ASSURED GUARANTY LTD(AGO)Stock Analysis
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Pending next ranking run
This company passes all size and coverage filters but hasn't been included in the latest quarterly ranking run. Rankings refresh on Jan 1, Apr 1, Jul 1, Oct 1.
Financial data, filings, and institutional holdings below are still tracked in full — only the proprietary quality composite is unavailable for this name.
AGO Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for ASSURED GUARANTY LTD (AGO), a Financials sector company. AGO is not currently included in 13F Pro's AI-ranked quality universe — this company passes all size and coverage filters but hasn't been included in the latest quarterly ranking run. rankings refresh on jan 1, apr 1, jul 1, oct 1. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), ASSURED GUARANTY LTD reports quarterly revenue of $261.0M, net income of $88.0M, free cash flow of $190.0M. Top institutional holders of AGO by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS, based on the most recent SEC filings. AGO trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1273813. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AGO daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for ASSURED GUARANTY LTD directly from SEC EDGAR.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$261.0M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$88.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$190.0M
ROIC
Q1 2026
0.9%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.31
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+27.3% YoYNet Income
+33.8% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+49.3% YoYTotal Assets
+2.3% YoYTotal Debt
+0.3% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+451.1% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.11B +27.3% | $872.0M -36.5% | $1.37B +89.9% | $723.0M -14.7% | $848.0M -23.9% | $1.11B |
| Net Income | $503.0M +33.8% | $376.0M -49.1% | $739.0M +496.0% | $124.0M -68.1% | $389.0M +7.5% | $362.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $10.26 +49.3% | $6.87 -44.1% | $12.30 +540.6% | $1.92 -63.3% | $5.23 +24.8% | $4.19 |
| Total Assets | $12.18B +2.3% | $11.90B -5.1% | $12.54B -25.6% | $16.84B -7.5% | $18.21B +18.7% | $15.33B |
| Total Debt | $1.70B +0.3% | $1.70B +0.3% | $1.69B +1.1% | $1.68B +0.1% | $1.67B +36.7% | $1.22B |
| Operating Cash Flow | $259.0M +451.1% | $47.0M -89.8% | $461.0M +118.6% | $-2.48B -28.0% | $-1.94B -127.1% | $-853.0M |
AI Insight: AGO Financial Trends
Q1 2026 operating cash flow surged to $190M — the strongest in the dataset — even as net income dipped to $88M, signaling a favorable working-capital shift.
• Revenue has been volatile, ranging from $156M in Q4 2024 to $345M in Q1 2025, with Q1 2026 at $261M showing no clear directional trend.
• Operating cash flow jumped to $190M in Q1 2026 from $39M in Q4 2025, the highest quarterly OCF across all eight periods shown.
• Equity has been largely stable, ranging from $5,495M to $5,728M, with Q1 2026 at $5,542M near the lower end of that band.
⚠ Total debt has crept steadily from $1,696M in Q2 2024 to $1,705M in Q1 2026, a slow but uninterrupted rise worth monitoring.
⚠ Net income fell to $88M in Q1 2026 despite strong OCF; divergence between earnings and cash flow warrants closer scrutiny of accruals.
AI Insight: AGO Ratio Trends
Q1 2026 operating margin collapsed to 13.0% and ROIC fell to 1.9%, the weakest readings in the visible data outside Q4 2024's loss quarter.
• Operating margin has deteriorated sharply from 65.2% in Q3 2025 to 22.7% in Q4 2025 and 13.0% in Q1 2026.
• ROIC dropped from 10.1% in Q2 2025 to 1.9% in Q1 2026, a near-total erosion over three quarters.
• Net profit margin declined from 50.7% in Q3 2025 to 33.7% in Q1 2026, though remains positive.
• Leverage is stable: D/E held at 0.30–0.31 across all reported periods with no meaningful change.
⚠ ROIC at 1.9% in Q1 2026 is near the negative territory seen in Q4 2024 (-1.8%); sustained weakness would signal structural earnings pressure.
⚠ TTM operating margin of 40.7% masks the sharp Q4 2025–Q1 2026 deterioration; watch whether quarterly margins stabilize or continue declining.
⚠ ROE fell to 6.3% in Q1 2026 from a peak of 12.6% in Q1 2025, suggesting diminishing returns on equity capital deployed.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for ASSURED GUARANTY LTD including:
Top Institutional Holders of AGO
BlackRock, Inc.
$471.0M5,780,463 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$319.9M3,925,791 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$245.4M3,011,751 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$160.2M1,965,693 shRiver Road Asset Management, LLC
$154.1M1,891,378 shSTATE STREET CORP
$128.1M1,572,236 shFIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP
$110.5M1,356,635 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$107.2M1,316,129 shREINHART PARTNERS, LLC.
$104.9M1,287,173 shROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP
$80.0M982,147 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $471.0M | 5,780,463 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $319.9M | 3,925,791 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $245.4M | 3,011,751 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $160.2M | 1,965,693 |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | $154.1M | 1,891,378 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $128.1M | 1,572,236 |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | $110.5M | 1,356,635 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $107.2M | 1,316,129 |
| REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. | $104.9M | 1,287,173 |
| ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP | $80.0M | 982,147 |
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Popular Research
Is AGO a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of ASSURED GUARANTY LTD (AGO) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Financials sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AGO are available on the AGO stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AGO?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AGO. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of ASSURED GUARANTY LTD's investment landscape.