Murphy USA Inc.(MUSA)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,292 of 2,879 stocksTOP 50%
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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
MUSA Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores MUSA at 53.2/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,292 of 2,879 stocks — the top half of the AI-ranked universe. MUSA scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (92.7), balance sheet strength (86.2). Areas of concern include institutional flow (15.8) and revenue growth (19.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Murphy USA Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $4.8B, net income of $136.3M, an operating margin of 4.3%. Top institutional holders of MUSA by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, FMR, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. MUSA trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1573516. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate MUSA daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Murphy USA Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Murphy USA Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 69 since 2021, currently 53.2 — a declining long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$4.8B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$136.3M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$221.7M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
4.3%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
3.27
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-4.2% YoYNet Income
-6.3% YoYOperating Income
-3.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-0.0% YoYTotal Assets
+4.1% YoYTotal Debt
+18.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-4.0% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.38B -4.2% | $20.24B -6.0% | $21.53B +24.0% | $17.36B +54.1% | $11.26B -21.6% | $14.36B |
| Net Income | $470.6M -6.3% | $502.5M -9.8% | $556.8M +40.3% | $396.9M +2.8% | $386.1M +80.8% | $213.6M |
| Operating Income | $718.5M -3.3% | $742.9M -10.1% | $826.0M +36.8% | $604.0M +8.1% | $559.0M +71.9% | $325.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $24.10 -0.0% | $24.11 -5.4% | $25.49 +70.8% | $14.92 +14.1% | $13.08 +101.9% | $6.48 |
| Total Assets | $4.73B +4.1% | $4.54B +4.6% | $4.34B +7.2% | $4.05B +50.7% | $2.69B +13.8% | $2.36B |
| Total Debt | $2.18B +18.1% | $1.85B +2.7% | $1.80B -0.8% | $1.82B +81.1% | $1.00B +16.1% | $863.3M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $813.9M -4.0% | $847.6M +8.1% | $784.0M +6.3% | $737.4M +30.8% | $563.7M +41.4% | $398.7M |
AI Insight: MUSA Financial Trends
Debt surge to $2.2B masks operational resilience; leverage and equity deterioration signal financial stress.
• Operating income held steady at $205–222M across 8 quarters despite revenue volatility, indicating margin stability.
• Operating cash flow recovered to $320M in Q1 2026, strongest in the dataset, after dipping to $185M in Q3 2025.
• Total debt jumped 21% from $1,797M (Q2 2024) to $2,183M (Q4 2025), while equity fell 23% to $624M.
⚠ Net income collapsed 63% in Q1 2025 to $53M; recovery to $136–146M thereafter suggests one-time charge, not operational decline.
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio deteriorated from 2.2x (Q2 2024) to 3.5x (Q4 2025)—approaching leverage constraints.
AI Insight: MUSA Ratio Trends
Murphy USA stabilized after Q1 2025 earnings collapse, but leverage has ratcheted up 48% since mid-2024.
• Operating margin steady at 4.2–4.4% since Q2 2025, after plunging to 1.9% in Q1 2025; NPM recovered to 2.8–3.0%.
• ROE rebounded from 29.6% (Q1 2025) to 82.8% (Q1 2026); ROIC similarly recovered from 13.0% to 29.2% over same period.
• Debt-to-equity spiked from 2.21 (Q2 2024) to 3.50–4.10 in Q3–Q4 2025, now 3.27 TTM—a structural shift in capital structure.
⚠ Q1 2025 earnings crater (OpMargin 1.9%, ROA 4.7%) signals operational vulnerability; monitor if seasonal or structural.
⚠ Elevated leverage (3.27 D/E) persists despite margin recovery; constrain financial flexibility if earnings weaken.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Murphy USA Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of MUSA
BlackRock, Inc.
$830.2M1,680,682 shFMR LLC
$724.1M1,465,793 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$370.9M750,814 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$359.8M728,442 shSTATE STREET CORP
$275.0M556,713 shBoston Partners
$265.4M536,905 shBARCLAYS PLC
$263.0M532,433 shHUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK
$204.9M414,718 shRiver Road Asset Management, LLC
$195.5M395,784 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$185.8M376,017 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $830.2M | 1,680,682 |
| FMR LLC | $724.1M | 1,465,793 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $370.9M | 750,814 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $359.8M | 728,442 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $275.0M | 556,713 |
| Boston Partners | $265.4M | 536,905 |
| BARCLAYS PLC | $263.0M | 532,433 |
| HUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK | $204.9M | 414,718 |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | $195.5M | 395,784 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $185.8M | 376,017 |
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Popular Research
Is MUSA a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for MUSA are available on the MUSA stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own MUSA?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling MUSA. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Murphy USA Inc.'s investment landscape.