Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)Stock Analysis
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Rank #252 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
AFRM Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores AFRM at 71.7/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #252 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. AFRM scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (95.6), profitability (89.5), revenue growth (88.4). Areas of concern include earnings quality (30.0), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 17.0/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q3 2026), Affirm Holdings, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $1.0B, net income of $102.9M, an operating margin of 8.5%. Top institutional holders of AFRM by reported 13-F value include Capital Research Global Investors, Capital World Investors, MORGAN STANLEY, based on the most recent SEC filings. AFRM trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1820953. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AFRM daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Affirm Holdings, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 19 and 75 since 2021, currently 71.7 — an improving long-term trajectory across 28 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving AFRM's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 52/52 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q3 FY2026 (nine months ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Affirm grew net revenue 32% YoY to $3.1B while swinging to $313M net income; GMV surged 37% to $36.1B driven by Affirm Card growth and merchant diversification.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $3,095.1M+32% YoY
Driven by 24% growth in average loans held for investment and amortization of discount on 0% APR loans
GMV growth of 37% to $36.1B, offset by increased loss on loan originations and merchant incentives
Higher loan sale volume ($15.9B, +44%) and favorable transaction economics; repurchase liability decreased
GMV processed by card partners grew 46% to $12.3B; Affirm Card represented 14% of total transactions
Average unpaid principal balance of off-balance sheet loans increased 47% driven by higher loan sales
Largest Expense Items
Increased provision primarily driven by 24% growth in average loans held for investment
Payment processing fees up 43%, platform fees up 41%, customer service and collection costs up 44%
Amortization of internal software up 36%; data infrastructure and hosting costs up 36%; headcount growth
Increased due to higher loan purchase volume ($28.9B, +34% YoY)
Margins: Operating margin improved to 8.7% for nine months ended March 31, 2026 vs. loss of (6.2%) prior year, reflecting operating leverage from 32% revenue growth outpacing 13% expense growth. Gross revenue (before operating expenses) grew faster than cost structure as loan portfolio and transaction volumes scaled.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Amazon concentration: GMV from Amazon represented 20% and 22% of total GMV for Q3 and nine months ended March 31, 2026, respectively. Commercial agreement amended in November 2025 with warrant exercise price modified from $100 to $63.06 per share.
- Convertible notes due November 2026: $221.3M outstanding 0% convertible senior notes due November 15, 2026 approaching maturity with conversion price of ~$215.65 per share; maturity creates near-term refinancing risk.
- Macroeconomic sensitivity: Delinquency rates and provision expenses increased; company manages via underwriting optimization but remains exposed to consumer spending, employment, and interest rate volatility.
- Valuation allowance release potential: Recent profitable quarters improve evidence for release of significant domestic valuation allowance; non-cash tax benefit possible if sustained profitability continues in FY2026.
- Funding concentration risk: Certain funding sources (private credit funds) face redemption pressures; forward flow arrangements are fixed-term (1–3 years), requiring continuous renewal and renegotiation.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q3 2026
$1.0B
Net Income
Q3 2026
$102.9M
Free Cash Flow
Q3 2026
$325.1M
Operating Margin
Q3 2026
8.5%
ROIC
Q3 2026
0.7%
D/E Ratio
Q3 2026
2.35
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+38.8% YoYNet Income
+110.1% YoYOperating Income
+85.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+109.0% YoYTotal Assets
+17.2% YoYTotal Debt
+314.3% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+76.4% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.22B +38.8% | $2.32B +46.3% | $1.59B +17.7% | $1.35B +55.0% | $870.5M +229.3% | $264.4M |
| Net Income | $52.2M +110.1% | $-517.8M +47.5% | $-985.3M -39.3% | $-707.4M -60.4% | $-441.0M -266.1% | $-120.5M |
| Operating Income | $-87.3M +85.8% | $-615.8M +48.7% | $-1.20B -38.7% | $-866.0M -125.7% | $-383.7M -201.1% | $-127.4M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.15 +109.0% | $-1.67 +50.0% | $-3.34 -33.1% | $-2.51 +14.6% | $-2.94 -3.5% | $-2.84 |
| Total Assets | $11.15B +17.2% | $9.52B +16.7% | $8.16B +16.9% | $6.97B +43.3% | $4.87B | — |
| Total Debt | $7.61B +314.3% | $1.84B | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $793.9M +76.4% | $450.1M +3595.4% | $12.2M +107.5% | $-162.2M +16.0% | $-193.1M -120.3% | $-87.6M |
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Affirm Holdings, Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of AFRM
Capital Research Global Investors
$1.1B24,592,033 shCapital World Investors
$1.0B22,512,923 shMORGAN STANLEY
$995.0M21,715,982 shBlackRock, Inc.
$858.3M18,732,493 shFMR LLC
$792.4M17,294,381 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$556.8M12,152,375 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$531.5M11,599,993 shSTATE STREET CORP
$276.3M6,031,141 shDurable Capital Partners LP
$258.9M5,649,434 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$252.4M5,522,772 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Research Global Investors | $1.1B | 24,592,033 |
| Capital World Investors | $1.0B | 22,512,923 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $995.0M | 21,715,982 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $858.3M | 18,732,493 |
| FMR LLC | $792.4M | 17,294,381 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $556.8M | 12,152,375 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $531.5M | 11,599,993 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $276.3M | 6,031,141 |
| Durable Capital Partners LP | $258.9M | 5,649,434 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $252.4M | 5,522,772 |
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Is AFRM a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AFRM are available on the AFRM stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AFRM?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AFRM. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s investment landscape.