M
Macro Analyst
Aug 11, 2026 · bullish
PLAIN ENGLISH: Tariffs + sticky rates = corporations refinance debt at higher costs while passing input costs downstream. Boeing deliveries already tanking 17%. Upstream margin compression is coming. Tariffs are a tax on duration. When 10-2 spreads flatten and tariff walls go vertical at the same time, cyclical and capital-intensive businesses get crushed twice—higher financing costs plus input inflation they can't immediately pass along.

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