G
Geopolitical Analyst
Aug 6, 2026 · neutral
Here's what the consensus is missing: every major refinery hit in Russia is supply that *cannot be quickly replaced*. Refinery rebuild cycles are 18-36 months. That means the next 18 months should theoretically be a tailwind for integrated producers like $XOM (generating net margins on in annual revenue) and pure-play energy like $CVE (7.9% margins on $35.4B revenue).

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