EXPAND ENERGY Corp(EXE)Stock Analysis
AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →Deep AI analysis on 2,800+ stocks →13F Pro Quality Score
Rank #14 of 2,879 stocksTOP 1%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
EXE Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE), a Energy sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores EXE at 83.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #14 of 2,879 stocks — the top 1% of the AI-ranked universe. EXE scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (89.2), revenue growth (87.3), profitability (86.3). Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), EXPAND ENERGY Corp reports quarterly revenue of $4.4B, net income of $1.2B, an operating margin of 34.8%. Top institutional holders of EXE by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. EXE trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 895126. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate EXE daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for EXPAND ENERGY Corp directly from SEC EDGAR. EXPAND ENERGY Corp's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 84 since 2024, currently 83.9 — an improving long-term trajectory across 43 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving EXE's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 24/24 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from EXPAND ENERGY Corp's 10-Q filed 2026-04-28 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Expand Energy reported $4.4B in total revenues for Q1 2026, driven by $3.3B in natural gas, oil and NGL sales (+44% YoY) amid Winter Storm Fern pricing spike and higher production volumes.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $4.4B+100% YoY
Higher average gas prices from Winter Storm Fern and increased volumes across all operating areas from new well production.
Increased marketed volumes, higher prices amid natural gas price volatility and optimization efforts.
Natural gas unrealized gains of $301M partially offset realized losses of $401M.
Largest Expense Items
Increased volumes, annual fee escalations and NG3 pipeline going into service.
Per-unit decrease due to lower depletion rates from higher reserve valuations.
Increased salt water disposal and workover expenses in Haynesville from higher production activity.
Increased marketed volumes and higher prices.
Margins: Gross margin expanded significantly with operating income of $1.5B vs. a loss of $268M in prior year, driven by higher commodity prices and volume growth. Net income of $1.2B reflected the strong operational performance, though partially offset by $129M in derivative losses.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Commodity price volatility: Winter Storm Fern drove $807M of the $1.0B revenue increase; without such temporary weather events, underlying pricing and demand structures face pressures from mild weather domestically.
- Derivative hedge effectiveness: $401M in realized natural gas derivative losses during Q1 show hedging costs; current positions provide floor on 65% of projected 2026 gas volumes but limit upside.
- Debt redemptions post-quarter: $847M (6.75% notes) and $440M (5.875% notes) redeemed in April 2026 using cash, reducing debt burden but also liquidity from $2.2B cash on hand.
- NG3 pipeline capital intensity: $18M in quarterly GP&T fees to Momentum joint venture; $301M equity investment carries fair value risk and ongoing ~900 MMcf/day commitment for 12 years.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$4.4B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$1.2B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$1.7B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
34.8%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.30
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+3.2% YoYNet Income
-63.1% YoYOperating Income
-34.6% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-77.3% YoYTotal Assets
+82.9% YoYTotal Debt
+61.9% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+10.9% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.12B +3.2% | $11.74B | — | $5.24B -38.6% | $8.53B -15.0% | $10.04B |
| Net Income | $1.82B -63.1% | $4.94B -22.0% | $6.33B +165.0% | $-9.73B -3060.4% | $-308.0M +39.0% | $-505.0M |
| Operating Income | $2.47B -34.6% | $3.78B | — | $-8.70B -27974.2% | $-31.0M +77.5% | $-138.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.57 -77.3% | $33.36 | — | $-998.26 -1897.7% | $-49.97 -7038.6% | $-0.70 |
| Total Assets | $28.29B +82.9% | $15.47B +40.5% | $11.01B +67.2% | $6.58B -59.3% | $16.19B +30.3% | $12.43B |
| Total Debt | $5.01B +61.9% | $3.09B +35.8% | $2.28B -41.0% | $3.86B -60.8% | $9.84B -1.8% | $10.03B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.58B +10.9% | $4.13B | — | $1.16B -28.3% | $1.62B +241.7% | $475.0M |
AI Insight: EXE Financial Trends
EXE turned profitable in mid-2025 and sustained $1B+ quarterly net income through Q1 2026, while operating cash flow accelerated to $2.4B.
• Net income swung from -$399M loss in Q4 2024 to +$1,159M profit in Q1 2026; operating margin improved from -19.3% to +34.8%.
• Operating cash flow grew 11.5x from $209M in Q2 2024 to $2,402M in Q1 2026, demonstrating cash generation power.
• Revenue expanded 7.7x from $505M to $4,397M over eight quarters, though Q3 2025 dipped to $2,966M.
⚠ Total debt rose from $2,021M to $5,883M (Q1 2026); debt-to-equity ratio at 30.1% — monitor leverage amid capital intensity.
⚠ Revenue volatility remains—Q3 2025 to Q4 2025 recovered, but consistency critical to validate profitability sustainability.
AI Insight: EXE Ratio Trends
EXE swung from consecutive quarterly losses through Q1 2025 to sustained profitability and double-digit returns, with Q1 2026 posting 34.8% operating margin and 24.1% ROIC.
• Operating margin recovered from -12.2% in Q1 2025 to 34.8% in Q1 2026; NPM jumped from -11.3% to 26.4% in same period.
• ROIC surged from -4.8% (Q1 2025) through 22.0% (Q2 2025) to 24.1% (Q1 2026), signaling operational turnaround.
• Leverage remained stable; D/E ranged 0.27–0.30 across last four quarters, strengthening from 0.35 peak in Q4 2024.
⚠ Q1 2026 ROE/ROA (23.7%/15.7%) spike sharply above Q4 2025 (11.9%/7.8%); verify if seasonal benefit or sustainable.
Get alerted when EXE's score changes
Free account: watchlist tracking, the daily AI brief, and the AI screener.
Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for EXPAND ENERGY Corp including:
Top Institutional Holders of EXE
BlackRock, Inc.
$2.0B18,637,479 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.7B15,547,494 shSTATE STREET CORP
$1.6B14,494,558 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$1.2B11,357,437 shCapital Research Global Investors
$746.4M6,798,764 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$724.4M6,622,393 shCapital World Investors
$681.9M6,211,571 shOAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP
$575.0M5,237,477 shInvesco Ltd.
$540.0M4,918,926 shVICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
$522.6M4,760,749 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $2.0B | 18,637,479 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.7B | 15,547,494 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $1.6B | 14,494,558 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1.2B | 11,357,437 |
| Capital Research Global Investors | $746.4M | 6,798,764 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $724.4M | 6,622,393 |
| Capital World Investors | $681.9M | 6,211,571 |
| OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | $575.0M | 5,237,477 |
| Invesco Ltd. | $540.0M | 4,918,926 |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | $522.6M | 4,760,749 |
More Energy Companies
View all Energy →Put EXE on your watchlist
Track score changes the day EXPAND ENERGY Corp files with the SEC, follow the hedge funds that own it, screen 2,800+ AI-scored stocks, and get the daily brief — free.
Free tier includes 13F data, economic indicators, and market overview. Pro starts at $6.67/mo (billed annually).
Popular Research
Is EXE a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for EXE are available on the EXE stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own EXE?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling EXE. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of EXPAND ENERGY Corp's investment landscape.