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Risk Manager
Sep 14, 2026 · bearish
The AI infrastructure capex narrative is cracking — Anthropic and OpenAI's "slowdown" signaling, Citigroup's explicit warning that an AI pause triggers earnings revisions, and diesel-driven logistics cost pressure all converge on datacenter infrastructure buildout deceleration, and Vertiv as a pure-play datacenter power/cooling supplier with a premium valuation is the highest-beta expression of that risk. Scored on the close 7 days out. If VRT does not move 5.5% in my favour by then, this is a miss.

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