Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE(JCAP)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,642 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
JCAP Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE (JCAP), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores JCAP at 46.6/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,642 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. JCAP scores in the top quartile across institutional flow (97.5), revenue growth (94.5). Areas of concern include profitability (30.0) and balance sheet strength (30.0), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 34.9/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE reports quarterly revenue of $176.4M, net income of $37.6M, an operating margin of 45.5%. Top institutional holders of JCAP by reported 13-F value include WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP, ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C., WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT,, based on the most recent SEC filings. JCAP trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 2046042. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate JCAP daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE directly from SEC EDGAR.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$176.4M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$37.6M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$39.6M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
45.5%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+89.8% YoYNet Income
+68.5% YoYOperating Income
+92.9% YoYEPS (Diluted)
Total Assets
Total Debt
Op. Cash Flow
+123.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $613.3M +89.8% | $323.1M | — |
| Net Income | $188.0M +68.5% | $111.5M | — |
| Operating Income | $316.5M +92.9% | $164.1M | — |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.64 | — | — |
| Total Assets | $2.09B | — | — |
| Total Debt | $1.75B | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $268.8M +123.6% | $120.2M | — |
AI Insight: JCAP Financial Trends
Revenue accelerated to $176M in Q1 2026 while operating income expanded, but operating cash flow collapsed 47% sequentially.
• Revenue grew 16% from Q3 2025 ($151M) to Q1 2026 ($176M), with operating income rising to $80M.
• Net income held steady at $38M across Q3 2025, Q4 2025, and Q1 2026 despite revenue gains.
• Operating cash flow declined sharply from $75M in Q4 2025 to $40M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Operating cash flow fell 47% Q4–Q1 despite higher operating income—potential working capital pressure or timing issue.
⚠ Debt of $1,754M reported in Q4 2025; equity fluctuated $411M–$476M across periods—leverage visibility limited.
AI Insight: JCAP Ratio Trends
ROIC volatility masks deteriorating profitability: net margin compressed 410bp from Q3 2025 to Q1 2026 despite stable operating margin.
• Operating margin held steady at 45.5–46.4% across Q3 2025–Q1 2026, signaling stable underwriting discipline.
• Net profit margin fell from 25.4% (Q3 2025) to 21.3% (Q1 2026)—largest quarterly drop, suggesting rising non-operating expenses or tax headwinds.
• ROA declined to 7.2% in Q4 2025 and remained flat into Q1 2026, below Q3 2025's 8.5%.
⚠ ROIC swung wildly: 64.0% (Q3 2025) → 12.7% (Q4 2025) → 72.4% (Q1 2026). Extreme volatility suggests seasonal or one-off capital deployment noise.
⚠ Leverage spiked to 3.68x D/E in Q4 2025; missing D/E data in Q1 2026 obscures current debt trajectory.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE including:
Top Institutional Holders of JCAP
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
$62.9M3,270,966 shADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C.
$33.9M1,762,799 shWILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC
$30.0M1,559,949 shPRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
$29.6M1,537,054 shBlackRock, Inc.
$27.0M1,405,042 shGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
$21.8M1,131,598 shPUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.
$21.5M1,115,885 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$20.3M1,056,798 shNantahala Capital Management, LLC
$14.4M750,000 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$13.3M691,217 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | $62.9M | 3,270,966 |
| ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. | $33.9M | 1,762,799 |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | $30.0M | 1,559,949 |
| PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC | $29.6M | 1,537,054 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $27.0M | 1,405,042 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | $21.8M | 1,131,598 |
| PUNCH & ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | $21.5M | 1,115,885 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $20.3M | 1,056,798 |
| Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | $14.4M | 750,000 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $13.3M | 691,217 |
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Popular Research
Is JCAP a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE (JCAP) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for JCAP are available on the JCAP stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own JCAP?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling JCAP. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE's investment landscape.