PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC(PFS)Stock Analysis
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Rank #390 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
PFS Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC (PFS), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores PFS at 69.0/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #390 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. PFS scores in the top quartile across free cash flow (98.3), profitability (98.1), earnings quality (83.4). Areas of concern include revenue scale (14.3), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q4 2025), PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC reports quarterly revenue of $225.7M, net income of $83.3M, an operating margin of 49.7%. Top institutional holders of PFS by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. PFS trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1178970. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate PFS daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC directly from SEC EDGAR. PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 52 and 69 since 2021, currently 69.0 — an improving long-term trajectory across 28 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving PFS's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC's 10-Q filed 2026-05-08 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Net income of $79.4M (+24% YoY) driven by $12M pre-provision revenue growth and $4.7M loan loss recapture, though non-performing loans surged 82% to $142.9M from senior housing bankruptcies.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Loan originations and favorable deposit repricing increased net interest income.
BOLI income rose $1.9M, insurance agency income increased $1.2M, and fees increased $809K.
Largest Expense Items
Increase driven by annual merit increases, employee medical benefits, and stock-based compensation.
Increases in compensation and occupancy offset by decreases in other operating expenses and FDIC insurance.
Margins: Net interest margin expanded six basis points to 3.40% as deposit costs fell 19 basis points year-over-year, while loan yields declined only 10 basis points. The benefit of favorable liability repricing outweighed modest pressure on asset yields.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Non-performing loans surged 82% to $142.9M (0.73% of loans) from $78.4M, driven primarily by four senior housing commercial loans totaling $82.1M in bankruptcy, though strong collateral values (LTVs 33–82%) required no specific reserves.
- Commercial real estate concentration remains 59.97% of total loans ($11.79B), with particular exposure to multi-family (34.1%) and retail (23.2%), both sensitive to economic downturns and rising vacancy.
- Uninsured and uncollateralized deposits totaled $4.90B (25.6% of deposits); total uninsured deposits were $10.61B, exposing the bank to deposit outflow risk.
- Allowance for credit losses decreased to $177.0M (0.90% of loans) from $184.8M, reflecting a $4.7M loan loss recapture due to reduction in specific reserves on individually evaluated loans.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q4 2025
$225.7M
Net Income
Q4 2025
$83.3M
Free Cash Flow
Q4 2025
$64.1M
Operating Margin
Q4 2025
49.7%
ROIC
Q4 2025
4.0%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+7.1% YoYNet Income
+152.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+112.4% YoYTotal Assets
+3.9% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+3.7% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $73.1M +7.1% | $68.3M +18.7% | $57.5M +4.6% | $55.0M -4.5% | $57.6M +26.4% | $45.5M |
| Net Income | $291.2M +152.0% | $115.5M -10.0% | $128.4M -26.9% | $175.6M +4.6% | $167.9M +73.2% | $97.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.23 +112.4% | $1.05 -38.6% | $1.71 -27.2% | $2.35 +7.3% | $2.19 +57.6% | $1.39 |
| Total Assets | $24.98B +3.9% | $24.05B +69.3% | $14.21B +3.1% | $13.78B +0.0% | $13.78B +6.7% | $12.92B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $442.3M +3.7% | $426.4M +145.9% | $173.4M -13.4% | $200.3M +27.7% | $156.8M +51.8% | $103.3M |
AI Insight: PFS Financial Trends
Net income surged 159% from Q1 2024 to Q4 2025 despite flat revenue, indicating strong operational efficiency gains.
• Net income jumped from $32M in Q1 2024 to $83M in Q4 2025, a 159% increase over eight quarters.
• Revenue remained essentially flat around $18M across most quarters, showing no meaningful growth trajectory.
• Equity grew steadily from $1,695M in Q1 2024 to $2,833M in Q4 2025, reflecting consistent balance sheet strengthening.
⚠ Operating cash flow volatility with swings from $69M to $239M between Q4 quarters, indicating uneven cash generation patterns.
⚠ Revenue growth stagnation around $18M level for six consecutive quarters through Q4 2025.
AI Insight: PFS Ratio Trends
PFS delivered steady profitability recovery with ROE climbing from 7.5% in Q4 2024 to 11.8% in Q4 2025.
• ROE improved consistently from 7.5% in Q4 2024 to 11.8% in Q4 2025, reaching highest level in available data.
• ROIC expanded from 9.6% in Q4 2024 to 15.8% in Q4 2025, indicating improving capital efficiency.
• ROA strengthened from 0.8% in Q4 2024 to 1.3% in Q4 2025, showing better asset utilization.
• Q2 2024 showed severe losses with negative 65.1% NPM and negative 1.8% ROE before recovery.
⚠ Operating margin and net profit margin data largely missing, limiting visibility into operational efficiency trends.
⚠ TTM ROE of 10.3% trails Q4 2025's 11.8%, suggesting recent quarterly strength may not fully reflect annual performance.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC including:
Top Institutional Holders of PFS
BlackRock, Inc.
$408.9M19,323,102 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$170.8M8,070,734 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$170.6M8,064,710 shSTATE STREET CORP
$154.1M7,281,616 shWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
$122.4M5,786,655 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$118.7M5,608,934 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$75.9M3,586,192 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$70.3M3,321,507 shSYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP
$41.4M1,956,748 shCHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
$34.2M1,614,684 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $408.9M | 19,323,102 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $170.8M | 8,070,734 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $170.6M | 8,064,710 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $154.1M | 7,281,616 |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | $122.4M | 5,786,655 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $118.7M | 5,608,934 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $75.9M | 3,586,192 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $70.3M | 3,321,507 |
| SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP | $41.4M | 1,956,748 |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | $34.2M | 1,614,684 |
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Popular Research
Is PFS a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC (PFS) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for PFS are available on the PFS stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own PFS?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling PFS. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC's investment landscape.