NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO(NFG)Stock Analysis
AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →Deep AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →13F Pro Quality Score
Rank #42 of 2,879 stocksTOP 5%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
NFG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO (NFG), a Energy sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores NFG at 80.4/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #42 of 2,879 stocks — the top 5% of the AI-ranked universe. NFG scores in the top quartile across profitability (91.3), earnings quality (87.1), revenue growth (85.6). Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q2 2026), NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO reports quarterly revenue of $858.4M, net income of $247.7M, free cash flow of $161.7M. Top institutional holders of NFG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. NFG trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 70145. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate NFG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO directly from SEC EDGAR. NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 81 since 2021, currently 80.4 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving NFG's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO's 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q2 FY2026 (six months ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Net income of $429.3M for H1 FY2026, up 64% YoY, driven by higher natural gas prices in Integrated Upstream and Gathering segment and absence of prior-year $141.8M impairment charge.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $1,509.9M+18% YoY
Higher base delivery rates from New York three-year rate settlement and DSIC modernization tracker in Pennsylvania; higher purchased gas cost recovery; increased throughput from colder weather.
Natural gas production revenue increased due to $0.42 per Mcf higher weighted average price after hedging and 8.0 Bcf increased production from timing of new wells brought online.
Higher transportation and storage revenues from new long-term contracts, rate increases, and increased throughput from colder weather.
Largest Expense Items
Increase in cost of gas sold per Mcf and higher throughput; under purchased gas adjustment clauses, Utility segment earnings unaffected as revenues match expenses.
Higher depletion from increased production and higher depletion rate in Integrated Upstream and Gathering; additional depreciation from new plant in-service.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Pending $2.62 billion CenterPoint Ohio acquisition expected to close Q4 2026; includes $1.42B cash and $1.2B promissory note at 6.5% maturing in 364 days, with potential financing needs dependent on capital markets and commodity prices.
- Ceiling test impairment risk remains: at March 31, 2026, ceiling exceeded book value by ~$1.6B after-tax, but a $0.25/MMBtu gas price decline would reduce cushion to $1.2B; December 2024 saw $108.3M ceiling test impairment.
- Utility segment DSIC cap has been met in Pennsylvania; Company unable to earn return on incremental plant investments until new base rates effective from pending rate case (suspended until October 29, 2026).
- Supply Corporation filed FERC Section 4 rate case April 30, 2026 requesting $404M annual cost of service (+$95M vs. 2023 settlement); effective November 1, 2026 if approved.
- Debt to capitalization ratio of 0.37 at March 31, 2026; Credit Agreement permits additional $5.26B in debt before reaching 0.65 covenant limit; $300M of 5.50% notes due October 2026 must be refinanced.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q2 2026
$858.4M
Net Income
Q2 2026
$247.7M
Free Cash Flow
Q2 2026
$161.7M
D/E Ratio
Q2 2026
0.71
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+4.2% YoYNet Income
-8.4% YoYOperating Income
-0.1% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-7.6% YoYTotal Assets
+10.4% YoYTotal Debt
-3.3% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+35.4% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.28B +4.2% | $2.19B +25.4% | $1.74B +12.7% | $1.55B -8.7% | $1.69B +6.3% | $1.59B |
| Net Income | $518.5M -8.4% | $566.0M +55.7% | $363.6M +393.8% | $-123.8M -140.7% | $304.3M -22.3% | $391.5M |
| Operating Income | $813.5M -0.1% | $814.5M +27.3% | $639.9M +2043.2% | $29.9M -94.2% | $511.8M -1.5% | $519.7M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.68 -7.6% | $6.15 +54.9% | $3.97 +381.6% | $-1.41 -140.2% | $3.51 -22.5% | $4.53 |
| Total Assets | $8.72B +10.4% | $7.90B +5.8% | $7.46B +7.2% | $6.96B +7.8% | $6.46B +7.1% | $6.04B |
| Total Debt | $3.13B -3.3% | $3.24B +16.3% | $2.79B +4.8% | $2.66B +21.5% | $2.19B +2.7% | $2.13B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.10B +35.4% | $812.5M +2.6% | $791.6M +6.8% | $740.8M +6.7% | $694.5M +12.9% | $615.3M |
AI Insight: NFG Financial Trends
NFG transformed from deep losses to consistent profitability, with Q1 2026 revenue hitting $858M versus $730M in Q1 2025.
• Revenue grew 18% year-over-year from $730M in Q1 2025 to $858M in Q1 2026.
• Net income swung from -$168M loss in Q3 2024 to $248M profit in Q1 2026.
• Operating income turned positive from -$197M in Q3 2024 to $347M in Q1 2026.
• Total debt declined from $3,374M in Q4 2025 to $2,726M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Operating cash flow declined to $238M in Q3 2025 from $388M in Q2 2025.
⚠ Equity data missing for recent quarters, limiting balance sheet visibility.
AI Insight: NFG Ratio Trends
National Fuel Gas dramatically recovered from deep losses in mid-2024 to sustained 40%+ operating margins by Q1 2025.
• Operating margin surged from -52.8% in Q3 2024 to 40.4% in Q1 2026, maintaining 38-43% range for five consecutive quarters.
• Net profit margin similarly recovered from -45.1% in Q3 2024 to consistently above 23% since Q1 2025.
• ROIC jumped to 50.9% in Q1 2026 from 32.7% in Q4 2025, reaching highest level in the dataset.
⚠ ROA declined to 4.9% in Q3 2025 before recovering to 10.8% in Q1 2026, showing some quarterly volatility.
⚠ Strong seasonal patterns evident with Q3 historically weaker than other quarters across multiple metrics.
Get alerted when NFG's score changes
Free account: watchlist tracking, the daily AI brief, and the AI screener.
Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO including:
Top Institutional Holders of NFG
BlackRock, Inc.
$860.3M9,156,505 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$735.1M7,823,429 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$399.0M4,246,963 shSTATE STREET CORP
$365.7M3,870,572 shEnergy Income Partners, LLC
$243.3M2,589,824 shGABELLI FUNDS LLC
$219.1M2,331,863 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$182.7M1,943,537 shGAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL
$128.7M1,369,326 shMORGAN STANLEY
$116.3M1,238,042 shVICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
$115.0M1,223,561 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $860.3M | 9,156,505 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $735.1M | 7,823,429 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $399.0M | 4,246,963 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $365.7M | 3,870,572 |
| Energy Income Partners, LLC | $243.3M | 2,589,824 |
| GABELLI FUNDS LLC | $219.1M | 2,331,863 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $182.7M | 1,943,537 |
| GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL | $128.7M | 1,369,326 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $116.3M | 1,238,042 |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | $115.0M | 1,223,561 |
More Energy Companies
View all Energy →Put NFG on your watchlist
Track score changes the day NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO files with the SEC, follow the hedge funds that own it, screen 2,800+ AI-scored stocks, and get the daily brief — free.
Free tier includes 13F data, economic indicators, and market overview. Pro starts at $6.67/mo (billed annually).
Popular Research
Is NFG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO (NFG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for NFG are available on the NFG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own NFG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling NFG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO's investment landscape.