Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp(MGY)Stock Analysis
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Rank #271 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
MGY Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY), a Energy sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores MGY at 71.2/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #271 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. MGY scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (94.8), balance sheet strength (90.3), profitability (86.4). Areas of concern include earnings quality (35.1), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 40.8/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp reports quarterly revenue of $358.5M, net income of $99.8M, an operating margin of 35.6%. Top institutional holders of MGY by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES, based on the most recent SEC filings. MGY trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1698990. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate MGY daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp directly from SEC EDGAR. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 85 since 2021, currently 71.2 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving MGY's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Q1 2026 net income of $99.8M ($0.54/share) on $358.5M revenue; oil production +4% YoY drove growth, partially offset by 16% NGL price decline.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $358.5M+2.3% YoY
4% increase in oil production volume and 1% increase in average prices
5% increase in production offset by 4% decrease in average prices
16% decrease in average prices partially offset by 10% increase in production
Largest Expense Items
Higher production and acquisitions made during 2026
Surface repair and maintenance, compression from higher well count, offset by lower per-boe cost
Increased stock-based compensation from higher grant values, accelerated vesting, and PSU payout changes
Watch Items from the Filing
- NGL prices declined 16% YoY, reducing revenues by $8.6M in Q1 2026; commodity price volatility poses ongoing downside risk.
- Pending litigation with EnerVest affiliates regarding minority working interest in Karnes County Assets; exposure not reasonably estimable; Co-Defendants retain liability.
- In February 2026, Magnolia LLC Unit Holders redeemed 4.8M units and company repurchased remaining 0.7M units, eliminating noncontrolling interest; company now owns 100% of Magnolia LLC.
- Operating cash flow declined 12% YoY to $197.6M due to lower NGL prices and timing of receipts/payments, though company maintains $574.4M total liquidity.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$358.5M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$99.8M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$197.6M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
35.6%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.19
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-0.3% YoYNet Income
-11.1% YoYOperating Income
-14.2% YoYTotal Assets
+2.9% YoYTotal Debt
+0.2% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-4.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.31B -0.3% | $1.32B +7.2% | $1.23B -27.6% | $1.69B +57.1% | $1.08B +99.2% | $541.3M |
| Net Income | $325.3M -11.1% | $366.0M -5.7% | $388.3M -56.6% | $893.8M +114.2% | $417.3M +134.5% | $-1.21B |
| Operating Income | $439.2M -14.2% | $512.0M -4.2% | $534.5M -50.2% | $1.07B +78.2% | $602.6M +131.3% | $-1.93B |
| Total Assets | $2.90B +2.9% | $2.82B +2.3% | $2.76B +7.1% | $2.57B +47.3% | $1.75B +20.2% | $1.45B |
| Total Debt | $393.3M +0.2% | $392.5M -0.1% | $392.8M +0.6% | $390.4M +0.6% | $388.1M -0.8% | $391.1M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $878.6M -4.6% | $920.9M +7.6% | $855.8M -34.0% | $1.30B +64.5% | $788.5M +154.2% | $310.1M |
AI Insight: MGY Financial Trends
MGY showed modest revenue recovery in Q1 2026 but profitability and operating margins remain under pressure versus prior-year levels.
• Revenue rebounded to $359M in Q1 2026, highest since Q1 2025's $350M, but net income of $100M trails Q1 2025's $103M despite higher sales.
• Operating margin compressed to 35.7% in Q1 2026 from 38.9% in Q1 2025, reflecting persistent cost pressures despite flat debt at $393M.
• Operating cash flow declined to $198M in Q1 2026 from $224M in Q1 2025, down 11.6% year-over-year despite higher revenue.
⚠ Net income fell 33% from Q2 2024 ($96M) to Q1 2026 ($100M appears recovered but prior four quarters averaged $81M)—sustained pressure.
⚠ Operating income collapsed from $136M in Q1 2025 to $94M in Q4 2025 before partial recovery to $128M in Q1 2026; volatility concerning.
AI Insight: MGY Ratio Trends
Operating margin collapsed 9.3pp from Q2 2024 to Q3 2025, then partially recovered to 35.6% in Q1 2026 on seasonal strength.
• OpMargin fell from 39.9% (Q2 2024) to 29.6% (Q4 2025), a sustained 10pp deterioration across the cycle.
• Net profit margin compressed from 28.4% (Q2 2024) to 21.6% (Q4 2025), signaling persistent cost or pricing pressure.
• Q1 2026 shows recovery: OpMargin 35.6%, NPM 27.8%, ROA 13.6%—near pre-decline levels but above Q4 2025 trough.
⚠ ROIC 95.7% in Q4 2025 is outlier; missing data for other quarters limits trend visibility on capital efficiency.
⚠ ROA declined from 14.3% (Q1 2025) to 9.5% (Q4 2025)—verify if margin pressure or asset base inflation drove decline.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp including:
Top Institutional Holders of MGY
BlackRock, Inc.
$931.0M29,491,149 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$409.9M12,983,395 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$331.8M10,509,240 shSTATE STREET CORP
$299.8M9,496,275 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$226.9M7,188,424 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$221.9M7,028,781 shJANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
$198.2M6,279,636 shARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
$197.7M6,263,808 shNOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.
$157.0M4,972,261 shTD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC
$156.0M4,941,979 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $931.0M | 29,491,149 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $409.9M | 12,983,395 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $331.8M | 10,509,240 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $299.8M | 9,496,275 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $226.9M | 7,188,424 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $221.9M | 7,028,781 |
| JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC | $198.2M | 6,279,636 |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | $197.7M | 6,263,808 |
| NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. | $157.0M | 4,972,261 |
| TD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC | $156.0M | 4,941,979 |
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Popular Research
Is MGY a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for MGY are available on the MGY stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own MGY?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling MGY. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp's investment landscape.