Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.(KDP)Stock Analysis
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Rank #702 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
KDP Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), a Consumer Staples sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores KDP at 63.1/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #702 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. KDP scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (91.2). Areas of concern include institutional flow (33.4), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $4.0B, net income of $270.0M, an operating margin of 19.0%. Top institutional holders of KDP by reported 13-F value include FMR, BlackRock,, Capital World Investors, based on the most recent SEC filings. KDP trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1418135. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate KDP daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 74 since 2021, currently 63.1 — a declining long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$4.0B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$270.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$165.0M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
19.0%
ROIC
Q1 2026
1.6%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+8.2% YoYNet Income
+44.3% YoYOperating Income
+38.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+45.7% YoYTotal Assets
+3.8% YoYTotal Debt
+2.8% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-10.3% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.60B +8.2% | $15.35B +21.0% | $12.68B +9.2% | $11.62B +4.5% | $11.12B +49.4% | $7.44B |
| Net Income | $2.08B +44.3% | $1.44B -32.9% | $2.15B +62.0% | $1.32B +5.7% | $1.25B +114.0% | $586.0M |
| Operating Income | $3.58B +38.0% | $2.59B -10.5% | $2.89B +16.7% | $2.48B +4.3% | $2.38B +92.2% | $1.24B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.53 +45.7% | $1.05 -30.0% | $1.50 +61.3% | $0.93 +5.7% | $0.88 +66.0% | $0.53 |
| Total Assets | $55.46B +3.8% | $53.43B +5.6% | $50.60B +1.6% | $49.78B +0.5% | $49.52B +1.2% | $48.92B |
| Total Debt | $17.04B +2.8% | $16.58B +36.0% | $12.19B -32.9% | $18.18B +20.3% | $15.11B -7.9% | $16.42B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.99B -10.3% | $2.22B -22.8% | $2.87B +17.0% | $2.46B -0.7% | $2.47B +53.4% | $1.61B |
AI Insight: KDP Financial Trends
Revenue growth accelerated to 10% YoY in Q1 2026, but debt nearly doubled from Q4 2025, signaling a major capital event.
• Revenue grew from $3,635M (Q1 2025) to $3,976M (Q1 2026), +9.4% YoY; Q3 2025 hit $4,306M, highest in dataset.
• Operating income expanded from $801M (Q1 2025) to $756M (Q1 2026), sustaining high OCF generation despite seasonal weakness.
• Total debt surged 63.6% from $16,710M (Q3 2025) to $27,702M (Q1 2026), largest quarterly jump in data.
⚠ Operating cash flow declined to $281M (Q1 2026) from $712M (Q4 2025), -60% QoQ; seasonal or structural?
⚠ Debt-to-equity ratio jumped to 1.10x (Q1 2026) from 0.99x (Q4 2025)—highest leverage in entire dataset period.
⚠ Net income volatile; $270M (Q1 2026) vs $662M (Q3 2025)—investigate whether debt-funded acquisition or refinancing impacted earnings.
AI Insight: KDP Ratio Trends
KDP profitability and returns have deteriorated sharply in Q1 2026, with operating margin falling to 19.0% and ROIC contracting to 5.7%, while leverage spiked to 1.10 D/E.
• Operating margin declined from 23.1% in Q3 2025 to 19.0% in Q1 2026, a 410 basis point drop in two quarters.
• Net profit margin fell from 15.4% in Q3 2025 to 6.8% in Q1 2026, the lowest level since Q4 2024's anomaly.
• ROIC compressed from 9.5% in Q3 2025 to 5.7% in Q1 2026, eroding capital efficiency across the portfolio.
• Debt-to-equity ratio jumped to 1.10 in Q1 2026 from 0.66–0.69 range in prior quarters, signaling material leverage increase.
⚠ Q4 2024 exhibited severe one-off distress (negative margins and returns); Q1 2026 weakness may indicate structural headwinds or seasonal trough.
⚠ ROE and ROA both fell below 5% in Q1 2026—lowest since Q4 2024—warrant investigation into underlying drivers.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of KDP
FMR LLC
$3.8B145,628,995 shBlackRock, Inc.
$3.3B125,509,512 shCapital World Investors
$2.6B99,030,129 shHARRIS ASSOCIATES L P
$2.5B93,082,313 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.3B85,965,700 shSTATE STREET CORP
$1.7B65,123,238 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.6B62,117,319 shWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
$1.6B61,741,393 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$863.9M32,943,622 shMORGAN STANLEY
$700.5M26,605,026 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | $3.8B | 145,628,995 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $3.3B | 125,509,512 |
| Capital World Investors | $2.6B | 99,030,129 |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | $2.5B | 93,082,313 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.3B | 85,965,700 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $1.7B | 65,123,238 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.6B | 62,117,319 |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | $1.6B | 61,741,393 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $863.9M | 32,943,622 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $700.5M | 26,605,026 |
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Popular Research
Is KDP a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Staples sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for KDP are available on the KDP stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own KDP?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling KDP. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s investment landscape.