GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO(GPK)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,664 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
GPK Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK), a Materials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores GPK at 46.3/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,664 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. GPK scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (85.0). Areas of concern include earnings quality (12.6) and revenue growth (20.7), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO reports quarterly revenue of $2.2B, net income of $-43.0M, free cash flow of $-113.0M. Top institutional holders of GPK by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT,, Allspring Global Investments Holdings,, based on the most recent SEC filings. GPK trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1408075. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate GPK daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO directly from SEC EDGAR. GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 46 and 69 since 2021, currently 46.3 — a declining long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$2.2B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-43.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-113.0M
ROIC
Q1 2026
0.2%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
2.23
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-2.2% YoYNet Income
-32.5% YoYOperating Income
-28.2% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-31.5% YoYTotal Assets
+5.7% YoYTotal Debt
+34.8% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+0.1% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.62B -2.2% | $8.81B -6.6% | $9.43B +43.7% | $6.56B +6.5% | $6.16B +2.2% | $6.03B |
| Net Income | $444.0M -32.5% | $658.0M -9.0% | $723.0M +332.9% | $167.0M -19.3% | $207.0M -6.4% | $221.1M |
| Operating Income | $804.0M -28.2% | $1.12B -4.7% | $1.17B +124.0% | $524.0M -1.9% | $534.0M +16.5% | $458.2M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.48 -31.5% | $2.16 -7.7% | $2.34 +290.0% | $0.60 -14.3% | $0.70 -1.4% | $0.71 |
| Total Assets | $11.78B +5.7% | $11.14B -0.3% | $11.18B +43.2% | $7.80B +7.1% | $7.29B +3.3% | $7.06B |
| Total Debt | $7.06B +34.8% | $5.24B -30.0% | $7.48B +49.5% | $5.01B +69.9% | $2.95B -3.2% | $3.05B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $841.0M +0.1% | $840.0M -26.6% | $1.14B +38.7% | $825.0M +23.9% | $666.0M +278.2% | $-373.8M |
AI Insight: GPK Financial Trends
GPK's profitability has collapsed—net income swung to -$43M in Q1 2026 from $190M two years prior, while debt surged 19% to $7.2B.
• Operating income halved from $324M (Q2 2024) to $19M (Q1 2026), signaling severe margin compression across the period.
• Total debt climbed 19% from $6.1B (Q2 2024) to $7.2B (Q1 2026) while equity gained only 15%, deteriorating leverage ratio.
• Operating cash flow turned negative (-$113M) in Q1 2026 after four consecutive quarters of positive generation, signaling cash stress.
⚠ Net income turned negative in Q1 2026 for first time in dataset; operating margin contracted to 0.9% from 14.5% peak.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio deteriorated to 2.2x (Q1 2026) from 2.2x (Q2 2024); absolute leverage now at highest level in period.
AI Insight: GPK Ratio Trends
Graphic Packaging's profitability collapsed in Q1 2026, with operating margin plunging to 0.9% and net margin turning negative at -2.0%.
• Operating margin deteriorated from 7.4% in Q4 2025 to 0.9% in Q1 2026; NPM swung to -2.0% from +3.4%.
• ROIC fell from 6.0% in Q4 2025 to 0.7% in Q1 2026, marking the lowest return on invested capital in the dataset.
• Debt-to-equity elevated to 2.23 in Q1 2026 TTM, highest since Q2 2024, amid profitability deterioration.
⚠ Q1 2026 losses suggest operational stress; ROE and ROA both negative—first occurrence in dataset.
⚠ Four-quarter deterioration from Q2 2024 (OpMargin 14.5%, ROIC 14.6%) to Q1 2026 (0.9%, 0.7%) signals sustained structural headwinds.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of GPK
BlackRock, Inc.
$361.8M36,394,195 shFULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.
$201.9M20,315,566 shAllspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC
$172.7M18,004,664 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$144.2M14,506,429 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$131.9M13,271,484 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$108.0M10,863,832 shSTATE STREET CORP
$101.6M10,111,418 shFMR LLC
$99.4M9,998,772 shDME Capital Management, LP
$90.5M9,099,980 shMANNING & NAPIER ADVISORS LLC
$84.3M8,481,670 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $361.8M | 36,394,195 |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | $201.9M | 20,315,566 |
| Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC | $172.7M | 18,004,664 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $144.2M | 14,506,429 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $131.9M | 13,271,484 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $108.0M | 10,863,832 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $101.6M | 10,111,418 |
| FMR LLC | $99.4M | 9,998,772 |
| DME Capital Management, LP | $90.5M | 9,099,980 |
| MANNING & NAPIER ADVISORS LLC | $84.3M | 8,481,670 |
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Popular Research
Is GPK a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO (GPK) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Materials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for GPK are available on the GPK stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own GPK?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling GPK. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO's investment landscape.