First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.(FWRG)Stock Analysis
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Rank #1,690 of 2,879 stocks
View Consumer Discretionary peers →
Rankings refresh quarterly once 80% of peers have filed (~45 days after quarter-end). Next update: ~Aug 14, 2026.
Revenue Growth
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Earnings Quality
Free Cash Flow
Institutional Flow
Revenue Scale
Dilution Risk
FWRG Stock Analysis & AI Quality Score
AI stock analysis and institutional research for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG), a Consumer Discretionary sector company. 13F Pro's AI-powered ranking engine scores FWRG at 46.0/100 on a 32-signal composite quality model, placing it at rank #1,690 of 2,879 stocks — the bottom half of the AI-ranked universe. FWRG scores in the top quartile across revenue growth (79.2). Areas of concern include earnings quality (1.0) and free cash flow (32.2), which score below median versus the broader universe. Based on the latest XBRL financial filings (Q1 2026), First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. reports quarterly revenue of $331.0M, net income of $-2.7M, an operating margin of 0.3%. Top institutional holders of FWRG by reported 13-F value include BlackRock,, Bank of New York Mellon, Neuberger Berman Group, based on the most recent SEC filings. FWRG trades on the Nasdaq exchange and files with the SEC under CIK 1789940. 13F Pro's AI research platform runs 10 specialized AI analysts — value, growth, momentum, macro, and activist specialists — that debate FWRG daily and publish AI-generated analysis with cited SEC sources. The platform aggregates historical XBRL financial facts, 10-Q and 10-K filings, insider Form 4 transactions, and institutional 13-F holdings for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. directly from SEC EDGAR. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s 13F Pro composite quality score has ranged between 8 and 66 since 2022, currently 46.0 — an improving long-term trajectory across 51 quarterly and live scoring snapshots.
Revenue
Q1 2026
$331.0M
Net Income
Q1 2026
$-2.7M
Free Cash Flow
Q1 2026
$5.1M
Operating Margin
Q1 2026
0.3%
ROIC
Q1 2026
0.1%
D/E Ratio
Q1 2026
0.45
Revenue & Net Income
Earnings Per Share
Key Financials Over Time
Export Financial Table · Pro+Revenue
+37.1% YoYNet Income
-23.5% YoYOperating Income
-33.3% YoYEPS (Diluted)
-24.4% YoYTotal Assets
+37.5% YoYTotal Debt
+125.2% YoYOp. Cash Flow
+32.1% YoY| Metric | FY 2025 | FY 2023 | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | FY 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.22B +37.1% | $891.6M +160.4% | $342.4M -21.5% | $436.4M | — |
| Net Income | $19.4M -23.5% | $25.4M +151.1% | $-49.7M -9.3% | $-45.4M | — |
| Operating Income | $27.5M -33.3% | $41.3M +187.4% | $-47.2M -25.7% | $-37.6M | — |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.31 -24.4% | $0.41 +541.3% | $-0.09 -8.9% | $-0.09 | — |
| Total Assets | $1.74B +37.5% | $1.27B +25.8% | $1.01B | — | — |
| Total Debt | $282.4M +125.2% | $125.4M -56.8% | $290.0M | — | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | $125.9M +32.1% | $95.3M +619.2% | $-18.4M -185.6% | $21.5M | — |
AI Insight: FWRG Financial Trends
Revenue grew 17% year-over-year in Q1 2026 but operating leverage remains elusive with operating income margins stuck near breakeven.
• Revenue increased from $282M in Q1 2025 to $331M in Q1 2026, showing 17% year-over-year growth.
• Operating income remained weak at $1M in Q1 2026 versus $1M in Q1 2025 despite revenue growth.
• Total debt increased from $199M in Q2 2024 to $282M in Q1 2026.
⚠ Operating cash flow declined to $18M in Q4 2025 from $48M in Q3 2025.
⚠ Company posted net losses in Q1 2025 and Q1 2026 despite revenue growth trajectory.
AI Insight: FWRG Ratio Trends
First Watch shows severe Q1 2026 profitability deterioration with operating margin collapsing from 2.9% to 0.3% and net margin turning negative to -0.8%.
• Operating margin declined from 6.4% in Q2 2024 to 0.3% in Q1 2026, representing a 6.1pp deterioration.
• Net margin turned negative in Q1 2026 at -0.8% after reaching 4.8% in Q4 2025.
• ROIC compressed from 8.4% in Q2 2024 to 0.4% in Q1 2026, indicating declining capital efficiency.
• Debt-to-equity ratio increased from 0.33 in Q4 2024 to 0.45 in Q1 2026.
⚠ First quarter appears to be seasonally weak with both Q1 2025 and Q1 2026 showing negative margins.
⚠ Q4 2025 showed exceptional net margin spike to 4.8% versus typical 0.3-0.9% range, suggesting potential one-time item.
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Available Research
13F Pro tracks comprehensive data for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. including:
Top Institutional Holders of FWRG
BlackRock, Inc.
$42.7M4,071,745 shBank of New York Mellon Corp
$41.5M3,957,697 shNeuberger Berman Group LLC
$37.5M3,574,318 shMANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE
$35.2M3,357,950 shMILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC
$33.9M3,232,247 shDIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
$32.3M3,084,886 shVANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
$25.2M2,402,388 shRIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC
$21.9M2,091,700 shFMR LLC
$20.9M1,995,121 shLAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
$18.7M1,780,839 sh
| Fund | Value | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | $42.7M | 4,071,745 |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | $41.5M | 3,957,697 |
| Neuberger Berman Group LLC | $37.5M | 3,574,318 |
| MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE | $35.2M | 3,357,950 |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | $33.9M | 3,232,247 |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | $32.3M | 3,084,886 |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $25.2M | 2,402,388 |
| RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC | $21.9M | 2,091,700 |
| FMR LLC | $20.9M | 1,995,121 |
| LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | $18.7M | 1,780,839 |
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Popular Research
Is FWRG a good stock to buy?
13F Pro's AI-powered analysis of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) draws on SEC EDGAR-sourced fundamentals, institutional 13F holdings, and insider Form 4 transactions in the Consumer Discretionary sector (listed on Nasdaq). The 32-signal AI Quality Score, current rank, and full bull/bear verdict for FWRG are available on the FWRG stock profile dashboard — with the same data, AI insights, ratios, and institutional activity refreshed after every 10-K, 10-Q, 13F, and Form 4 filing.
Which hedge funds own FWRG?
Institutional investors are required to disclose their holdings quarterly via SEC Form 13F. 13F Pro aggregates these filings to show which hedge funds, mutual funds, and asset managers are buying or selling FWRG. Combined with insider transaction data from Form 4 filings and AI-powered analysis from 10 specialized research agents, 13F Pro provides a comprehensive view of First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s investment landscape.