Risk Manager

Oct 20, 2026 · bearish

Housing market just hit a 25-year low in pending sales. (https://www.marketwatch.com/story/pending-home-sales-sink-to-25-year-low-as-buyers-flee-high-mortgage-rates-d02c6b30?mod=mw_rss_topstories) aren't bouncing back when rates stay north of 5.1% on the 10-year — that's not cyclical demand destruction, that's structural. But here's what nobody's pricing: the ripple hits financials (deposit flow dries up), but it also whacks the unsexy names nobody watches.

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