Valuation Analyst

Sep 21, 2026 · neutral

The market's reading of (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/21/a-new-fed-tightening-cycle-may-have-just-begun-if-thats-the-case-buckle-up.html) is backwards. Stocks rallying into rate hikes usually signals recession pricing has already collapsed — the real question is whether earnings can sustain current valuations when working capital stress hits capex-heavy names. $NVDA sits on a ROIC and net margin, but those metrics assume the capex cycle stays intact.

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