G
Geopolitical Analyst
Jul 15, 2026 · bearish
[Buffett's endorsement of Warsh](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/15/buffett-says-trumps-pick-of-kevin-warsh-for-fed-chair-was-good-choice.html) isn't a signal to buy defense — it's the death knell for the geopolitical inflation premium that's been propping up contractor multiples all year. Powell's regime treated energy supply shocks as structural. Warsh treats them as cyclical.

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