AMERICAN EXPRESS CO(AXP)Stock Analysis
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Rank #203 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
AXP Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AXP), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores AXP at 73.2/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #203 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. AXP scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (96.6), free cash flow (90.1), profitability (89.1). Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 49.5/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), AMERICAN EXPRESS CO reports quarterly revenue of $18.9B, net income of $3.0B, an operating margin of 20.0%. Top institutional holders of AXP by reported 13-F value include BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY, BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. AXP trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 4962. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AXP daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO directly from SEC EDGAR. AMERICAN EXPRESS CO's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 43 and 79 since 2021, currently 73.2 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving AXP's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 17/17 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from AMERICAN EXPRESS CO's 10-Q filed 2026-04-23 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Net income of $3.0B (+15% YoY) driven by 11% revenue growth and 10% billed business acceleration, with strong Card Member acquisition and premium product momentum.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $18.9B+11% YoY
Increase in billed business of 10%, partially offset by lower average merchant discount rates from geographic and merchant spend mix shifts.
Growth in revolving loan balances, partially offset by lower interest rates.
Growth in premium card portfolios, high levels of new card acquisitions, strong Card Member retention and ongoing product refreshes.
Foreign-exchange related revenues, network partnership revenue and loyalty coalition-related fees.
Largest Expense Items
Higher billed business, Membership Rewards and cobrand rewards expenses, and changes to U.S. Business Platinum Membership Rewards program.
Higher compensation and incentive costs.
Higher usage of Card Member benefits and new U.S. Platinum benefits.
Increased partner payments and higher client incentives, partially offset by reserve release from arbitration award.
Margins: Gross margin reflected in net revenues after provisions improved sequentially; operating expense growth of 11% was driven by variable costs tied to higher volumes and strategic investments in U.S. Platinum product refreshes and technology capabilities, partially offset by gains on Swisscard acquisition and international tax reserve releases.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Provisions for credit losses increased 9% YoY to $1.3B; reserve release was lower in Q1 2026 vs. Q1 2025, driven by sequential decrease in Card balances and macroeconomic uncertainty, signaling management may build reserves if delinquencies rise.
- Commercial Services pretax income declined 2% YoY despite 7% revenue growth; Card balance provision increased 16% YoY due to higher delinquencies and reserve build, suggesting credit quality deterioration in small business segment.
- International Card Services pretax income surged 105% to $781M on 20% billed business growth (13% FX-adjusted); acquisition of Swisscard on Jan 12, 2026 contributed intangible assets of $272M and goodwill of $136M, expanding scope.
- Litigation exposure ranges from zero to $220M in excess of accruals across disclosed matters including antitrust merchant cases; adverse resolution could materially impair Card Member experience through increased surcharging and steering.
- Capital ratio CET1 of 10.5% maintained within target range of 10–11%; returned $2.3B to shareholders (78% of net income) through $1.7B repurchases and $652M dividends; planned transition to Category II firm status in Q2 2026.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$18.9B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$3.0B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$2.7B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
20.0%
ROIC
Q1 2026
4.1%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
1.78
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+9.5% YoYNet Income
+7.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+9.8% YoYTotal Assets
+10.5% YoYTotal Debt
+13.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+31.2% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $72.23B +9.5% | $65.95B +9.0% | $60.52B +14.5% | $52.86B +46.5% | $36.09B -17.1% | $43.56B |
| Net Income | $10.83B +7.0% | $10.13B +21.0% | $8.37B +11.4% | $7.51B +139.7% | $3.13B -53.6% | $6.76B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $15.38 +9.8% | $14.01 +25.0% | $11.21 +13.8% | $9.85 +161.3% | $3.77 -52.8% | $7.99 |
| Total Assets | $300.05B +10.5% | $271.46B +4.0% | $261.11B +14.3% | $228.35B +19.6% | $191.00B -3.5% | $198.00B |
| Total Debt | $57.76B +13.1% | $51.09B +3.9% | $49.16B +11.9% | $43.92B -2.0% | $44.83B -30.3% | $64.28B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $18.43B +31.2% | $14.05B -24.3% | $18.56B -12.0% | $21.08B +277.0% | $5.59B -59.0% | $13.63B |
AI Insight: AXP Financial Trends
AXP stabilized net income and cash generation in Q1 2026 despite elevated debt levels rising to $60.4B.
• Net income recovered to $2,971M in Q1 2026 from $2,462M in Q4 2025, reversing prior-quarter decline.
• Operating cash flow averaged $4.3B across last four quarters, demonstrating consistent cash generation.
• Total debt increased to $60.4B in Q1 2026 from $51.1B in Q4 2024, up 18% year-over-year.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio deteriorated to 1.78x in Q1 2026 from 1.69x in Q1 2025; monitor leverage trajectory.
⚠ Q4 2025 net income fell to $2.4B despite $19B revenue; margin compression in seasonal quarter warrants attention.
AI Insight: AXP Ratio Trends
AXP shows persistent quarterly volatility masking stable underlying profitability; margins and returns cycle between weak Q4s and stronger mid-year quarters.
• OpMargin and NPM exhibit stark seasonal pattern: Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 both fell to ~16% and 13% respectively, while Q3 peaks reached 36–37% and 28%.
• ROE recovered to 35.0% in Q1 2026 from Q4 2025 trough of 29.4%, consistent with historical mid-quarter strength.
• ROIC stabilized in 16.0–16.7% range across Q2–Q3 2025 and Q1 2026, above Q4 lows of 13.6%, signaling resilience in capital efficiency.
⚠ Q4 quarters consistently underperform: OpMargin compressed to 16% in both 2024 and 2025. Monitor whether this reflects structural seasonality or emerging headwinds.
⚠ Leverage oscillated 1.69–1.85x D/E over last year; Q1 2026 at 1.78x. No clear trend, but monitor if debt load increases amid volatile earnings.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of AXP
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
$45.9B151,610,700 shBlackRock, Inc.
$12.7B41,910,309 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$10.0B33,010,215 shSTATE STREET CORP
$8.8B29,227,721 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$4.3B14,166,474 shMORGAN STANLEY
$3.9B12,808,752 shFMR LLC
$2.8B9,264,998 shFisher Asset Management, LLC
$2.8B9,250,373 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.4B7,952,555 shBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/
$2.2B7,354,574 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC | $45.9B | 151,610,700 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $12.7B | 41,910,309 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $10.0B | 33,010,215 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $8.8B | 29,227,721 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $4.3B | 14,166,474 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $3.9B | 12,808,752 |
| FMR LLC | $2.8B | 9,264,998 |
| Fisher Asset Management, LLC | $2.8B | 9,250,373 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.4B | 7,952,555 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | $2.2B | 7,354,574 |
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Popular Research
Is AXP a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AXP) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AXP are available on the AXP stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AXP?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AXP. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO's investment landscape.