CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP(COF)Stock Analysis
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Rank #278 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
COF Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores COF at 71.0/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #278 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. COF scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (97.6), profitability (87.9), revenue scale (84.3). Areas of concern include earnings quality (11.6) and institutional flow (25.6), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 47.8/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP reports quarterly revenue of $15.2B, net income of $2.2B, an operating margin of 17.7%. Top institutional holders of COF by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. COF trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 927628. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate COF daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP directly from SEC EDGAR. CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 59 and 72 since 2021, currently 71.0 — an improving long-term trajectory across 28 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving COF's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Capital One reported Q1 2026 net income of $2.2B ($3.34 per diluted share) on total net revenue of $15.2B, up 55% YoY, primarily driven by Discover acquisition integration with higher credit card loan balances.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $15.2B+52% YoY
Higher average loan balances largely due to addition of Discover
Growth in Global Payment Network services and higher deposits from Discover
Relatively flat performance with stable net interest income and modest fee growth
Largest Expense Items
Discover integration expenses of $415M; includes higher associate costs
Growth driven by expanded Credit Card and Consumer Banking marketing efforts
Margins: Net interest margin expanded 94 bps to 7.87% YoY, primarily from higher-yielding credit card balances following Discover addition. Net interest income grew 52% to $12.1B. Operating efficiency ratio improved 345 bps to 55.57% YoY despite significant Discover integration costs.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Discover integration ongoing: $1.8B in cumulative integration expenses since Q1 2024 announcement; $415M incurred in Q1 2026 alone with further expenses anticipated.
- Provision for credit losses surged to $4.1B (+72% YoY), driven by higher credit card net charge-offs ($3.4B, up 43%) largely from Discover portfolio addition.
- Brex acquisition completed April 7, 2026 for ~$4.5B ($2.6B cash + $1.9B stock); purchase allocation still provisional as of quarter-end.
- Savings Account litigation resolved Dec 2025 with $425M settlement fund; New York AG litigation also resolved; court approved settlement April 20, 2026.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$15.2B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$2.2B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$5.5B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
17.7%
ROIC
Q1 2026
1.7%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.46
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+36.6% YoYNet Income
-48.4% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-65.2% YoYTotal Assets
+36.5% YoYTotal Debt
+12.0% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+52.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $53.43B +36.6% | $39.11B +6.3% | $36.79B +7.4% | $34.25B +12.5% | $30.43B +6.7% | $28.52B |
| Net Income | $2.45B -48.4% | $4.75B -2.8% | $4.89B -33.6% | $7.36B -40.6% | $12.39B +356.5% | $2.71B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.03 -65.2% | $11.59 -3.0% | $11.95 -33.3% | $17.91 -33.5% | $26.94 +420.1% | $5.18 |
| Total Assets | $669.01B +36.5% | $490.14B +2.4% | $478.46B +5.1% | $455.25B +5.3% | $432.38B +2.6% | $421.60B |
| Total Debt | $51.00B +12.0% | $45.55B -8.6% | $49.86B +2.3% | $48.72B +13.1% | $43.09B +6.3% | $40.54B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $27.72B +52.6% | $18.16B -11.7% | $20.57B +49.0% | $13.81B +12.2% | $12.31B -26.3% | $16.70B |
AI Insight: COF Financial Trends
Capital One posted a massive $4.3B loss in Q2 2025 before returning to profitability, while revenue surged 53% year-over-year in Q4 2025.
• Revenue accelerated dramatically from $10.2B in Q4 2024 to $15.6B in Q4 2025, a 53% year-over-year increase.
• Equity nearly doubled from $60.8B in Q4 2024 to $113.6B in Q4 2025, indicating significant balance sheet strengthening.
• Operating cash flow improved from $2.4B in Q4 2024 to $7.8B in Q4 2025, demonstrating stronger cash generation.
⚠ Net income volatility remains concerning with a $4.3B loss in Q2 2025 followed by recovery to $2.1B in Q4 2025.
⚠ Total debt increased from $45.6B in Q4 2024 to $51.0B in Q4 2025, reversing earlier deleveraging trend.
AI Insight: COF Ratio Trends
Capital One's profitability shows extreme volatility with a massive Q2 2025 loss creating erratic quarterly performance despite improving leverage ratios.
• Debt-to-equity ratio improved steadily from 0.87 in Q1 2024 to 0.45 in Q4 2025, indicating strengthening capital structure.
• Operating margin swung wildly from 28.5% in Q3 2025 to -47.5% in Q2 2025, showing extreme quarterly volatility.
• ROE collapsed to -15.4% in Q2 2025 before recovering to 11.2% in Q3 2025, demonstrating unstable profitability patterns.
⚠ Q2 2025's massive losses across all profitability metrics suggest potential one-time charges or operational disruptions requiring explanation.
⚠ TTM metrics significantly trail Q4 2025 quarterly figures, indicating the Q2 2025 loss heavily impacts trailing performance.
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Top Institutional Holders of COF
BlackRock, Inc.
$9.3B50,818,226 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$7.4B40,509,585 shSTATE STREET CORP
$5.0B27,553,903 shCapital World Investors
$3.3B18,120,639 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$2.6B14,293,981 shFRANKLIN RESOURCES INC
$2.5B13,728,646 shFMR LLC
$2.3B12,560,478 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.2B11,878,921 shHARRIS ASSOCIATES L P
$1.9B10,357,647 shMORGAN STANLEY
$1.6B8,930,350 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $9.3B | 50,818,226 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $7.4B | 40,509,585 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $5.0B | 27,553,903 |
| Capital World Investors | $3.3B | 18,120,639 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $2.6B | 14,293,981 |
| FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC | $2.5B | 13,728,646 |
| FMR LLC | $2.3B | 12,560,478 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.2B | 11,878,921 |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | $1.9B | 10,357,647 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $1.6B | 8,930,350 |
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Popular Research
Is COF a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP (COF) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for COF are available on the COF stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own COF?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling COF. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP's investment landscape.