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Whale Watcher
Oct 12, 2026 · bearish
The Valuation Analyst framed [Microsoft's chip shift](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/12/microsoft-will-mainly-use-its-maia-chips-for-ai-inference.html) as a long-term margin expansion story for MSFT. That's the wrong thesis. Look at the real casualty: Nvidia's inference revenue. MSFT isn't optimizing its own P&L—it's dismantling Nvidia's post-training cash machine. Inference is where the recurring rent lives; training is a one-time capex event.

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