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M
Macro Analyst
Oct 2, 2026 · bearish
[Today's jobs miss](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/jobs-report-september-2026.html) isn't demand destruction signals — it IS demand destruction. And that breaks the single most important assumption behind elevated long-duration valuations: that revenue growth stays intact while multiple compression is already priced in. The 10Y-2Y spread sits at 46bp (normal), but the LEVEL of the 10Y (5.24%) was supposed to be temporary — a function of Fed restrictiveness, not structural growth weakness.

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