WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.(HCC)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,864 of 2,879 stocks
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
HCC Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. (HCC), a Energy sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores HCC at 42.1/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,864 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. Areas of concern include earnings quality (3.8) and revenue growth (10.4), which score below median versus the broader universe. Shareholder dilution risk is elevated at 46.7/100, reflecting ongoing share issuance or stock-based compensation. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. reports quarterly revenue of $458.6M, net income of $72.3M, free cash flow of $-11.7M. Top institutional holders of HCC by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, STATE STREET, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. HCC trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1691303. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate HCC daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. directly from SEC EDGAR. WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 64 since 2025, currently 42.1 — an improving long-term trajectory across 38 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$458.6M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$72.3M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-11.7M
ROIC
Q1 2026
3.4%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.07
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-14.1% YoYNet Income
-77.3% YoYOperating Income
-82.1% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-77.5% YoYTotal Assets
+7.4% YoYTotal Debt
+0.4% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-37.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.31B -14.1% | $1.53B -9.0% | $1.68B -3.6% | $1.74B +64.2% | $1.06B +35.3% | $782.7M |
| Net Income | $57.0M -77.3% | $250.6M -47.6% | $478.6M -25.4% | $641.3M +325.0% | $150.9M +521.9% | $-35.8M |
| Operating Income | $45.7M -82.1% | $254.9M -52.9% | $541.4M -32.4% | $801.4M +228.8% | $243.8M +998.2% | $-27.1M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.08 -77.5% | $4.79 -47.9% | $9.20 -25.8% | $12.40 +323.2% | $2.93 +518.6% | $-0.70 |
| Total Assets | $2.78B +7.4% | $2.59B +9.9% | $2.36B +16.2% | $2.03B +38.5% | $1.46B +5.0% | $1.39B |
| Total Debt | $154.3M +0.4% | $153.6M +0.4% | $153.0M -49.4% | $302.6M -11.0% | $339.8M -10.6% | $379.9M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $229.2M -37.6% | $367.4M -47.6% | $701.1M -16.7% | $841.9M +139.5% | $351.5M +212.1% | $112.6M |
AI Insight: HCC Financial Trends
HCC's Q1 2026 revenue surged to $459M — highest in the 8-quarter window — as operating income rebounded sharply to $79M after four quarters of near-zero or negative results.
• Revenue recovered strongly from a $297M trough in Q4 2024 to $459M in Q1 2026, a 55% increase over five quarters.
• Operating income swung from a loss of -$17M in Q1 2025 to +$79M in Q1 2026, the highest operating result in the dataset.
• Equity grew steadily from $2,048M in Q2 2024 to $2,205M in Q1 2026, while total debt remained flat at $154M throughout.
• Operating cash flow turned negative at -$12M in Q1 2026 despite strong net income of $72M, suggesting working capital build.
⚠ Operating CF of -$12M in Q1 2026 vs. net income of $72M is a stark disconnect — monitor working capital changes closely next quarter.
⚠ Four consecutive quarters of near-zero or negative net income (Q4 2024–Q2 2025) highlight HCC's sensitivity to met coal price cycles.
⚠ Whether Q1 2026's revenue and earnings strength is sustained, or reverts toward the $297–$329M range seen through most of 2024–2025.
AI Insight: HCC Ratio Trends
HCC's profitability has staged a sharp recovery in Q1 2026, with operating margin rebounding to 17.3% after bottoming at -5.8% in Q1 2025.
• Operating margin swung from -5.8% in Q1 2025 to 17.3% in Q1 2026, fully recovering above Q2 2024's 17.9% peak.
• ROIC recovered strongly from -3.1% in Q1 2025 to 13.5% in Q1 2026, the highest level in the observed period.
• Leverage remained flat at D/E of 0.07 across all quarters, indicating a consistently minimal debt burden.
• TTM figures (9.7% OpMargin, 6.0% ROIC) lag Q1 2026 standalone results, reflecting the drag from weak Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 quarters.
⚠ Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 saw operating losses (-1.4%, -5.8%), flagging meaningful earnings cyclicality tied to met coal price swings.
⚠ Whether Q1 2026's 17.3% operating margin is sustainable or another peak before another trough warrants close monitoring.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. including:
Top Institutional Holders of HCC
BlackRock, Inc.
$694.1M7,451,680 shSTATE STREET CORP
$409.7M4,398,677 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$304.1M3,265,067 shFMR LLC
$256.0M2,748,471 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$219.9M2,360,344 shDalal Street, LLC
$168.7M1,810,831 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$152.1M1,632,234 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$135.4M1,453,157 shAllianz Asset Management GmbH
$124.0M1,331,454 shCapital International Investors
$101.4M1,088,263 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $694.1M | 7,451,680 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $409.7M | 4,398,677 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $304.1M | 3,265,067 |
| FMR LLC | $256.0M | 2,748,471 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $219.9M | 2,360,344 |
| Dalal Street, LLC | $168.7M | 1,810,831 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $152.1M | 1,632,234 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $135.4M | 1,453,157 |
| Allianz Asset Management GmbH | $124.0M | 1,331,454 |
| Capital International Investors | $101.4M | 1,088,263 |
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Popular Research
Is HCC a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. (HCC) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for HCC are available on the HCC stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own HCC?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling HCC. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of WARRIOR MET COAL, INC.'s investment landscape.