CONOCOPHILLIPS(COP)Stock Analysis
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Rank #148 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
COP Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP), a Energy sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores COP at 74.8/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #148 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. COP scores in the top quartile across revenue scale (97.4), institutional flow (89.4), free cash flow (88.8). Areas of concern include earnings quality (27.9), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), CONOCOPHILLIPS reports quarterly revenue of $15.8B, net income of $2.2B, an operating margin of 21.3%. Top institutional holders of COP by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, STATE STREET, based on the most recent SEC filings. COP trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1163165. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate COP daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for CONOCOPHILLIPS directly from SEC EDGAR. CONOCOPHILLIPS's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 91 since 2021, currently 74.8 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving COP's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 15/15 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from CONOCOPHILLIPS's 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
ConocoPhillips reported Q1 2026 net income of $2.2B on revenues of $15.8B, down 23% YoY, as lower realized gas prices and volumes offset higher oil prices amid geopolitical tensions.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $15.8B-4% YoY
Lower realized natural gas and NGL prices of $303M, partially offset by lower production and operating expenses of $186M.
Lower volumes of $32M and lower realized prices of $10M, partly offset by higher crude prices.
Higher realized prices of $46M offset by lower volumes of $78M following higher variable royalties at Surmont post-payout event.
Lower produced volumes of $53M partly offset by higher realized crude and bitumen prices of $68M.
Driven by higher crude oil prices and new development activity in China, partly offset by normal field decline.
Largest Expense Items
Higher power prices, higher power and gas volumes, and higher LNG activity, partly offset by lower derivatives impacts and crude volumes.
Higher DD&A rates driven by higher net book values from finalized Marathon Oil purchase price allocations and lower proved developed reserves.
Lower activity levels and increased efficiencies across segments.
Higher taxes in Alaska due to absence of prior-year contingent matter settlement impact.
Margins: Gross margins compressed as lower realized commodity prices, particularly natural gas (-27% YoY realized), offset modest crude oil price strength. Operating margins declined with DD&A increasing 6% YoY from Marathon acquisition allocations, though partially mitigated by 9% reduction in production and operating expenses from improved efficiencies.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Qatar LNG operations constrained in March 2026 due to Middle East conflict; production represents ~4% of total company volumes. Further escalation could adversely affect operations, transportation, construction, and supply chains despite no current damage or impairment indicators.
- Venezuela arbitration awards total ~$8.5B (ICSID) plus $2B (ICC), with only $795M collected as of Q1 2026; collection actions ongoing and subject to U.S. sanctions compliance.
- Pending SLCRMA lawsuits filed by Louisiana parishes and State of Louisiana alleging coastal erosion damages from historical operations; unprecedented legal theories create uncertainty on scope and exposure as company continues evaluating resolution options.
- Federal securities class action certified on Concho Resources acquisition allegations; defendants filed motion to dismiss in March 2022 denied in June 2023 for most defendants including ConocoPhillips, class certified April 2025.
- Operating cash flow declined 30% YoY to $4.3B from receivable timing, lower production, and lower realized prices; highly dependent on volatile crude and natural gas markets.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$15.8B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$2.2B
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$4.3B
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
21.3%
ROIC
Q1 2026
3.9%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.36
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-2.5% YoYNet Income
-15.6% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-13.8% YoYTotal Assets
+28.0% YoYTotal Debt
+28.4% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+0.8% YoY| Metric | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $54.74B -2.5% | $56.14B -28.5% | $78.49B +71.3% | $45.83B +144.0% | $18.78B -48.8% | $36.67B |
| Net Income | $9.24B -15.6% | $10.96B -41.3% | $18.68B +131.2% | $8.08B +399.1% | $-2.70B -137.6% | $7.19B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.81 -13.8% | $9.06 -37.8% | $14.57 +140.0% | $6.07 +341.8% | $-2.51 -139.2% | $6.40 |
| Total Assets | $122.78B +28.0% | $95.92B +2.2% | $93.83B +3.5% | $90.66B +44.8% | $62.62B -11.2% | $70.51B |
| Total Debt | $24.32B +28.4% | $18.94B +13.8% | $16.64B -16.5% | $19.93B +1.1% | $19.73B +8.3% | $18.21B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $20.12B +0.8% | $19.96B -29.5% | $28.31B +66.6% | $17.00B +253.9% | $4.80B -56.8% | $11.10B |
AI Insight: COP Financial Trends
Net income has declined four of the last five quarters, falling from a peak $2,849M in Q1 2025 to $2,183M in Q1 2026, even as revenue holds relatively steady.
• Net income fell from $2,849M in Q1 2025 to $1,442M in Q4 2025, a 49% drop over three quarters.
• Operating cash flow dropped sharply to $3,485M in Q2 2025 and $4,295M in Q1 2026, well below the $6,115M peak in Q1 2025.
• Total debt jumped from $18,352M in Q2 2024 to $24,324M in Q4 2024, then stabilized near $23,300–$23,800M through Q1 2026.
• Equity expanded from $49,745M in Q2 2024 to $65,572M in Q2 2025, then edged slightly lower to $64,541M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Net income of $1,442M in Q4 2025 is the lowest in the dataset — monitor whether Q1 2026's $2,183M recovery is sustained.
⚠ Operating CF of $4,295M in Q1 2026 remains below Q1 2025's $6,115M; cash generation trend warrants close attention.
⚠ Debt load of ~$23.3B is roughly 27% higher than Q2 2024 levels; deleveraging progress has been minimal over five quarters.
AI Insight: COP Ratio Trends
COP's returns have deteriorated sharply over the past year, with ROIC falling from 24.1% in Q3 2024 to 10.2% in Q4 2025 before a partial Q1 2026 recovery.
• ROIC peaked at 24.1% in Q3 2024 and troughed at 10.2% in Q4 2025 — a 13.9pp decline over five quarters.
• Operating margin rebounded to 21.3% in Q1 2026 from a four-quarter low of 16.8% in Q4 2025, suggesting partial recovery.
• D/E has been remarkably stable, holding at 0.36–0.38 across all periods, indicating consistent leverage management.
• ROA fell from 9.7% in Q2 2024 to 4.7% in Q4 2025 before recovering to 7.1% in Q1 2026 — still below prior-year levels.
⚠ Q1 2026 ROIC of 15.3% remains well below the 19.8%–24.1% range seen in Q2–Q3 2024; sustained recovery is unconfirmed.
⚠ Net profit margin at 13.9% in Q1 2026 has not recovered to the 17%+ levels of Q1–Q2 2025; commodity price sensitivity remains key.
⚠ Q4 2025 operating margin of 16.8% alongside stable D/E suggests cost structure, not leverage, is the primary earnings drag.
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Top Institutional Holders of COP
BlackRock, Inc.
$12.0B91,173,754 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$10.5B79,539,856 shSTATE STREET CORP
$9.0B68,474,720 shCHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC
$5.0B37,911,567 shCapital International Investors
$4.1B31,115,547 shFMR LLC
$3.9B29,393,479 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$3.8B28,577,218 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$3.7B28,326,674 shMASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/
$2.7B20,267,161 shEAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.5B18,910,677 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $12.0B | 91,173,754 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $10.5B | 79,539,856 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $9.0B | 68,474,720 |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | $5.0B | 37,911,567 |
| Capital International Investors | $4.1B | 31,115,547 |
| FMR LLC | $3.9B | 29,393,479 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $3.8B | 28,577,218 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $3.7B | 28,326,674 |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | $2.7B | 20,267,161 |
| EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.5B | 18,910,677 |
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Popular Research
Is COP a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for COP are available on the COP stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own COP?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling COP. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of CONOCOPHILLIPS's investment landscape.