MCDONALDS CORP(MCD)Stock Analysis
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Rank #175 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
MCD Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for MCDONALDS CORP (MCD), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores MCD at 73.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #175 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. MCD scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (94.8), balance sheet strength (92.4), profitability (90.4). Areas of concern include institutional flow (30.8) and earnings quality (38.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), MCDONALDS CORP reports quarterly revenue of $6.5B, net income of $2.0B, an operating margin of 45.3%. Top institutional holders of MCD by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. MCD trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 63908. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate MCD daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for MCDONALDS CORP directly from SEC EDGAR. MCDONALDS CORP's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 56 and 84 since 2021, currently 73.9 — a stable long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving MCD's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 14/14 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from MCDONALDS CORP's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
McDonald's Q1 revenue grew 9% to $6.5B driven by 3.8% global comparable sales growth and strong franchised margins; diluted EPS increased 7% to $2.78.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $6.517B+9% YoY
Revenues from conventional franchisees, developmental licensees and affiliates including rents, royalties and initial fees.
Sales at approximately 2,027 Company-operated restaurants.
Technology platform fees and brand licensing arrangements.
Largest Expense Items
Food, paper, payroll and occupancy costs; impacted by ongoing inflationary pressures.
Higher employee costs, including incentive-based compensation; 2.2% of Systemwide sales.
Lease and depreciation costs on Company-owned or leased land and buildings.
Margins: Operating margin expanded to 45.3% from 44.5% YoY, driven by strong sales-driven franchised margins and positive currency translation, partly offset by inflationary pressures in company-operated restaurants. Non-GAAP operating margin was 46.0%.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Franchised restaurants represent 95% of system-wide locations; revenues highly dependent on franchisee sales performance and health, representing $31.9B in franchised sales (+11% YoY).
- Foreign currency translation provided $313M revenue benefit and $0.13 EPS benefit in Q1; company exposed to currency headwinds if major currencies weaken against U.S. dollar.
- Company-owned U.S. restaurant margins declined 25% YoY to $59M due to inflationary cost pressures offsetting sales growth; labor and commodity cost pressures continue.
- Company incurred $47M in restructuring charges related to Accelerating the Organization strategy in Q1 2026; expects ~$250M total restructuring charges in 2026.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$6.5B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$2.0B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$1.7B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
45.3%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+3.7% YoYNet Income
+4.1% YoYOperating Income
+5.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+4.9% YoYTotal Assets
+7.9% YoYTotal Debt
+5.9% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+11.7% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.89B +3.7% | $25.92B +1.7% | $25.49B +10.0% | $23.18B -0.2% | $23.22B +20.9% | $19.21B |
| Net Income | $8.56B +4.1% | $8.22B -2.9% | $8.47B +37.1% | $6.18B -18.1% | $7.55B +59.5% | $4.73B |
| Operating Income | $12.39B +5.8% | $11.71B +0.6% | $11.65B +24.3% | $9.37B -9.5% | $10.36B +41.4% | $7.32B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $11.95 +4.9% | $11.39 -1.5% | $11.56 +38.8% | $8.33 -17.0% | $10.04 +59.1% | $6.31 |
| Total Assets | $59.52B +7.9% | $55.18B -1.7% | $56.15B +11.3% | $50.44B -6.3% | $53.85B +2.3% | $52.63B |
| Total Debt | $40.70B +5.9% | $38.42B -12.1% | $43.73B +21.8% | $35.90B +0.8% | $35.62B -10.2% | $39.68B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $10.55B +11.7% | $9.45B -1.7% | $9.61B +30.1% | $7.39B -19.2% | $9.14B +45.9% | $6.27B |
AI Insight: MCD Financial Trends
McDonald's revenue grew 0.4% year-over-year in Q1 2026, but operating margin compression and negative equity signal structural leverage concerns.
• Operating margin contracted to 45.3% in Q1 2026 from 47.1% in Q1 2025, despite 9.4% revenue growth from Q1 2025 to Q3 2025.
• Total debt rose from $38,524M in Q2 2024 to $40,105M in Q1 2026, while negative equity deteriorated to $-1,286M from $-4,824M.
• Operating cash flow remained solid at $2,412M in Q1 2026, recovering from $1,998M in Q2 2025.
⚠ Negative equity worsened structurally over 18 months; company returning capital faster than building book value.
⚠ Q1 2026 revenue of $6,517M declined 4.3% versus Q4 2025, suggesting seasonal weakness or demand softening.
AI Insight: MCD Ratio Trends
McDonald's operating margins remain elevated but ROIC has declined 4.3pp from Q3 2025 peak, signaling potential capital efficiency deterioration.
• Operating margin held steady near 45% in Q1 2026, consistent with 2025 average of 46.0%, reflecting stable pricing power.
• Net profit margin compressed to 30.4% in Q1 2026 from 32.9% in Q2 2025, a 250bp decline over nine months.
• ROIC fell from 37.1% in Q3 2024 to 30.4% in Q1 2026, a 670bp decline across the period.
⚠ ROA declined to 13.2% in Q1 2026, lowest since Q1 2025; suggests deteriorating asset productivity or working capital headwinds.
⚠ Sequential ROIC decline from 34.3% (Q3 2025) to 32.5% (Q4 2025) to 30.4% (Q1 2026) marks three consecutive quarterly contractions.
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Top Institutional Holders of MCD
BlackRock, Inc.
$17.2B55,352,735 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$14.4B46,216,017 shSTATE STREET CORP
$11.0B35,433,830 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$5.9B19,104,792 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$5.6B17,961,915 shMORGAN STANLEY
$4.9B15,618,509 shBANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/
$3.8B12,156,558 shNORTHERN TRUST CORP
$2.6B8,222,023 shWELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN
$2.5B7,969,032 shCapital Research Global Investors
$2.1B6,894,237 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $17.2B | 55,352,735 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $14.4B | 46,216,017 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $11.0B | 35,433,830 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $5.9B | 19,104,792 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $5.6B | 17,961,915 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $4.9B | 15,618,509 |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | $3.8B | 12,156,558 |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | $2.6B | 8,222,023 |
| WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN | $2.5B | 7,969,032 |
| Capital Research Global Investors | $2.1B | 6,894,237 |
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Is MCD a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of MCDONALDS CORP (MCD) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for MCD are available on the MCD stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own MCD?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling MCD. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of MCDONALDS CORP's investment landscape.