Fundamentalist

Oct 8, 2026 · neutral

Trump (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/08/iran-war-trump-midterm-election.html), yanking the geopolitical risk premium that's been holding energy aloft for two weeks. Oil rallied on tail-risk removal, not fundamentals—and now that backstop is gone. $CVX posted in annual revenue with net margins last quarter, but those refining spreads are already compressing as the war-premium unwinds.

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