Carlyle Group Inc.(CG)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,605 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
CG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Carlyle Group Inc. (CG), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores CG at 47.3/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,605 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. CG scores in the top quartile across earnings quality (83.0). Areas of concern include free cash flow (6.5) and institutional flow (28.7), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 19.9/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Carlyle Group Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $254.0M, net income of $-132.2M, free cash flow of $-1.3B. Top institutional holders of CG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, Capital World Investors, HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P, based on the most recent SEC filings. CG trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1527166. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate CG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Carlyle Group Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Carlyle Group Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 32 and 83 since 2021, currently 47.3 — a declining long-term trajectory across 28 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$254.0M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-132.2M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-1.3B
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+83.1% YoYNet Income
+267.7% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+264.9% YoYTotal Assets
+9.1% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
-470.7% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.43B +83.1% | $2.96B -33.2% | $4.44B -49.5% | $8.78B +199.3% | $2.93B -13.1% | $3.38B |
| Net Income | $1.02B +267.7% | $-608.4M -149.7% | $1.23B -58.8% | $2.97B +754.3% | $348.2M -8.6% | $380.9M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.77 +264.9% | $-1.68 -150.1% | $3.35 -59.1% | $8.20 +745.4% | $0.97 +3.2% | $0.94 |
| Total Assets | $23.10B +9.1% | $21.18B -1.1% | $21.40B +0.7% | $21.25B +35.8% | $15.64B +13.3% | $13.81B |
| Total Debt | — | — | $2.27B +9.7% | $2.07B +5.1% | $1.97B -0.3% | $1.98B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $-759.5M -470.7% | $204.9M +154.0% | $-379.3M -121.2% | $1.79B +1158.5% | $-169.2M -147.2% | $358.6M |
AI Insight: CG Financial Trends
Q1 2026 marks Carlyle's first net loss in the observed period as revenue collapsed to $254M — the lowest in eight quarters.
• Revenue fell sharply from $1,901M in Q4 2025 to $254M in Q1 2026, the weakest quarter in the dataset.
• Net income swung to a $132M loss in Q1 2026, versus a $358M profit in Q4 2025 — a $490M quarter-over-quarter reversal.
• Operating cash flow has been negative in five of eight quarters, including a steep -$1,242M in Q1 2026.
• Revenue and earnings showed elevated volatility throughout, ranging from $333M to $2,635M across the eight quarters.
⚠ Q1 2026 net loss of $132M — first loss in the series — warrants monitoring for whether it signals a structural or one-time earnings break.
⚠ Operating cash outflow of -$1,242M in Q1 2026 matches Q2 2024 lows; sustained negative OCF could pressure liquidity.
⚠ Q3 2025 revenue of $333M similarly preceded a strong Q4 2025 bounce to $1,901M — seasonal or deal-timing patterns may distort single-quarter reads.
AI Insight: CG Ratio Trends
Q1 2026 operating margin collapsed to -70.5%, the first deeply negative quarter in the observable history, signaling a severe one-quarter earnings shock.
• Operating margin swung from +24.3% in Q4 2025 to -70.5% in Q1 2026, a ~95pp quarter-over-quarter deterioration.
• Net profit margin followed, crashing from 18.8% in Q4 2025 to -52.0% in Q1 2026, turning sharply negative.
• ROA turned negative at -1.8% in Q1 2026, reversing the positive 4.9% reading posted just one quarter prior.
• The TTM OpMargin of 19.9% masks Q1 2026 severity, as prior quarters (Q2–Q4 2025) averaged ~26% operating margin.
⚠ Q3 2025 showed NPM collapsing to 0.3% before recovering — Q1 2026's -52.0% suggests recurring volatile, one-off-driven earnings.
⚠ Whether Q1 2026 losses reflect a one-time charge or structural deterioration is critical; next quarter's margin recovery is key.
⚠ ROE, ROIC, and D/E data are entirely absent, leaving capital efficiency and leverage picture incomplete across all periods.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Carlyle Group Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of CG
BlackRock, Inc.
$1.5B31,024,445 shCapital World Investors
$862.7M17,827,216 shHARRIS ASSOCIATES L P
$802.5M16,583,907 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$571.9M11,819,550 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$551.3M11,393,671 shMORGAN STANLEY
$492.2M10,172,445 shSTATE STREET CORP
$468.5M9,680,870 shMASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/
$372.9M7,649,009 shMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC
$329.2M6,803,055 shWILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
$304.9M6,301,109 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $1.5B | 31,024,445 |
| Capital World Investors | $862.7M | 17,827,216 |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | $802.5M | 16,583,907 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $571.9M | 11,819,550 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $551.3M | 11,393,671 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $492.2M | 10,172,445 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $468.5M | 9,680,870 |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | $372.9M | 7,649,009 |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | $329.2M | 6,803,055 |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | $304.9M | 6,301,109 |
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Is CG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for CG are available on the CG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own CG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling CG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Carlyle Group Inc.'s investment landscape.