MGIC INVESTMENT CORP(MTG)Stock Analysis
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Rank #478 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
MTG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for MGIC INVESTMENT CORP (MTG), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores MTG at 67.1/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #478 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. MTG scores in the top quartile across profitability (95.4), free cash flow (94.1), balance sheet strength (88.5). Areas of concern include institutional flow (11.0) and revenue growth (39.6), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 41.2/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), MGIC INVESTMENT CORP reports quarterly revenue of $297.1M, net income of $165.3M, an operating margin of 69.6%. Top institutional holders of MTG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS, based on the most recent SEC filings. MTG trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 876437. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate MTG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for MGIC INVESTMENT CORP directly from SEC EDGAR. MGIC INVESTMENT CORP's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 62 and 74 since 2021, currently 67.1 — a stable long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving MTG's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 22/22 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from MGIC INVESTMENT CORP's 10-Q filed 2026-04-29 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Net income declined 11% YoY to $165.3M as losses incurred surged 247% despite flat premium yield; PMIERs compliance maintained with $2.9B excess capital.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $297.1M-3% YoY
Decrease primarily driven by increase in ceded premiums written under quota share reinsurance transactions.
Fixed income portfolio yield remained stable at 4.0% pre-tax with effective duration of 4.2 years.
Loss of $0.2M compared to gain of $0.7M in prior year; included $0.2M embedded derivative loss on Home Re Transactions.
Largest Expense Items
Increase primarily due to higher new delinquencies reported (13.8K vs 13.0K) and increased estimated severity on current year delinquencies; favorable $31.2M development on prior year reserves.
Decrease primarily due to reduction in outside service expenses from $7.8M to $6.4M.
Fixed interest on $650M par value 5.25% Senior Notes due August 2028.
Margins: Net loss ratio increased to 14.1% from 3.9% YoY as new delinquencies and severity rose, offsetting favorable prior-year reserve development. Operating margins compressed by elevated current-year loss reserving despite stable premium yields and flat underwriting expense ratios.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Delinquency inventory increased to 27.0K loans from 25.4K YoY with average RIF per delinquency rising to $65.4K; delinquency rate of 2.44% approaches peak levels; PMIERs requires significantly more capital for delinquent loans.
- New insurance written of $14.4B in Q1 2026 vs $10.2B in Q1 2025; company expects full-year 2026 NIW to remain 'relatively flat' versus 2025, suggesting market slowdown ahead.
- PMIERs Available Assets of $5.8B exceed Minimum Required Assets by $2.9B; however, reinsurance credit for XOL increased from $1.4B to $1.7B, indicating reliance on reinsurance for capital relief.
- Substantial majority of NIW (86.4%) subject to quota share reinsurance; profit commissions of $29.1M offset reduced premiums ceded, but structure creates earnings volatility based on loss ratios.
- Annual Persistency declined to 84.0% from 84.7% YoY; 46% of primary RIF written post-December 2022 with weighted average interest rate of 6.0% on 2026 book, creating refinance exposure if rates decline.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$297.1M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$165.3M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$76.7M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
69.6%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+0.5% YoYNet Income
-3.2% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+8.7% YoYTotal Assets
+1.4% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
+17.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.21B +0.5% | $1.21B +4.6% | $1.16B -1.5% | $1.17B -1.1% | $1.19B -1.1% | $1.20B |
| Net Income | $738.3M -3.2% | $763.0M +7.0% | $712.9M -17.6% | $865.3M +36.3% | $635.0M +42.3% | $446.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.14 +8.7% | $2.89 +16.1% | $2.49 -10.8% | $2.79 +50.8% | $1.85 +43.4% | $1.29 |
| Total Assets | $6.64B +1.4% | $6.55B +0.1% | $6.54B +5.2% | $6.21B -15.2% | $7.33B -0.4% | $7.35B |
| Total Debt | — | — | $643.2M -3.0% | $662.8M -42.2% | $1.15B -7.8% | $1.24B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $852.8M +17.6% | $725.0M +1.7% | $713.0M +9.7% | $650.0M -6.6% | $696.3M -4.9% | $732.3M |
AI Insight: MTG Financial Trends
Net income fell to a 2-year low of $165M in Q1 2026 while operating cash flow collapsed to $77M, the weakest reading in the tracked period.
• Net income declined from $204M in Q2 2024 to $165M in Q1 2026, a steady erosion of ~19% over eight quarters.
• Revenue compressed from $307M in Q3 2024 to $297M in Q1 2026, a modest but consistent top-line contraction.
• Operating cash flow was volatile but averaged ~$198M through Q4 2025 before dropping sharply to $77M in Q1 2026.
• Equity has been range-bound between $5,037M and $5,294M, showing no meaningful balance-sheet expansion over the period.
⚠ Q1 2026 operating cash flow of $77M is less than half the prior-quarter $231M — monitor whether this is seasonal or structural.
⚠ Equity dipped to $5,037M in Q1 2026, the lowest level in the tracked period, suggesting capital return or loss pressure.
⚠ Total debt data is absent across all periods; leverage picture remains unclear and warrants disclosure scrutiny.
AI Insight: MTG Ratio Trends
MTG's operating margin and ROIC have declined for three consecutive quarters, with Q1 2026 hitting cycle lows of 69.6% and 16.4% respectively.
• Operating margin fell from a peak of 85.1% in Q2 2024 to 69.6% in Q1 2026 — a 15.5pp contraction over seven quarters.
• ROIC compressed from 20.3% in Q2 2024 to 16.4% in Q1 2026, the lowest reading in the dataset.
• ROE declined from 16.0% in Q2 2024 to 13.1% in Q1 2026, with Q2 2025 offering a brief partial recovery to 14.9% before resuming its slide.
• Net profit margin dropped from 66.9% in Q2 2024 to 55.6% in Q1 2026, still an absolute level that signals strong underlying profitability.
⚠ Q4 2025–Q1 2026 back-to-back declines across all margins suggest deterioration may be accelerating, not stabilizing.
⚠ D/E data is absent across all periods; leverage trajectory cannot be assessed and remains a blind spot.
⚠ Q2 2025 saw a meaningful margin bounce (OpMargin 80.9%), but it proved short-lived — monitor whether Q2 2026 repeats or fails to recover.
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Top Institutional Holders of MTG
BlackRock, Inc.
$607.5M23,142,361 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$471.3M17,953,957 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$358.4M13,654,046 shAQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$288.4M10,988,162 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$254.1M9,681,492 shSTATE STREET CORP
$205.5M7,828,899 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$155.4M5,920,861 shAllianz Asset Management GmbH
$119.8M4,565,294 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$118.6M4,518,214 shFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
$112.5M4,287,529 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $607.5M | 23,142,361 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $471.3M | 17,953,957 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $358.4M | 13,654,046 |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $288.4M | 10,988,162 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $254.1M | 9,681,492 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $205.5M | 7,828,899 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $155.4M | 5,920,861 |
| Allianz Asset Management GmbH | $119.8M | 4,565,294 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $118.6M | 4,518,214 |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | $112.5M | 4,287,529 |
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Popular Research
Is MTG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of MGIC INVESTMENT CORP (MTG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for MTG are available on the MTG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own MTG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling MTG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of MGIC INVESTMENT CORP's investment landscape.