13F Pro Quality Score

71.9/100

Rank #166 of 2,961 stocksTOP 10%

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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Nov 14, 2026.

Revenue Growth

74.3/100

Profitability

63.8/100

Balance Sheet

71.8/100

Earnings Quality

58.1/100

Free Cash Flow

59.4/100

Institutional Flow

86.2/100

Revenue Scale

92.1/100

Dilution Risk

69.3/100
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VST Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score

Data updated 2026-09-11

AI stock analysis and institutional research for Vistra Corp. (VST), a Utilities sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores VST at 71.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #166 of 2,961 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. VST scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (92.1), institutional flow (86.2). Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q2 2026), Vistra Corp. reports quarterly revenue of $4.0B, net income of $305.0M, an operating margin of 13.8%. Top institutional holders of VST by reported 13-F value include BlackRock, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. VST trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1692819. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate VST daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Vistra Corp. directly from SEC EDGAR. Vistra Corp.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 40 and 74 since 2021, currently 71.9 — a stable long-term trajectory across 68 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.

Fun facts about Vistra Corp.

Quirks, history, and lore behind VST — the kind of stuff that makes a stock memorable.

  • 1
    The Basics
    U.S. utilities company · large-cap · listed on the NYSE · headquartered in Texas.
  • 2
    The Numbers
    One of the largest competitive power generators in the country, with roughly 40+ gigawatts of generation capacity — enough to light up a small nation.
  • 3
    The History
    Born out of the bankruptcy and restructuring of a major Texas energy holding company in the early 2010s, it emerged leaner, meaner, and ready to trade electrons competitively.
  • 4
    The Secret
    Unlike regulated utilities that earn a tidy guaranteed return, this company plays the merchant power market — its fortunes rise and fall with wholesale electricity prices.
  • 5
    The Lore
    The Texas freeze of 2021 was a wild ride for competitive power generators, and this company's stock became a darling of investors betting on the AI data center electricity boom — nuclear included.
  • 6
    The Giveaway
    It owns the massive Comanche Peak nuclear plant in Texas and rebranded from Dynegy's successor into a name that sounds like it should be on a superhero's utility belt — VST on the NYSE.
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What's Driving VST's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown

36/36 datapoints verified

AI-extracted from Vistra Corp.'s 10-Q filed 2026-08-10 — Q2 FY2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.

Vistra's Q2 FY2026 revenue fell 5% YoY to $4.0B on a swing to unrealized hedging losses, while net income held roughly flat at $305M as realized wholesale and retail margins improved and the company advanced AI-driven growth (Cogentrix acquisition, Meta/AWS nuclear PPAs, $1B KKR Helix Fund commitment).

Biggest Revenue Drivers

Retail energy charge in ERCOT$2,253M+2% YoY

Higher retail contractual rates, partially offset by lower ERCOT sales volumes (18,326 GWh vs. 19,885 GWh).

Retail energy charge in Northeast/Midwest$1,091M+38% YoY

Growth driven by higher contractual rates with roughly flat sales volumes.

AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.

Revenue

Q2 2026

$4.0B

Net Income

Q2 2026

$305.0M

Free Cash Flow

Q2 2026

$334.0M

Operating Margin

Q2 2026

13.8%

ROIC

Q2 2026

8.2%

D/E Ratio

Q2 2026

3.92

Period

Revenue & Net Income

Earnings Per Share

Key Financials Over Time

Export Financial Table · Pro

Revenue

+3.0% YoY
$17.74BFY 2025
FY22 $13.73BFY23 $14.78BFY24 $17.22BFY25 $17.74B

Net Income

-64.5% YoY
$944.0MFY 2025
FY22 $-1.23BFY23 $1.49BFY24 $2.66BFY25 $944.0M

Operating Income

-53.3% YoY
$1.91BFY 2025
FY22 $-1.18BFY23 $2.66BFY24 $4.08BFY25 $1.91B

EPS (Diluted)

-68.9% YoY
$2.18FY 2025
FY22 $-3.26FY23 $3.58FY24 $7.00FY25 $2.18

Total Assets

+10.0% YoY
$41.55BFY 2025
FY22 $32.79BFY23 $32.97BFY24 $37.77BFY25 $41.55B

Total Debt

+16.7% YoY
$20.04BFY 2025
FY22 $12.62BFY23 $16.69BFY24 $17.18BFY25 $20.04B

Op. Cash Flow

-10.8% YoY
$4.07BFY 2025
FY22 $485.0MFY23 $5.45BFY24 $4.56BFY25 $4.07B

Free Cash Flow

-47.0% YoY
$1.32BFY 2025
FY22 $-816.0MFY23 $3.78BFY24 $2.48BFY25 $1.32B

AI Insight: VST Financial Trends

Vistra swung to profitability in Q1 2026 but debt surged 28% year-over-year, offsetting operational gains.

Net income recovered to $1,029M in Q1 2026 after $268M loss in Q1 2025; operating income reached $1,499M.

Operating cash flow averaged $1,180M over trailing four quarters, relatively stable despite revenue volatility.

Total debt climbed to $21,471M in Q2 2026 from $15,515M in Q3 2024—37% increase over 21 months.

Debt-to-equity ratio deteriorated to 3.91x in Q2 2026 from 2.85x in Q3 2024; equity contracted 1%.

Q2 2026 revenue declined to $4,017M, lowest since Q1 2025, despite strong Q1 2026 rebound.

AI Insight: VST Ratio Trends

Vistra shows extreme quarterly volatility with no consistent profitability trend; TTM metrics mask underlying operating instability.

Operating margin swung from -3.0% (Q1 2025) to +26.6% (Q1 2026), then fell to 13.8% (Q2 2026)—persistent quarter-to-quarter swings.

ROIC collapsed from 49.4% (Q3 2024) to -2.1% (Q1 2025), recovered to 22.5% (Q1 2026), then fell to 8.2% (Q2 2026).

Leverage edged higher: D/E rose from 2.85 (Q3 2024) to 3.92 (Q2 2026), offsetting occasional margin spikes.

Q1 2026 showed exceptional 73.5% ROE; Q2 2026 collapsed to 22.2%—pattern suggests one-time events or accounting swings, not operational strength.

NPM deteriorated from 18.2% (Q1 2026) to 7.6% (Q2 2026); if Q2 represents run-rate, earnings power is materially lower.

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Available Research

13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Vistra Corp. including:

SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q, 8-K)
XBRL financial facts (revenue, EPS, margins)
Insider transactions (Form 4)
Institutional 13F holdings
Quality rankings (32 signals)
AI analyst debates & daily meetings
Historical financial trends
Peer comparison & sector analysis

Top Institutional Holders of VST

Companies Similar to VST

Ranked by quality-profile closeness and shared hedge-fund ownership — not just sector membership.

CEG

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64
AI score
Very similar · 28 shared holders
WM

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NRG

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RSG

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AEP

AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER CO INC

67
AI score
Very similar · 21 shared holders
ED

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AI score
Very similar · 14 shared holders
PEG

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67
AI score
Very similar · 23 shared holders
ETR

ENTERGY CORP /DE/

61
AI score
Shared smart-money ownership · 25 shared holders

Similarity is computed from the 8 composite sub-scores and latest-quarter 13F conviction holdings (index-style filers excluded). Refreshed monthly.

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Is VST a good stock to buy?

13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Vistra Corp. (VST) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Utilities sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for VST are available on the VST stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing. VST is classified as a large company.

Which hedge funds own VST?

Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling VST. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Vistra Corp.'s investment landscape.