NextDecade Corp(NEXT)Stock Analysis
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Pending next ranking run
This company passes all size and coverage filters but hasn't been included in the latest quarterly ranking run. Rankings refresh on Jan 1, Apr 1, Jul 1, Oct 1.
Financial data, filings, and institutional holdings below are still tracked in full — only the proprietary quality composite is unavailable for this name.
NEXT Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for NextDecade Corp (NEXT), a Energy sector company. NEXT is not currently included in 13F Pro's AI-ranked quality universe — this company passes all size and coverage filters but hasn't been included in the latest quarterly ranking run. rankings refresh on jan 1, apr 1, jul 1, oct 1. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), NextDecade Corp reports net income of $-195.0M, free cash flow of $-1.3B. Top institutional holders of NEXT by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, Mubadala Investment Co PJSC, Man Investment Partners (US), based on the most recent SEC filings. NEXT trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1612720. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate NEXT daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for NextDecade Corp directly from SEC EDGAR.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$0.00
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-195.0M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$-1.3B
ROIC
Q1 2026
-0.6%
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
Net Income
-595.8% YoYOperating Income
-32.1% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-387.5% YoYTotal Assets
+94.0% YoYTotal Debt
+118.8% YoYOp. Cash Flow
-77.2% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2024 | FY 2023 | FY 2022 | FY 2021 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Net Income | $-429.6M -595.8% | $-61.8M +72.1% | $-221.6M -269.0% | $-60.1M -172.6% | $-22.0M +38.6% | $-35.9M |
| Operating Income | $-225.9M -32.1% | $-171.1M -39.5% | $-122.7M -125.2% | $-54.5M -179.3% | $-19.5M +44.3% | $-35.0M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.17 -387.5% | $-0.24 +74.5% | $-0.94 -44.6% | $-0.65 | — | — |
| Total Assets | $12.43B +94.0% | $6.40B +92.7% | $3.32B +963.9% | $312.4M +40.7% | $222.1M +0.4% | $221.2M |
| Total Debt | $8.83B +118.8% | $4.04B +122.2% | $1.82B | $0.00 | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $-169.4M -77.2% | $-95.6M -29.8% | $-73.6M -83.7% | $-40.1M -123.1% | $-18.0M +55.9% | $-40.7M |
AI Insight: NEXT Financial Trends
NextDecade remains pre-revenue with equity now negative at -$31M as total debt surged to $9,355M — balance sheet stress is accelerating.
• Total debt has more than tripled from $2,869M in Q2 2024 to $9,355M in Q1 2026, reflecting heavy Rio Grande LNG construction financing.
• Equity collapsed from $670M in Q3 2024 to -$31M in Q1 2026, turning book value negative for the first time in the observed period.
• Operating cash outflow deepened to -$111M in Q1 2026, the worst quarter on record, versus -$4M in Q2 2025.
• Operating losses have widened steadily from -$40M in Q2 2024 to a peak of -$72M in Q3 2025, with no revenue yet generated.
⚠ Negative equity of -$31M in Q1 2026 raises covenant and refinancing risk as debt load continues to expand rapidly.
⚠ Volatile net income swings (e.g. +$481M in Q4 2024, -$245M in Q1 2025) suggest large non-cash fair-value adjustments — monitor underlying drivers.
⚠ With zero revenue and accelerating cash burn, the timeline to first LNG production is the critical inflection point for solvency.
AI Insight: NEXT Ratio Trends
NextDecade's leverage surged to 42.78x D/E in Q3 2025 before going unreported, while ROIC has remained persistently negative across all periods.
• ROIC has been negative every quarter, ranging from -4.9% in Q2–Q3 2024 to -2.1% in Q4 2025, with no sign of turning positive.
• D/E ratio escalated sharply from 7.28 in Q2 2024 to 42.78 in Q3 2025, reflecting aggressive debt accumulation during project development.
• ROA swings wildly — from -30.7% in Q3 2024 to +30.1% in Q4 2024 to -14.2% in Q1 2025 — suggesting large, irregular non-cash items distort quarterly earnings.
⚠ D/E data goes unreported in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 — clarity on current leverage levels is critical given the prior spike to 42.78x.
⚠ ROIC improved modestly from -4.3% in Q3 2025 to -2.1% in Q4 2025 and -2.4% TTM — monitor whether this nascent improvement continues.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for NextDecade Corp including:
Top Institutional Holders of NEXT
BlackRock, Inc.
$175.9M22,963,355 shMubadala Investment Co PJSC
$108.8M14,206,376 shMan Investment Partners (US) LP
$71.0M9,274,894 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$45.2M5,906,171 shCatalyst Capital Advisors LLC
$40.0M5,216,592 shCITADEL ADVISORS LLC
$33.2M4,333,900 shGEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
$30.8M4,021,660 shSTATE STREET CORP
$27.2M3,548,273 shMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC
$19.6M2,553,841 shNEOS Investment Management LLC
$19.5M2,542,577 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $175.9M | 22,963,355 |
| Mubadala Investment Co PJSC | $108.8M | 14,206,376 |
| Man Investment Partners (US) LP | $71.0M | 9,274,894 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $45.2M | 5,906,171 |
| Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC | $40.0M | 5,216,592 |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | $33.2M | 4,333,900 |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | $30.8M | 4,021,660 |
| STATE STREET CORP | $27.2M | 3,548,273 |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | $19.6M | 2,553,841 |
| NEOS Investment Management LLC | $19.5M | 2,542,577 |
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Popular Research
Is NEXT a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of NextDecade Corp (NEXT) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Energy sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for NEXT are available on the NEXT stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own NEXT?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling NEXT. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of NextDecade Corp's investment landscape.