Grand Canyon Education, Inc.(LOPE)Stock Analysis
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Rank #443 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
LOPE Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores LOPE at 67.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #443 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. LOPE scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (96.9), profitability (81.3), free cash flow (75.9). Areas of concern include institutional flow (31.7), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $308.8M, net income of $75.3M, an operating margin of 30.9%. Top institutional holders of LOPE by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, FMR, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. LOPE trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1434588. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate LOPE daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 53 and 75 since 2021, currently 67.9 — an improving long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving LOPE's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Service revenue grew 6.7% YoY to $308.8M driven by 7.1% enrollment growth, with net income up 5.2% to $75.3M.
Largest Expense Items
Increased employee compensation, share-based compensation, benefits, and occupancy/depreciation costs to support enrollment growth and increased headcount.
Increased advertising costs of $3.1M to market university partners' programs and new locations, plus higher employee compensation and occupancy expenses.
Increased technology costs, curriculum reimbursements, employee compensation, and occupancy expenses to support 20 university partners and their growth.
Decreased professional fees and occupancy expenses, partially offset by higher employee compensation and administrative costs.
Watch Items from the Filing
- GCU concentration: 90.3% of total service revenue in Q1 2026 (vs. 90.4% in Q1 2025). Heavy dependence on single customer creates sustained revenue risk if GCU operations decline.
- Pending litigation: Three putative class actions alleging false or misleading marketing representations regarding GCU graduate program disclosures. Company cannot estimate loss range; discovery ongoing with no trial date set.
- Revenue per student declined slightly YoY due to contract modifications (lower revenue share but no faculty cost reimbursement), online mix shift to lower net tuition students, and ground student decline.
- Off-campus site expansion: 47 total sites with planned one to two new openings in H2 2026, offset by one partner's teach-out of three sites in Q1 2026; 20 university partners total as of March 31, 2026.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$308.8M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$75.3M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$80.1M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
30.9%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+7.1% YoYNet Income
-4.4% YoYOperating Income
-3.4% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-0.3% YoYTotal Assets
-2.6% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
-5.7% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2020 | FY 2017 | FY 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.11B +7.1% | $1.03B +13.4% | $911.3M +8.0% | $844.1M -13.3% | $974.1M +11.5% | $873.3M |
| Net Income | $216.2K -4.4% | $226.2K -99.9% | $184.7M -28.2% | $257.2M +26.5% | $203.3M +36.9% | $148.5M |
| Operating Income | $265.9M -3.4% | $275.4M +16.0% | $237.5M -14.4% | $277.4M -1.9% | $282.8M +19.2% | $237.2M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.71 -0.3% | $7.73 +34.9% | $5.73 +5.1% | $5.45 +29.1% | $4.22 +34.0% | $3.15 |
| Total Assets | $992.3M -2.6% | $1.02B +22.3% | $832.7M -54.9% | $1.84B +41.5% | $1.30B +19.3% | $1.09B |
| Total Debt | — | — | — | $107.8M | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $273.5M -5.7% | $290.0M +31.3% | $220.8M -28.5% | $308.8M +1.3% | $304.9M +28.2% | $237.8M |
AI Insight: LOPE Financial Trends
Q1 2026 revenue hit $309M — a new single-quarter high — but net income margin compressed versus Q1 2025 as equity eroded $85M over two quarters.
• Revenue grew from $289M in Q1 2025 to $309M in Q1 2026, a 7% year-over-year gain.
• Operating income rose from $88M in Q1 2025 to $95M in Q1 2026, expanding op margin from ~30.4% to ~30.7%.
• Net income in Q3 2025 collapsed to $16M — the weakest quarter in the dataset — versus $41M in Q3 2024.
• Equity has declined from $784M in Q4 2024 to $696M in Q1 2026, a $88M contraction over four quarters.
⚠ Q3 operating income dropped sharply to $18M in Q3 2025 from $48M in Q3 2024 — monitor whether seasonal weakness deepens.
⚠ Operating cash flow swung to -$49M in Q3 2025; back-to-back negative Q3 OCF quarters warrant scrutiny.
⚠ Total debt data is absent across all periods — leverage position remains unverifiable and is a key blind spot.
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Top Institutional Holders of LOPE
BlackRock, Inc.
$478.0M2,811,361 shFMR LLC
$456.1M2,682,310 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$219.9M1,293,191 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$208.6M1,226,996 shWILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
$166.6M979,734 shSTATE STREET CORP
$146.3M860,326 shRIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
$121.8M716,586 shREINHART PARTNERS, LLC.
$109.7M644,988 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$105.7M621,449 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$96.3M566,285 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $478.0M | 2,811,361 |
| FMR LLC | $456.1M | 2,682,310 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $219.9M | 1,293,191 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $208.6M | 1,226,996 |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | $166.6M | 979,734 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $146.3M | 860,326 |
| RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC | $121.8M | 716,586 |
| REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. | $109.7M | 644,988 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $105.7M | 621,449 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $96.3M | 566,285 |
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Is LOPE a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for LOPE are available on the LOPE stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own LOPE?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling LOPE. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s investment landscape.