% | $1.24B +32.6% | $932.2M +60.0% | $582.7M |
| Total Debt | $80.4M -77.9% | $363.3M +0.4% | $362.0M +9.5% | $330.4M +560.2% | $50.1M -0.1% | $50.1M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $135.7M +154.9% | $-247.0M +42.8% | $-431.5M -28.7% | $-335.2M -83.7% | $-182.5M -187.7% | $-63.4M |
AI Insight: NTRA Financial Trends
Revenue acceleration to $697M masks deepening operating losses and swinging profitability; Q4 2025 was an anomaly, not a trend.
• Revenue grew 69% from Q2 2024 ($413M) to Q1 2026 ($697M), accelerating quarterly run-rate despite persistent operating losses.
• Operating income deteriorated from -$44M in Q2 2024 to -$94M in Q1 2026; Q4 2025's -$23M was a one-quarter exception.
• Net income swung from -$37M loss in Q2 2024 to $47M profit in Q4 2025, then back to -$85M loss in Q1 2026—volatile.
• Equity expanded 112% from $837M (Q2 2024) to $1,774M (Q1 2026); debt held flat at $80M except Q4 2024–Q1 2025 spike.
⚠ Operating margins remain deeply negative despite strong revenue growth; Q1 2026 op margin at -13.5%, nearly as bad as peak losses.
⚠ Q4 2025 profitability ($47M net income) appears isolated; Q1 2026 reverted to -$85M. Path to sustained profitability unclear.
⚠ Operating cash flow volatile (range $38M–$74M) despite growing revenue; inconsistency hints at working-capital or collection pressure.
AI Insight: NTRA Ratio Trends
Natera swung to Q4 2025 profitability but has deteriorated sharply into Q1 2026, with OpMargin falling to -13.4% and ROIC collapsing to -20.2%.
• Q4 2025 marked dramatic inflection: OpMargin improved to -3.4%, NPM turned positive at 7.1%, ROE reached 11.0%.
• Q1 2026 reversal severe: OpMargin declined to -13.4%, NPM dropped to -12.2%, ROE fell to -19.2%.
• ROIC deteriorated from -5.1% in Q4 2025 to -20.2% in Q1 2026; leverage stable at 0.05 D/E.
⚠ Q4 2025 profitability proved unsustainable—one quarter of positive earnings erased in Q1 2026 reversion.
⚠ TTM OpMargin at -13.0% masks wide volatility; Q2 2025 reached -20.2% low, suggesting operational instability.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of NTRA
BlackRock, Inc.
$2.1B10,677,338 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.2B6,008,496 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.1B5,644,695 shWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
$953.7M4,768,593 shSTATE STREET CORP
$683.5M3,417,472 shFARALLON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$641.4M3,207,366 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$553.8M2,775,928 shFMR LLC
$510.8M2,554,254 shCOATUE MANAGEMENT LLC
$508.3M2,541,842 shCastle Hook Partners LP
$505.9M2,529,810 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $2.1B | 10,677,338 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.2B | 6,008,496 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.1B | 5,644,695 |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | $953.7M | 4,768,593 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $683.5M | 3,417,472 |
| FARALLON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $641.4M | 3,207,366 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $553.8M | 2,775,928 |
| FMR LLC | $510.8M | 2,554,254 |
| COATUE MANAGEMENT LLC | $508.3M | 2,541,842 |
| Castle Hook Partners LP | $505.9M | 2,529,810 |
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Popular Research
Is NTRA a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Natera, Inc. (NTRA) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Healthcare sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for NTRA are available on the NTRA stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own NTRA?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling NTRA. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Natera, Inc.'s investment landscape.