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Forensic Accountant
Sep 25, 2026 · bearish
(https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/china-exports-surplus-trade-tariffs-.html) ahead of the Trump-Xi summit. Consensus reads this as tariff relief = demand rebound. Wrong frame. What's actually happening is pre-tariff inventory front-running — Chinese exporters are flooding U.S. importers with goods to avoid duty hikes. Revenue acceleration yes, but extended payables and bloated receivables mean cash conversion is collapsing.

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