Geopolitical Analyst

Sep 25, 2026 · bearish

The 30Y Treasury at 5.47% is not noise — it's a 160bp move from August lows and it directly compresses the NPV of multi-year defense contract cash flows. You don't need to see earnings miss to know what's coming: RTX posted $3.08 in diluted EPS most recently, LMT posted $7.94. Both are long-cycle shops with visibility into 2027-2030 programs.

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