Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.(ICE)Stock Analysis
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Rank #184 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
ICE Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), a Financials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores ICE at 73.8/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #184 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. ICE scores in the top quartile across profitability (91.9), revenue scale (89.1), free cash flow (87.9). Areas of concern include institutional flow (2.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 42.2/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $3.7B, net income of $1.4B, an operating margin of 45.4%. Top institutional holders of ICE by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. ICE trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1571949. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate ICE daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 77 since 2021, currently 73.8 — a stable long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving ICE's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 29/29 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
ICE delivered 77% net income growth to $1.4B on 20% revenue increase, driven by energy and interest rate volatility boosting futures trading and a $389M fair value gain on Polymarket investment.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $3.666B+13% YoY
Futures trading surged 45% in total volume; energy futures +32%, financial futures +65% driven by geopolitical conflict and supply disruptions; cash equities volumes +39%.
CDS clearing volumes grew 41% to $9.9T notional; data and analytics +8%; data and network technology +12%.
Origination technology +10%; closing solutions +20% on higher loan volumes; offset by modest growth in servicing from customer merger activity.
Largest Expense Items
Higher bonus accrual and PSU adjustments from strong financial performance; partially offset by lower headcount and higher capitalized labor.
Intangible asset amortization $237M declined as certain 2015 and 2020 acquisition intangibles became fully amortized; fixed asset depreciation increased.
Data center space expansion, higher hardware/software maintenance costs, and increased revenue share licensing expenses.
Primarily Black Knight integration costs.
Margins: Operating margin expanded 7 percentage points to 56%, with adjusted operating margin at 65% (+4pts), reflecting strong operating leverage from higher transaction revenues and cost discipline. Mortgage Technology turned near-breakeven with improved loss management.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Mortgage Technology segment operating loss of $13M; higher rates continue suppressing origination demand despite modest 6% revenue growth. Further rate increases could pressure segment profitability.
- $1.6B Polymarket investment ($1.0B in October 2025, $600M in March 2026) recognized $389M fair value gain; investment accounts for 23% of outstanding and 14% of fully diluted shares but is pre-IPO stage with significant execution risk.
- EMIR 3.0 and Pillar Two regulatory changes pose headwinds: euro-denominated short-rate derivatives clearing mandate may reduce volumes at ICE Clear Europe; U.S. tax guidance exempts parent companies but multi-jurisdictional exposure remains.
- Strong cash generation: operating cash flow $1.3B (+37% YoY), free cash flow $1.15B. Repurchased $551M shares (3.5M) and paid $297M dividends in Q1; $2.5B remaining authorization.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$3.7B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$1.4B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$1.3B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
45.4%
ROIC
Q1 2026
3.5%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.69
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+27.6% YoYNet Income
+40.0% YoYOperating Income
+33.4% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+37.7% YoYTotal Assets
+0.6% YoYTotal Debt
-13.1% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+31.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.64B +27.6% | $9.90B +2.8% | $9.64B +5.1% | $9.17B +11.2% | $8.24B +41.1% | $5.84B |
| Net Income | $3.31B +40.0% | $2.37B +63.8% | $1.45B -64.4% | $4.06B +94.3% | $2.09B -17.3% | $2.53B |
| Operating Income | $4.93B +33.4% | $3.69B +1.5% | $3.64B +5.5% | $3.45B +13.7% | $3.03B +27.5% | $2.38B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $5.77 +37.7% | $4.19 +62.4% | $2.58 -64.1% | $7.18 +90.5% | $3.77 -11.3% | $4.25 |
| Total Assets | $136.89B +0.6% | $136.08B -30.0% | $194.34B +0.4% | $193.50B +53.3% | $126.20B +61.2% | $78.26B |
| Total Debt | $19.64B -13.1% | $22.61B +24.8% | $18.12B +30.2% | $13.92B -15.8% | $16.54B +69.3% | $9.77B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.66B +31.6% | $3.54B -0.3% | $3.55B +13.8% | $3.12B +8.4% | $2.88B +38.2% | $2.08B |
AI Insight: ICE Financial Trends
Q1 2026 revenue surged 12.4% YoY to $3.67B, driving net income to $1.41B—highest in the dataset—while debt declined 6.6% from peak.
• Revenue grew from $3.23B in Q1 2025 to $3.67B in Q1 2026, a 12.4% YoY increase. Net income nearly doubled to $1.41B.
• Operating margin expanded to 45.4% in Q1 2026 from 37.8% in Q1 2025, gaining 760 basis points year-over-year.
• Total debt fell 6.6% from Q2 2025 peak ($21.2B) to $20.4B in Q1 2026, while equity grew 4.5% to $29.5B.
⚠ Operating cash flow remains volatile, ranging $898M–$1.5B across quarters. Q1 2026 at $1.33B shows recovery but trend lacks consistency.
AI Insight: ICE Ratio Trends
ICE delivered explosive profitability expansion in Q1 2026, with operating margin jumping to 45.4% and NPM surging to 38.5%, driven by material ROIC improvement to 13.4%.
• Operating margin expanded 5.6pp from Q4 2025 (39.4%) to Q1 2026 (45.4%); NPM increased 11.4pp to 38.5%.
• ROIC climbed from 9.0% in Q4 2024 to 13.4% in Q1 2026, a sustained 4.4pp structural improvement.
• Debt-to-equity declined from 0.82 in Q2 2024 to 0.69 in TTM and Q1 2026, strengthening balance sheet.
⚠ Q1 2026 results include potential seasonality or one-offs; TTM NPM of 30.1% suggests Q1 margin may not sustain.
⚠ ROE spiked to 19.2% in Q1 2026 versus 11.8% in Q4 2025—verify this reflects operational gains, not leverage.
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Top Institutional Holders of ICE
BlackRock, Inc.
$8.3B52,896,116 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$5.8B36,911,379 shSTATE STREET CORP
$4.0B25,551,190 shHARRIS ASSOCIATES L P
$2.6B16,342,258 shMORGAN STANLEY
$2.3B14,487,713 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$2.0B12,774,120 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.9B11,814,869 shWELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
$1.6B10,177,888 shROYAL BANK OF CANADA
$1.3B8,290,395 shNORTHERN TRUST CORP
$1.1B6,932,110 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $8.3B | 52,896,116 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $5.8B | 36,911,379 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $4.0B | 25,551,190 |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | $2.6B | 16,342,258 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $2.3B | 14,487,713 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $2.0B | 12,774,120 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.9B | 11,814,869 |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | $1.6B | 10,177,888 |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | $1.3B | 8,290,395 |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | $1.1B | 6,932,110 |
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Popular Research
Is ICE a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for ICE are available on the ICE stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own ICE?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling ICE. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s investment landscape.