CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC(CMG)Stock Analysis
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Rank #211 of 2,879 stocksTOP 10%
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Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
CMG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores CMG at 72.9/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #211 of 2,879 stocks — the top 10% of the AI-ranked universe. CMG scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (94.7), revenue scale (88.1). Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC reports quarterly revenue of $3.1B, net income of $302.8M, an operating margin of 12.9%. Top institutional holders of CMG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, Capital World Investors, based on the most recent SEC filings. CMG trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1058090. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate CMG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC directly from SEC EDGAR. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 80 since 2021, currently 72.9 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving CMG's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC's 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Revenue grew 7.4% YoY to $3.1B, but comparable sales rose only 0.5% and diluted EPS fell 17.9% to $0.23 amid elevated labor and operating costs.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $3,088.2M+7.4% YoY
Driven by new restaurant openings (49 units in Q1, 42 with Chipotlane) and 0.5% comparable sales increase offset by 0.1% lower average check.
Minimal growth in delivery revenue component.
Largest Expense Items
Driven by 0.9% inflation primarily from beef and freight, plus 0.4% higher produce usage, partially offset by 0.7% lower dairy and avocado costs.
Increased 1.1% of revenue due to legal proceedings (0.4%), wage inflation (0.3%), lower average restaurant sales volumes (0.3%), and higher benefits (0.2%).
Driven by $23.3M increase for biennial All Managers' Conference, $5.9M performance bonuses, and $5.1M wage increases, partially offset by lower retention awards.
Increased 1.2% of revenue due to 0.4% higher marketing, 0.2% utilities, and 0.2% delivery expense.
Watch Items from the Filing
- Comparable sales growth of 0.5% and flat expected growth for full-year 2026 signal consumer demand weakness; management guidance changed from typical mid-single-digit comps to anticipating 'about flat' growth.
- Litigation accrual increased to $18.9M from $11.4M at year-end; Michael Stradford shareholder class action and consolidated derivative litigation remain unresolved with unspecified damages sought, creating contingent liability.
- Tariff impact flagged in forward-looking statements with expectation of increased food and beverage costs in 2026 Q2 and ongoing basis, but magnitude and duration not quantified.
- Stock repurchases accelerated to $755.3M in Q1 2026 vs. $591.5M in Q1 2025, reducing interest-earning assets; treasury stock repurchases constrain cash available for growth despite $1.0B remaining authorization.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$3.1B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$302.8M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$471.0M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
12.9%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+5.4% YoYNet Income
+0.1% YoYOperating Income
+1.0% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+2.7% YoYTotal Assets
-2.3% YoYTotal Debt
Op. Cash Flow
+0.4% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2022 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.93B +5.4% | $11.31B +31.0% | $8.63B +44.3% | $5.98B +7.1% | $5.59B +14.8% | $4.86B |
| Net Income | $1.54B +0.1% | $1.53B +70.6% | $899.0M +152.7% | $355.8M +1.6% | $350.2M +98.3% | $176.6M |
| Operating Income | $1.94B +1.0% | $1.92B +65.1% | $1.16B +299.9% | $290.2M -34.6% | $444.0M +71.8% | $258.4M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.14 +2.7% | $1.11 +8571.9% | $0.01 -94.9% | $0.25 +1.1% | $0.25 +96.2% | $0.13 |
| Total Assets | $8.99B -2.3% | $9.20B +32.9% | $6.93B +15.8% | $5.98B +17.2% | $5.10B +125.3% | $2.27B |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.11B +0.4% | $2.11B +59.1% | $1.32B +99.3% | $663.8M -8.0% | $721.6M +16.1% | $621.6M |
AI Insight: CMG Financial Trends
Q1 2026 net income fell to $303M — the lowest in the dataset — even as revenue hit a record $3,088M, signaling meaningful margin compression.
• Revenue grew year-over-year from $2,875M in Q1 2025 to $3,088M in Q1 2026, a 7.4% increase.
• Operating income dropped from $479M in Q1 2025 to $397M in Q1 2026, compressing op margin from ~16.7% to ~12.9%.
• Net income declined from $387M in Q1 2025 to $303M in Q1 2026, the weakest quarter in the entire dataset.
• Operating cash flow rose to $651M in Q1 2026, the strongest quarterly OCF shown, partly offsetting earnings weakness.
⚠ Equity has eroded steadily from $3,712M in Q2 2024 to $2,408M in Q1 2026 — a 35% decline worth monitoring.
⚠ The widening gap between strong OCF ($651M) and weak net income ($303M) in Q1 2026 warrants scrutiny of non-cash or working-capital items.
⚠ Seasonal Q4/Q1 softness is recurring, but Q1 2026 op income of $397M is below Q4 2024's $416M — trend may be worsening.
AI Insight: CMG Ratio Trends
Q1 2026 operating margin hit 12.9%, the lowest in the visible dataset, as profitability deteriorates on both a year-over-year and sequential basis.
• Operating margin fell from 16.7% in Q1 2025 to 12.9% in Q1 2026, a 380bp year-over-year compression.
• Net profit margin dropped from 13.5% in Q1 2025 to 9.8% in Q1 2026, the lowest quarterly reading in the dataset.
• ROIC expanded from 54.9% in Q1 2025 to 66.0% in Q1 2026, bucking the margin trend on an annualized basis.
• Debt-to-equity remains 0.00 where reported (Q4 2024, Q4 2025), indicating a debt-free balance sheet.
⚠ Q1 operating margin (12.9%) is now 480bp below the Q2 2024 peak of 19.7% — monitor whether this trough deepens.
⚠ ROA declined from 20.4% in Q2 2024 to 13.8% in Q1 2026, signaling diminishing asset efficiency over the period.
⚠ Seasonal Q4 weakness recurred in both 2024 and 2025; watch Q2 2026 margins for confirmation of the typical summer recovery.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of CMG
BlackRock, Inc.
$3.6B111,476,922 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.7B84,673,322 shCapital World Investors
$2.6B80,672,018 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$2.0B61,084,721 shSTATE STREET CORP
$1.8B54,840,806 shCapital International Investors
$1.4B42,802,171 shFMR LLC
$971.4M30,346,326 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$964.5M30,263,425 shALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.
$688.1M18,598,226 shMORGAN STANLEY
$577.1M18,030,236 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $3.6B | 111,476,922 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.7B | 84,673,322 |
| Capital World Investors | $2.6B | 80,672,018 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $2.0B | 61,084,721 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $1.8B | 54,840,806 |
| Capital International Investors | $1.4B | 42,802,171 |
| FMR LLC | $971.4M | 30,346,326 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $964.5M | 30,263,425 |
| ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | $688.1M | 18,598,226 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $577.1M | 18,030,236 |
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Popular Research
Is CMG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for CMG are available on the CMG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own CMG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling CMG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC's investment landscape.