Allison Transmission Holdings Inc(ALSN)Stock Analysis
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Rank #411 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
ALSN Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN), a Industrials sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores ALSN at 68.5/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #411 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. ALSN scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (87.4). Areas of concern include institutional flow (21.5) and earnings quality (34.8), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), Allison Transmission Holdings Inc reports quarterly revenue of $1.4B, net income of $112.0M, free cash flow of $103.0M. Top institutional holders of ALSN by reported 13-F value include FMR, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, BlackRock,, based on the most recent SEC filings. ALSN trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1411207. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate ALSN daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc directly from SEC EDGAR. Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 54 and 80 since 2021, currently 68.5 — an improving long-term trajectory across 30 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving ALSN's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
✓ 44/44 datapoints verifiedAI-extracted from Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's 10-Q filed 2026-05-07 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Allison completed Dana off-highway acquisition on Jan 1, 2026 for $2.6B, expanding to two segments; Q1 revenue surged 83% to $1.4B despite Allison Transmission segment decline.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $1,406M+83% YoY
Lower demand in North America On-Highway, offset by 64% growth in Defense end market from increased tracked vehicle demand.
Acquired business comprised of Construction & Material Handling ($227M), Agriculture ($154M), Industrial ($90M), Mining ($50M), and Service Parts ($152M).
Largest Expense Items
$623M attributable to Allison Off-Highway including $63M stepped-up basis inventory and $13M depreciation; remainder from lower material costs offset by unfavorable direct material costs in Allison Transmission.
Driven by $16M from Incremental Term Loan, $7M from 5.875% Senior Notes 2033, $6M bridge facility fees, and $5M lower interest income.
$56M from Allison Off-Highway including $21M amortization; remainder from $8M Acquisition-related costs and higher incentive compensation.
$15M from Allison Off-Highway; remaining decrease from reduced product initiatives in Allison Transmission.
Margins: Gross profit margin contracted 20.4 percentage points to 29% from 49%, primarily due to Allison Off-Highway's lower-margin product mix, $63M stepped-up inventory basis, and lower Allison Transmission sales offset by price increases. Operating margin fell to 14% from 33% YoY due to acquisition-related costs and integration expenses.
Watch Items from the Filing
- North America On-Highway revenue declined 14% ($60M) to $375M, reflecting weaker medium-duty and class 8 vocational truck demand—a core legacy market.
- Allison Off-Highway segment posted $21M operating loss in Q1 2026 (pro-forma Q1 2025 net income $89M) due to $63M inventory step-up and $21M intangible amortization, signaling significant purchase accounting headwinds.
- Total debt increased to $4.3B from $2.9B at year-end 2025 due to $1.2B Incremental Term Loan, $500M Senior Notes 2033, and $300M revolver borrowing for acquisition funding; first lien net leverage 1.29x.
- Integration and Acquisition-related expenses totaled $17M in Q1 2026; company expects integration costs to continue impacting near-term profitability.
- Defense end market surged 64% to $87M driven by tracked vehicle demand and price increases, offsetting broader market weakness and providing growth visibility.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$1.4B
Net Income
Q1 2026
$112.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$103.0M
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
2.24
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
-6.7% YoYNet Income
-14.8% YoYOperating Income
-11.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-11.8% YoYTotal Assets
+14.0% YoYTotal Debt
+20.7% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+4.4% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.01B -6.7% | $3.23B +6.3% | $3.04B +9.6% | $2.77B +15.3% | $2.40B +15.4% | $2.08B |
| Net Income | $623.0M -14.8% | $731.0M +8.6% | $673.0M +26.7% | $531.0M +20.1% | $442.0M +47.8% | $299.0M |
| Operating Income | $880.0M -11.3% | $992.0M +7.9% | $919.0M +17.2% | $784.0M +17.2% | $669.0M +25.3% | $534.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $7.33 -11.8% | $8.31 +12.3% | $7.40 +33.8% | $5.53 +33.9% | $4.13 +57.6% | $2.62 |
| Total Assets | $6.08B +14.0% | $5.34B +6.2% | $5.03B +7.6% | $4.67B +4.8% | $4.46B -0.4% | $4.48B |
| Total Debt | $2.92B +20.7% | $2.42B -4.2% | $2.52B -0.3% | $2.53B -0.2% | $2.54B -0.3% | $2.54B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $836.0M +4.4% | $801.0M +2.2% | $784.0M +19.3% | $657.0M +3.5% | $635.0M +13.2% | $561.0M |
AI Insight: ALSN Financial Trends
Q1 2026 revenue nearly doubled to $1,406M following a debt-funded acquisition, but net income fell to $99–$112M range as leverage surged to $4,267M total debt.
• Revenue jumped from $737M in Q4 2025 to $1,406M in Q1 2026, likely acquisition-driven, but operating margin compressed sharply to ~13.9% from ~23.2% in Q2 2024.
• Net income deteriorated from $200M peak in Q3 2024 to $99M in Q4 2025 and only partially recovered to $112M in Q1 2026 despite surging revenue.
• Total debt nearly doubled from $2,415M in Q3 2025 to $4,267M in Q1 2026, while equity grew modestly to $1,903M, implying a debt-to-equity ratio above 2.2x.
• Operating cash flow remained relatively stable at $156M–$243M across recent quarters, providing a partial offset to elevated leverage.
⚠ Total debt surged $1,852M in a single quarter to $4,267M — monitor whether acquisition synergies can restore operating margins and accelerate debt paydown.
⚠ Operating income dropped to $171M in Q4 2025 and $195M in Q1 2026 vs. $263M in Q2 2024 — margin recovery trajectory is a critical inflection point.
⚠ Q1 2026 operating cash flow fell to $156M from $243M in Q4 2025 — watch whether FCF generation can support the materially higher debt service burden.
AI Insight: ALSN Ratio Trends
Operating margin collapsed to 13.9% in Q1 2026 — the lowest in the visible dataset — while D/E spiked back to 2.24, erasing two years of deleveraging progress.
• Operating margin fell sharply from 32.5% in Q1 2025 to 13.9% in Q1 2026, a 18.6pp year-over-year deterioration.
• Net profit margin dropped from 25.1% in Q1 2025 to 8.0% in Q1 2026, the weakest quarterly reading in the dataset.
• ROIC contracted from 24.4% in Q1 2025 to 12.6% in Q1 2026, cutting return on invested capital by nearly half in four quarters.
• D/E ratio declined steadily from 1.63 in Q2 2024 to 1.31 in Q3 2025, before reversing sharply to 2.24 in Q1 2026.
⚠ D/E jumped from 1.31 in Q3 2025 to 2.24 in Q1 2026 — a 0.93pp reversal that erases all deleveraging since Q2 2024.
⚠ ROA fell to 5.1% in Q1 2026, the lowest quarterly reading shown; monitor whether asset base expansion or earnings weakness is the primary driver.
⚠ TTM metrics closely mirror Q1 2026 lows, suggesting deterioration is not purely seasonal — watch Q2 2026 for stabilization signals.
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Available Research
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Top Institutional Holders of ALSN
FMR LLC
$1.5B12,450,911 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$490.4M4,188,911 shBlackRock, Inc.
$443.5M3,788,793 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$434.7M3,713,695 shFULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.
$397.4M3,394,635 shBoston Partners
$334.4M2,856,610 shRENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC
$264.6M2,260,397 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$258.1M2,204,268 shFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
$237.2M2,026,603 shLONDON CO OF VIRGINIA
$223.0M1,905,273 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | $1.5B | 12,450,911 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $490.4M | 4,188,911 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $443.5M | 3,788,793 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $434.7M | 3,713,695 |
| FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | $397.4M | 3,394,635 |
| Boston Partners | $334.4M | 2,856,610 |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | $264.6M | 2,260,397 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $258.1M | 2,204,268 |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | $237.2M | 2,026,603 |
| LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA | $223.0M | 1,905,273 |
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Popular Research
Is ALSN a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Industrials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for ALSN are available on the ALSN stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own ALSN?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling ALSN. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's investment landscape.