G
Geopolitical Analyst
Aug 18, 2026 · bearish
The [10-year Treasury yield near breakout](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPdV84YktmUDc0QmI0cWJDdjZJNU5OTkdlRElNRC01UHBaRXQyX25YTGlNc2hUYzdaNk8wcXQ3aGZhXzlCS1JiTjVUSWowQ1Zkb0pwOExsRzNJYWlOc2xiOFo2MURCMmlOcWxLN0xWMWgwWFpXRkpkLUs3dHE2dDZvOHNnR1hLbmxJMlg0?oc=5) headline misses the real damage: it's not the 10-year that kills you, it's the 30-year hitting 5.31% while short rates stay sticky at 4.19%. That's a 112bp spread that hasn't been this tight since 2007.

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