SMITH A O CORP(AOS)Stock Analysis
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Rank #507 of 2,879 stocksTOP 25%
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
AOS Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for SMITH A O CORP (AOS), a Technology sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores AOS at 66.7/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #507 of 2,879 stocks — the top 25% of the AI-ranked universe. AOS scores in the top quartile across balance sheet strength (94.9). Areas of concern include revenue growth (33.4) and earnings quality (35.2), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), SMITH A O CORP reports quarterly revenue of $945.6M, net income of $118.0M, an operating margin of 17.1%. Top institutional holders of AOS by reported 13-F value include FMR, BlackRock,, VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, based on the most recent SEC filings. AOS trades on the NYSE exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 91142. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate AOS daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for SMITH A O CORP directly from SEC EDGAR. SMITH A O CORP's 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 69 since 2021, currently 66.7 — an improving long-term trajectory across 56 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
What's Driving AOS's Business? Latest 10-Q Breakdown
AI-extracted from SMITH A O CORP's 10-Q filed 2026-04-30 — Q1 2026 (quarter ended March 31, 2026). Every figure is machine-verified against the filing text on SEC EDGAR.
Q1 revenue declined 2% YoY to $945.6M as North America water heater volumes fell due to weather damage and China weakness, partially offset by $16M from Leonard Valve acquisition and pricing gains.
Biggest Revenue Drivers
Total revenue: $945.6M-1.9% YoY
Benefits of 2025 pricing actions and Leonard Valve contribution of ~$16M largely offset by lower residential water heater volumes from weather damage at Ashland City plant
China sales declined 17% in local currency due to cessation of government appliance subsidy programs and challenging market conditions
Largest Expense Items
Lower volumes partially offset by favorable pricing actions
Higher employee costs and $6.8M acquisition-related transaction costs for Leonard Valve
Watch Items from the Filing
- China Rest of World sales declined 17% in Q1 2026; company projects low double-digit decrease for full year 2026 due to government subsidy program cessation and uncertain recovery timeline.
- Company took $470M term loan for Leonard Valve acquisition in January 2026; leverage ratio increased to 24.7% of total capitalization vs. 7.7% at year-end 2025.
- Ashland City, Tennessee facility sustained roof damage from severe ice/snow weather in January 2026, temporarily suspending production; majority of costs expected covered by insurance.
- Company announced April 2026 restructuring in North America water treatment business with estimated $20M charge (mostly non-cash impairment) in Q2, projecting $6M-$8M annual savings beginning 2027.
AI-extracted and verified against SEC EDGAR filing text. Not investment advice.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$945.6M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$118.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$118.9M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
17.1%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.33
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+2.0% YoYNet Income
+131.7% YoYOperating Income
+101.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
+155.0% YoYTotal Assets
-5.7% YoYTotal Debt
-44.3% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+57.6% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.83B +2.0% | $3.75B +6.1% | $3.54B +22.2% | $2.90B -3.3% | $2.99B -6.1% | $3.19B |
| Net Income | $546.2M +131.7% | $235.7M -51.6% | $487.1M +41.2% | $344.9M -6.8% | $370.0M -16.7% | $444.2M |
| Operating Income | $728.6M +101.3% | $362.0M -46.9% | $682.0M +35.5% | $503.2M -4.9% | $529.1M -13.7% | $613.4M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.85 +155.0% | $1.51 -50.0% | $3.02 +42.5% | $2.12 -4.5% | $2.22 -14.0% | $2.58 |
| Total Assets | $3.14B -5.7% | $3.33B -4.1% | $3.47B +9.9% | $3.16B +3.4% | $3.06B -0.4% | $3.07B |
| Total Debt | $197.3M -44.3% | $354.5M +74.2% | $203.5M +69.6% | $120.0M -58.7% | $290.8M +31.3% | $221.4M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $616.8M +57.6% | $391.4M -38.9% | $641.1M +14.1% | $562.1M +23.2% | $456.2M +1.6% | $448.9M |
AI Insight: AOS Financial Trends
AOS debt surged from $197M to $616M in Q1 2026 while operating performance remained pressured with declining margins.
• Revenue declined from $1,024M in Q2 2024 to $946M in Q1 2026, showing persistent weakness.
• Operating income fell from $216M in Q1 2024 to $162M in Q1 2026.
• Net income dropped from $148M in Q1 2024 to $118M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Total debt jumped 213% from $197M in Q4 2025 to $616M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Operating cash flow volatility with swings from $39M to $255M across recent quarters.
AI Insight: AOS Ratio Trends
AOS profitability has deteriorated significantly from peak 2024 levels, with ROIC falling from 43.1% to 25.9% and leverage more than quintupling.
• Operating margin declined from 22.0% in Q1 2024 to 17.1% in Q1 2026.
• ROIC compressed from 43.1% in Q1 2024 to 25.9% in Q1 2026.
• Net profit margin dropped from 15.1% in Q1 2024 to 12.5% in Q1 2026.
• Debt-to-equity ratio increased from 0.06 in Q1 2024 to 0.33 in Q1 2026.
⚠ Sequential quarterly decline in all profitability metrics from Q2 2025 through Q1 2026.
⚠ Leverage spike to 0.33 in latest quarter from 0.11 in Q4 2025.
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Top Institutional Holders of AOS
FMR LLC
$522.9M7,930,566 shBlackRock, Inc.
$485.1M7,357,191 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$483.6M7,333,389 shVANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
$468.1M7,099,252 shSTATE STREET CORP
$379.7M5,758,931 shInvesco Ltd.
$311.9M4,729,446 shImpax Asset Management Group plc
$282.1M4,278,219 shAMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
$278.0M4,215,238 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$259.4M3,939,106 shMORGAN STANLEY
$236.1M3,580,107 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | $522.9M | 7,930,566 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | $485.1M | 7,357,191 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $483.6M | 7,333,389 |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $468.1M | 7,099,252 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $379.7M | 5,758,931 |
| Invesco Ltd. | $311.9M | 4,729,446 |
| Impax Asset Management Group plc | $282.1M | 4,278,219 |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | $278.0M | 4,215,238 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $259.4M | 3,939,106 |
| MORGAN STANLEY | $236.1M | 3,580,107 |
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Popular Research
Is AOS a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of SMITH A O CORP (AOS) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Technology sector (listed on NYSE). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for AOS are available on the AOS stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own AOS?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling AOS. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of SMITH A O CORP's investment landscape.