FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC(FCX)Stock Analysis
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Rank #206 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
FCX Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (FCX), a Materials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores FCX at 73.1/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #206 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. FCX scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (94.7), balance sheet strength (83.2), profitability (82.8). Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC reports quarterly revenue of $6.2B, net income of $1.4B, free cash flow of $522.0M. Top institutional holders of FCX by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, Fisher Asset Management,, based on the most recent SEC filings. FCX trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 831259. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate FCX daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC directly from SEC EDGAR. FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 81 since 2021, currently 73.1 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving FCX's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC's 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Q1 net income of $881M driven by 30% higher copper prices and $699M insurance settlement from Indonesia mud rush, partially offset by 24% lower copper sales from PTFI's operational suspension.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $6.2B+8.8% YoY
Lower sales volumes from PTFI following Mud Rush Incident, offset by higher average realized prices
Higher average realized prices partly offset by lower PTFI sales volumes
Higher copper prices, partly offset by lower copper sales volumes
Higher average realized prices and higher by-product credits
Largest Expense Items
Includes $406M of idle facility and restoration costs at PTFI related to Mud Rush Incident
Includes $93M of non-inventoriable idle facility costs; higher depreciation from assets placed in service in 2025
Margins: Operating margin improved to 34% in Q1 2026 from 23% in Q1 2025, driven by higher copper and gold prices offsetting lower sales volumes and $499M in Mud Rush Incident costs, which were partially recovered through a $699M insurance settlement.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Indonesia operations (Grasberg Block Cave) severely impacted by September 2025 mud rush incident; Q1 copper production fell 68% to 95M lbs and gold production dropped 68% to 92k oz. Full ramp-up delayed to end of 2027, with near-term production capped at ~60% capacity due to ore loading system modifications.
- PTFI's life-of-resource operating rights extension beyond 2041 is subject to Indonesia government approval of amended mining license (IUPK) and completion of definitive agreements; no guarantee these will be approved on current terms.
- Consolidated 2026 projected cash operating flows of $8.7B exceed capital expenditures of $4.3B, with $2.4B net debt (excluding $3.2B downstream processing facility debt) well within $3B–$4B target, providing strong liquidity and flexibility for shareholder returns.
- Unit net cash costs for copper expected to rise to $1.95/lb in 2026 (from $1.91/lb in Q1) due to revised lower PTFI volumes and higher energy and consumable costs following Middle East conflict; idle facility costs projected at $1.3B for year.
- Company investigating whether PT Smelting (66%-owned joint venture) violated FCPA and other laws; SEC notified March 17, 2026 it does not intend to pursue enforcement, but investigation outcome and potential fines remain uncertain.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$6.2B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$1.4B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$522.0M
ROIC
Q1 2026
7.4%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.51
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+1.8% YoYNet Income
+16.7% YoYOperating Income
-5.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
Total Assets
+6.1% YoYTotal Debt
+9.5% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-21.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.91B +1.8% | $25.45B +11.4% | $22.86B +0.3% | $22.78B -0.3% | $22.84B +60.9% | $14.20B |
| Net Income | $2.20B +16.7% | $1.89B +2.2% | $1.85B -46.7% | $3.47B -19.5% | $4.31B | — |
| Operating Income | $6.52B -5.0% | $6.86B +10.3% | $6.22B -11.5% | $7.04B -15.9% | $8.37B +243.3% | $2.44B |
| EPS (Diluted) | — | — | — | — | $2.90 +607.3% | $0.41 |
| Total Assets | $58.17B +6.1% | $54.85B +4.5% | $52.51B +2.8% | $51.09B +6.4% | $48.02B +13.9% | $42.14B |
| Total Debt | $9.85B +9.5% | $8.99B -11.8% | $10.19B -12.6% | $11.66B +18.7% | $9.82B +0.8% | $9.74B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $5.61B -21.6% | $7.16B +35.6% | $5.28B +2.7% | $5.14B -33.4% | $7.71B +155.7% | $3.02B |
AI Insight: FCX Financial Trends
FCX revenue collapsed 40% from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026, dragging operating income and cash flow lower despite modest debt reduction.
• Q4 2025 revenue dropped to $5,633M from $6,972M in Q3 2025; Q1 2026 rebounded only to $6,234M, well below prior-year Q1 2025 at $5,728M shows volatile demand.
• Operating income fell 59% to $811M in Q4 2025, recovered to $2,137M in Q1 2026, signaling margin compression amid commodity price volatility.
• Total debt rose from $8,989M in Q4 2024 to $9,914M in Q1 2026, while equity expanded 12% to $19,505M, reducing leverage ratio modestly.
⚠ Operating cash flow hit cycle low of $693M in Q4 2025; Q1 2026 recovery to $1,495M remains 23% below Q2 2025 peak, signaling working-capital stress.
⚠ Debt/equity ratio tightened from 0.59 to 0.51 year-over-year, but absolute debt level remains elevated; monitor commodity price stabilization.
AI Insight: FCX Ratio Trends
Operating margin rebounded sharply to 34.3% in Q1 2026 after Q4 2025 trough, but ROIC volatility and a weak prior quarter signal cyclical headwinds in the business.
• OpMargin recovered to 34.3% in Q1 2026 from 14.4% in Q4 2025, highest in two years; ROIC rebounded to 29.1% from 11.3%.
• Debt-to-equity stable around 0.51 since Q4 2024, down from 0.60 in Q3 2024; leverage remained controlled through volatility.
• TTM ROIC of 25.0% represents 4.7pp decline from Q2 2024 peak of 29.7%, reflecting recent quarter weakness.
⚠ Q4 2025 saw OpMargin and ROIC collapse to 14.4% and 11.3% respectively—sharp single-quarter deterioration requires explanation.
⚠ ROIC has swung 24.2pp (from 11.3% to 35.4%) within nine months; cyclical volatility complicates returns assessment.
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Top Institutional Holders of FCX
BlackRock, Inc.
$7.4B125,871,028 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$5.5B93,403,193 shFisher Asset Management, LLC
$3.8B65,089,606 shSTATE STREET CORP
$3.8B64,185,008 shBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/
$2.5B42,345,502 shCapital Research Global Investors
$2.4B40,841,930 shFRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
$2.1B35,318,777 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$1.9B32,282,535 shMORGAN STANLEY
$1.5B26,227,652 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.4B23,633,348 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $7.4B | 125,871,028 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $5.5B | 93,403,193 |
| Fisher Asset Management, LLC | $3.8B | 65,089,606 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $3.8B | 64,185,008 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | $2.5B | 42,345,502 |
| Capital Research Global Investors | $2.4B | 40,841,930 |
| FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC | $2.1B | 35,318,777 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $1.9B | 32,282,535 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $1.5B | 26,227,652 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.4B | 23,633,348 |
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Popular Research
Is FCX a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC (FCX) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Materials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for FCX are available on the FCX stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own FCX?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling FCX. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC's investment landscape.