MATTEL INC /DE/(MAT)Stock Analysis
AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →Deep AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →13F Pro Quality Score
Rank #1,243 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
View Consumer Discretionary peers →
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
MAT Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores MAT at 54.0/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,243 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. MAT scores in the top quartile across earnings quality (96.2), institutional flow (84.7), revenue scale (76.3). Areas of concern include free cash flow (23.6) and revenue growth (25.8), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 47.2/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), MATTEL INC /DE/ reports quarterly revenue of $862.2M, net income of $61.0M, free cash flow of $-22.9M. Top institutional holders of MAT by reported 13-F value include EdgePoint Investment Group, PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/, BlackRock,, based on the most recent SEC filings. MAT trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 63276. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate MAT daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for MATTEL INC /DE/ directly from SEC EDGAR. MATTEL INC /DE/'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 74 since 2021, currently 54.0 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$862.2M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$61.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-22.9M
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
1.11
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-0.6% YoYNet Income
-26.6% YoYOperating Income
-21.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-21.5% YoYTotal Assets
+1.5% YoYTotal Debt
-0.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-25.9% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.35B -0.6% | $5.38B -1.0% | $5.43B -0.4% | $5.46B +18.9% | $4.59B +1.9% | $4.50B |
| Net Income | $398.0M -26.6% | $542.0M +37.6% | $393.9M -56.4% | $903.0M +630.7% | $123.6M +156.5% | $-218.8M |
| Operating Income | $546.4M -21.3% | $694.3M +2.8% | $675.5M -7.4% | $729.6M +94.7% | $374.7M +910.0% | $37.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.24 -21.5% | $1.58 +43.6% | $1.10 -56.5% | $2.53 +622.9% | $0.35 +155.6% | $-0.63 |
| Total Assets | $6.64B +1.5% | $6.54B +5.9% | $6.18B -3.4% | $6.39B +15.5% | $5.53B +3.9% | $5.33B |
| Total Debt | $2.33B -0.1% | $2.33B +0.4% | $2.33B -9.5% | $2.57B -10.0% | $2.86B +0.3% | $2.85B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $593.3M -25.9% | $800.6M +80.8% | $442.8M -8.8% | $485.5M +69.9% | $285.7M +69.6% | $168.4M |
AI Insight: MAT Financial Trends
Q1 2026 operating loss of $103M despite a $35M year-over-year revenue improvement signals a sharp cost deterioration versus Q1 2025's $-53M op loss.
• Revenue in Q1 2026 rose to $862M from $827M in Q1 2025, a modest year-over-year improvement in the seasonally weakest quarter.
• Operating income swung to a $-103M loss in Q1 2026 versus $-53M in Q1 2025, a 94% deterioration year-over-year.
• Total debt jumped to $2,935M in Q2 2025 from $2,334M in Q1 2025, a $601M increase, before partially reversing to $2,333M by Q4 2025.
• Q3 2025 remains the peak seasonal quarter at $1,736M revenue, though op income of $380M trailed Q3 2024's $488M by 22%.
⚠ Operating cash flow turned negative at $-23M in Q1 2026 and $-300M in Q2 2025 — monitor whether seasonal recovery is sufficient.
⚠ Equity has declined from $2,313M in Q3 2024 to $2,106M in Q1 2026, suggesting ongoing balance sheet erosion.
⚠ Peak-season (Q3/Q4) revenue and margins will be key to whether full-year profitability can offset deep Q1 losses.
AI Insight: MAT Ratio Trends
Mattel's seasonal profit pattern holds but Q1 2026 operating margin hit a record low of -11.9%, worse than Q1 2025's -6.4%, signaling margin erosion in the seasonally weak quarter.
• Peak-season margins deteriorated year-over-year: Q3 2025 operating margin of 21.9% lagged Q3 2024's 26.5% by 460 basis points.
• Q1 2026 operating margin deepened to -11.9% from -6.4% in Q1 2025, the weakest Q1 in the dataset.
• Leverage ticked up: D/E rose to 1.35 in Q2 2025 before easing to 1.04 in Q4 2025, ending Q1 2026 at 1.11.
• ROIC turned sharply negative at -9.2% in Q1 2026, worse than -4.8% in Q1 2025, reflecting the deeper operating loss.
⚠ Q1 2026 shows positive NPM (7.1%) despite -11.9% OpMargin — a divergence likely from below-the-line items worth scrutinizing.
⚠ Year-over-year peak margin compression (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024) warrants monitoring; sustained erosion would pressure TTM profitability.
⚠ D/E spiked to 1.35 in Q2 2025 — highest in dataset — before normalizing; any re-escalation amid weak operating income is a risk.
Get alerted when MAT's score changes
Free account: watchlist tracking, the daily AI brief, and the AI screener.
Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for MATTEL INC /DE/ including:
Top Institutional Holders of MAT
EdgePoint Investment Group Inc.
$714.0M49,140,882 shPRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/
$431.5M29,697,924 shBlackRock, Inc.
$397.0M27,322,293 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$198.4M13,657,490 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$198.0M13,624,399 shARIEL INVESTMENTS, LLC
$197.1M13,567,083 shSOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC/TN/
$186.2M12,812,157 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$160.6M11,052,845 shSTATE STREET CORP
$141.2M9,718,373 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$89.7M6,174,146 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. | $714.0M | 49,140,882 |
| PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/ | $431.5M | 29,697,924 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $397.0M | 27,322,293 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $198.4M | 13,657,490 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $198.0M | 13,624,399 |
| ARIEL INVESTMENTS, LLC | $197.1M | 13,567,083 |
| SOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC/TN/ | $186.2M | 12,812,157 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $160.6M | 11,052,845 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $141.2M | 9,718,373 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $89.7M | 6,174,146 |
More Consumer Discretionary Companies
View all Consumer Discretionary →Put MAT on your watchlist
Track score changes the day MATTEL INC /DE/ files with the SEC, follow the hedge funds that own it, screen 2,800+ AI-scored stocks, and get the daily brief — free.
Free tier includes 13F data, economic indicators, and market overview. Pro starts at $6.67/mo (billed annually).
Popular Research
Is MAT a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of MATTEL INC /DE/ (MAT) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for MAT are available on the MAT stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own MAT?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling MAT. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of MATTEL INC /DE/'s investment landscape.